FL
Tampa Bay Metro
Tampa Bay Metro Market Report
Top 10 ZIPs by size — 7.32% mortgage rate — Updated 10/27/2026
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Listings Flow Ladder — Tampa
Faucet, basin and drain — new listings in, active inventory, closed sales out.as of Sep 30, 2026
the basin is fillingnet 1,192 listings/mo
- Faucet — new listings
- 5,530/mo
- 86% of normal (6,456) · trickle
- Basin — active listings
- 21,903
- 130% of normal (16,818) · balanced
- Months of supply
- 5 mo
- derived — not published at this grain
- Drain — closed sales
- 4,338/mo
- 74% of normal (5,893)
- Net — faucet minus drain
- +1,192/mo
- filling
- Reading
- current
- as of 2026-09-30
Compare against:2015-01-01 to 2019-12-31 · 5 same-month points
How plugged is the drain? Two definitions, both ours, deliberately not reconciled.
- 44%Absorption vs its own normal— 1 - (closed sales / active listings) / same-month median of that ratio
- 26%Closed sales vs its own normal— 1 - closed sales per month / same-month median closed sales per month
Closed sales over 24 months — two different numbers, deliberately not merged.
- 680/mofall in the monthly rate (14%)— peak 5,018/mo (2025-05-31) to 4,338/mo now
- 35,067transactions that did not happen— summed monthly shortfall vs the same-month normal, over 24 months below it (vs 2015-19 (COVID excluded))
- rate_drop_from_peak is a change in the monthly rate; cumulative_shortfall_vs_normal counts transactions not transacted. They are different quantities and are not interchangeable.
2026-09-30
Redfin market data (county + ZIP), via Lotvox. As of 2026-09-30. Normal = same-month median of monthly rates, minimum 3 same-month points. Source window 3 months (flows shown per month). Aggregated over a fixed panel of 127 zips — the panel is fixed so a change in who reports cannot look like a change in the market. months_of_supply is not published at this grain (0 non-null rows measured); derived here as active listings / closed sales per month.
Verified county coverage:Pinellas County, FL
Tracked ZIPs
10
Avg Score
51
Avg Median
$388,672
Market
Buyer's
Avg Composite
51/100
Avg Median Price
$388,672
Avg Rent
$2,035/mo
Avg Burden
34.9%of income
New Listings Trend
Monthly new for-sale listings · Redfin + Realtor.com · Tampa, FL
as of Sep 1, 2026Buyer Leverage — Should I Buy in Tampa?
45
Avg Buyer Score
135 ZIPs analyzed
Strong Buyer
3
Moderate
16
Balanced
65
Seller Favored
49
Strong Seller
2
BALANCED — Tampa roughly fair, negotiate on a per-ZIP basis
| ZIP | City | Score | Median Price | YoY | Burden | Buy/Rent | DOM | Supply | Gap % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34698 | Dunedin | 53 | $412,638 | +2.2% | 40.4% | Neutral | 71d | 5.1mo | -7.9% |
| 34683 | Palm Harbor | 54 | $461,597 | +1.0% | 33.8% | Neutral | 51d | 5.5mo | -8.8% |
| 33710 | Saint Petersburg | 61 | $377,692 | +1.2% | 32.4% | Neutral | 49d | 4.2mo | -14.8% |
| 33707 | Gulfport | 47 | $360,497 | -1.2% | 34.7% | Buy | 75d | 6.2mo | -11% |
| 34684 | Palm Harbor | 54 | $320,251 | -0.8% | 31.3% | Buy | 54d | 4.8mo | -8.8% |
| 33713 | Saint Petersburg | 54 | $356,997 | +1.2% | 33.8% | Buy | 50d | 4mo | -14.4% |
| 33706 | Saint Pete Beach | 40 | $571,480 | -1.5% | 38.7% | Neutral | 124d | 6.7mo | -11.4% |
| 34689 | Tarpon Springs | 40 | $363,690 | -0.4% | 36.1% | Neutral | 64d | 5.1mo | -10.9% |
| 33756 | Clearwater | 47 | $356,473 | +1.6% | 36.7% | Neutral | 55d | 8mo | -13% |
| 33702 | Saint Petersburg | 61 | $305,407 | +0.5% | 30.7% | Buy | 77d | 5.4mo | -13.2% |
34698
Dunedin, pinellas county
53
Median Price
$412,638
YoY
+2.2%
Payment Burden
40.4%
Buy vs Rent
Neutral
Days on Market
71
Supply
5.1 mo
Rent
$2,067
Val. Gap
-7.9%
34683
Palm Harbor, pinellas county
54
Median Price
$461,597
YoY
+1.0%
Payment Burden
33.8%
Buy vs Rent
Neutral
Days on Market
51
Supply
5.5 mo
Rent
$1,946
Val. Gap
-8.8%
33710
Saint Petersburg, pinellas county
61
Median Price
$377,692
YoY
+1.2%
Payment Burden
32.4%
Buy vs Rent
Neutral
Days on Market
49
Supply
4.2 mo
Rent
$1,924
Val. Gap
-14.8%
33707
Gulfport, pinellas county
47
Median Price
$360,497
YoY
-1.2%
Payment Burden
34.7%
Buy vs Rent
Buy
Days on Market
75
Supply
6.2 mo
Rent
$2,267
Val. Gap
-11%
34684
Palm Harbor, pinellas county
54
Median Price
$320,251
YoY
-0.8%
Payment Burden
31.3%
Buy vs Rent
Buy
Days on Market
54
Supply
4.8 mo
Rent
$1,869
Val. Gap
-8.8%
33713
Saint Petersburg, pinellas county
54
Median Price
$356,997
YoY
+1.2%
Payment Burden
33.8%
Buy vs Rent
Buy
Days on Market
50
Supply
4 mo
Rent
$2,101
Val. Gap
-14.4%
33706
Saint Pete Beach, pinellas county
40
Median Price
$571,480
YoY
-1.5%
Payment Burden
38.7%
Buy vs Rent
Neutral
Days on Market
124
Supply
6.7 mo
Rent
$2,606
Val. Gap
-11.4%
34689
Tarpon Springs, pinellas county
40
Median Price
$363,690
YoY
-0.4%
Payment Burden
36.1%
Buy vs Rent
Neutral
Days on Market
64
Supply
5.1 mo
Rent
$1,973
Val. Gap
-10.9%
33756
Clearwater, pinellas county
47
Median Price
$356,473
YoY
+1.6%
Payment Burden
36.7%
Buy vs Rent
Neutral
Days on Market
55
Supply
8 mo
Rent
$1,832
Val. Gap
-13%
33702
Saint Petersburg, pinellas county
61
Median Price
$305,407
YoY
+0.5%
Payment Burden
30.7%
Buy vs Rent
Buy
Days on Market
77
Supply
5.4 mo
Rent
$1,769
Val. Gap
-13.2%
Median price and 12-month change: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI); where a ZIP has no ZHVI value, the county assessor average. Days on market: Redfin Data Center, rolling 90 days; months of supply: Redfin Data Center. Rent: Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI); where a ZIP has no ZORI value, the Census ACS county rent.
Every ZIP market page in Tampa Bay Metro (129)
Hillsborough County, FL
- 33510 Brandon
- 33511 Brandon
- 33527 Dover
- 33534 Gibsonton
- 33547 Lithia
- 33548 Lutz
- 33549 Lutz
- 33556 Odessa
- 33558 Lutz
- 33559 Lutz
- 33563 Plant City
- 33565 Plant City
- 33566 Plant City
- 33567 Plant City
- 33569 Riverview
- 33570 Ruskin
- 33572 Apollo Beach
- 33573 Sun City Center
- 33578 Riverview
- 33579 Riverview
- 33584 Seffner
- 33592 Thonotosassa
- 33594 Valrico
- 33596 Valrico
- 33598 Wimauma
- 33602 Tampa
- 33603 Tampa
- 33604 Tampa
- 33605 Tampa
- 33606 Tampa
- 33607 Tampa
- 33609 Tampa
- 33610 Tampa
- 33611 Tampa
- 33612 Tampa
- 33613 Tampa
- 33614 Egypt Lake-Leto
- 33615 Town 'n' Country
- 33616 Tampa
- 33617 Temple Terrace
- 33618 Tampa
- 33619 Tampa
- 33624 Greater Carrollwood
- 33625 Citrus Park
- 33626 Westchase
- 33629 Tampa
- 33634 Town 'n' Country
- 33635 Town 'n' Country
- 33637 Temple Terrace
- 33647 Tampa
Pasco County, FL
- 33525 Dade City
- 33540 Zephyrhills
- 33541 Zephyrhills
- 33542 Zephyrhills
- 33543 Wesley Chapel
- 33544 Wesley Chapel
- 33545 Wesley Chapel
- 33576 San Antonio
- 34610 Spring Hill
- 34637 Land O Lakes
- 34638 Land O Lakes
- 34639 Land O Lakes
- 34652 New Port Richey
- 34653 New Port Richey
- 34654 New Port Richey
- 34655 New Port Richey
- 34667 Hudson
- 34668 Port Richey
- 34669 Hudson
- 34690 Holiday
- 34691 Holiday
Pinellas County, FL
- 33701 Saint Petersburg
- 33702 Saint Petersburg
- 33703 Saint Petersburg
- 33704 Saint Petersburg
- 33705 Saint Petersburg
- 33706 Saint Pete Beach
- 33707 Gulfport
- 33708 Saint Petersburg
- 33709 Saint Petersburg
- 33710 Saint Petersburg
- 33711 Saint Petersburg
- 33712 Saint Petersburg
- 33713 Saint Petersburg
- 33714 Saint Petersburg
- 33715 Saint Petersburg
- 33716 Saint Petersburg
- 33755 Clearwater
- 33756 Clearwater
- 33759 Clearwater
- 33760 South Highpoint
- 33761 Clearwater
- 33762 Clearwater
- 33763 Clearwater
- 33764 Clearwater
- 33765 Clearwater
- 33767 Clearwater
- 33770 Largo
- 33771 Largo
- 33772 Seminole
- 33773 Largo
- 33774 Largo
- 33776 Seminole
- 33777 Seminole
- 33778 Largo
- 33781 Pinellas Park
- 33782 Pinellas Park
- 33785 Indian Rocks Beach
- 33786 Belleair Beach
- 34677 Oldsmar
- 34681 Palm Harbor
- 34683 Palm Harbor
- 34684 Palm Harbor
- 34685 Palm Harbor
- 34688 Tarpon Springs
- 34689 Tarpon Springs
- 34695 Safety Harbor
- 34698 Dunedin