Tampa 33611

Hillsborough County, FL · 13,580 properties · updated 7/26/2026

Should you buy here?buyer-timing lens

42affordability /100

Buyer leverage is balanced; weigh payment burden and the 3-lens valuation before bidding.

Payment burden

36.5%

severe

Days on market

daily

Price cuts

31.6%

of active

Valuation

-59%

vs assessor

Look up an address

/100

Weak

cooling · balanced · prices easing year-over-year.

Price trend

Affordability

Valuation

Economic health

Verdict grades housing conditions; buyer-timing, investor cash-flow, supply-tightness and county macro scores answer different questions — each in its own section.

Buyer / sellerbuyer-timing lens

Seller's Market

Needs 17.8% correction for affordability

DOM: 62d (stable) · Market Dynamics rolling median · hourly

Score Components

Payment Burden (25%)50

Valuation Gap (25%)10

Supply & Demand (20%)20

Buy vs Rent (15%)50

Cancellation Rate (10%)0

Days on Market (5%)75

Seller-favored market in 33611. Expect to pay at or near list price. Payment burden: 35.5% of median income. Median days on market: 62. Renting is approximately 47% cheaper than buying (price-to-rent ratio: 17.6).

Buyer Caution

Seller's market. Be prepared to pay near list price.

Competitive market similar to 2021-2022 — limited inventory driving prices above fundamentals.

COOLINGBALANCED

Market is cooling with expanding inventory. Conditions are balanced between buyers and sellers. Prices down 1.8% YoY.

Address lookup$99 report path

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<iframe src="https://lotvox.com/embed/zip/33611" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;border-radius:12px;overflow:hidden;max-width:640px" loading="lazy" title="Tampa 33611 — Lotvox market card"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui;margin:4px 0 0"><a href="https://lotvox.com/tampa/zip/33611?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=backlink">Tampa 33611 housing market data</a> by <a href="https://lotvox.com/">Lotvox</a></p>

Market snapshoteach number, once

Median price

$487,392

▾ 1.8% YoY

Days on market

daily · zip_data

Median rent

$2,414

ZORI

Investor score

51/100

cash-flow lens

Active listings

222

90-day

Valuation3 lenses, different anchors

vs assessor

-59.0%

Market vs assessed value — a tax-roll lag, not a deal signal.

Avg assessor$200,000

county CAMA · properties_v

vs income

—

Fair-value model not available for this market.

fair_value_scores · 10-state coverage

vs county comps

+73.9%

County-wide market — the widest, slowest signal.

Hillsborough+73.9%

Lotvox comps · mv_valuation_gap

Read together: Above county comps but sustainable on local incomes.

Pricing detail

Price / sqft$615

Price-to-income5.8×

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How 33611 ranks in FL

percentile vs all Florida ZIPs · n=1098

Market velocity92%

Supply tightness94%

Affordability26%

Investment yield32%

Appreciation32%

Affordability, supply & momentum

75SUPPLY

Severe TightnessSupply Tightness

Very tight supply — well-priced homes attract multiple offers within days.

Months of Supply2.6 mo

Days on Market29d

Inv vs History-1.6%

Listing Density13.3/1k

Affordability — payment burden

Monthly payment (P&I)$2,519

Payment burden36.5%

Median income · ZIP$82,804

Mortgage rate6.71% · 30yr

Total monthly own$3,006

Monthly rent$2,414

Market dynamics

Price cut %31.6%

Momentumcooling

LeverageBALANCED

Months of supply2.6

Sales (90d)0

Investment analysis

Median rent$2,414

Price-to-rent17.6

Est. cap rate3.7%

Buy vs rentneutral

Livability

Walk score4

Transit score—

Bike score—

Historical trends

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Price bandsmix-shift

Price Bands — the median behind the median

A single median rises whenever expensive homes become a bigger share of what sells, even if no tier got more expensive. These are the tiers underneath it, computed from recorded arms-length deed transactions in Hillsborough.

Aggregate median -2.7% YoY in Tampa, FL (metro), but the under-$500k tier is -2.1% — the aggregate and the entry tier are moving together. Over the same year the under-$500k share of sales moved from 71.6% to 72.2% (+0.7pp) and the $1M+ share from 6.6% to 6.2% (-0.4pp).

Current tiers · 12 months to Aug 25floor 10 sales/tier

Tier	Median	$/sqft	Sales	Share	Source
Under $250k	$208k	$207	71	10.3%	ZIP
$250k–$500k	$351k	$262	254	37.0%	ZIP
$500k–$750k	$599k	$333	166	24.2%	ZIP
$750k–$1M	$870k	$339	83	12.1%	ZIP
$1M–$1.5M	$1.32M	$406	59	8.6%	ZIP
$1.5M–$2M	$1.66M	$452	20	2.9%	ZIP
$2M+	$2.99M	$578	33	4.8%	ZIP
All sales (the headline median)	$525k	$305	686	100%	ZIP

ZIP-level history was too thin to draw the tiers; served at metro level (Tampa, FL), by quarter.

Share of sales by tier (quarterly)

If the upper tiers widen over time, the headline median rises on composition alone.

Under $250k
$250k–$500k
$500k–$750k
$750k–$1M
$1M–$1.5M
$1.5M–$2M
$2M+

Median within each tier, against the headline median (quarterly)

The blue line is the single number NAR-style reporting quotes. The gold lines are what each tier actually did. Log scale — the tiers span an order of magnitude, and on a log axis equal slopes mean equal percentage moves, which is the comparison being made.

Under $250k
$250k–$500k
$500k–$750k
$750k–$1M
$1M–$1.5M
$1.5M–$2M
$2M+
All sales (headline)

National context — not local

NAR's aggregate existing-home median for the United States and the South census region. This is the figure the tiers above are a check on. It is national/regional and says nothing about 33611.

United States
South

Copyright, National Association of Realtors. Reprinted with permission. Retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. FRED publishes a rolling 13-month window for these series.

Tiers computed from Lotvox parcel and deed substrate through Aug 25 (10 later months withheld as partially loaded). Sample floor 10 sales per tier; below it a figure is drawn from the county or metro and labelled, or left blank. Multi-parcel bulk deeds and duplicate records are excluded.

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Hillsborough County contextmacro · jobs · debt · migration

ZIP score grades housing; county score adds macro distress (jobs, debt, poverty). They answer different questions.

ZIP 33611→Hillsborough County, FL

12-Month Direction

-9Stable

Confidence

100%

DeterioratingStableImproving

BuildersLens Market Intelligence

Market Score

37· Weak

Market Score grades housing-market conditions (affordability, valuation, supply). The county Healthy/Moderate/Distressed badge measures economic distress (jobs, debt, poverty) — the two can read differently.

Payment Burden48

31.2%

stretched

Source: Lotvox · Updated 2026-05-15

Buy vs Rent44

1.347x

rent advantage

Source: Lotvox · Updated 2026-05-15

Valuation6

+73.9%

overvalued

Source: Lotvox comps · Updated 2026-05-15