Zephyrhills 33540

Pasco County, FL · 6,514 properties · updated 7/5/2026

Should you buy here?buyer-timing lens

40affordability /100

Buyer leverage is balanced; weigh payment burden and the 3-lens valuation before bidding.

Payment burden
36.4%
severe
Days on market
97
daily
Price cuts
23.0%
of active
Look up an address
35
/100
Weak
cooling · balanced · prices easing year-over-year.
Price trend
42
Affordability
25
Economic health
40

Verdict grades housing conditions; buyer-timing, investor cash-flow, supply-tightness and county macro scores answer different questions — each in its own section.

Buyer / sellerbuyer-timing lens

58/ 100SellerBalancedBuyer
Balanced Market
Needs 17.6% correction for affordability
DOM: 85d (stable) · Market Dynamics rolling median · hourly
Score Components
Payment Burden (25%)75
Valuation Gap (25%)100
Supply & Demand (20%)20
Buy vs Rent (15%)25
Cancellation Rate (10%)25
Days on Market (5%)75

Balanced market in 33540. List price is roughly fair — focus on condition and value. Payment burden: 36.5% of median income. Median days on market: 85. Renting is approximately 2% cheaper than buying (price-to-rent ratio: 12.2). Market appears 41% overpriced vs. assessed values.

Balanced market conditions. Prices roughly aligned with fundamentals — similar to stable periods in 2014-2015.
COOLINGBALANCED

Market is cooling with expanding inventory. Conditions are balanced between buyers and sellers. Prices down 2.3% YoY.

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Market snapshoteach number, once

Median price
$333,026
▾ 2.3% YoY
Days on market
97
daily · zip_data
Median rent
$2,275
ZORI
Investor score
75/100
cash-flow lens
Active listings
59
90-day

Valuation3 lenses, different anchors

vs assessor
Market vs assessed value — a tax-roll lag, not a deal signal.
Avg assessor$0
county CAMA · properties_v
vs income
Fair-value model not available for this market.
fair_value_scores · 10-state coverage
vs county comps
+68.5%
County-wide market — the widest, slowest signal.
Pasco+68.5%
Lotvox comps · mv_valuation_gap

Read together: Above county comps but sustainable on local incomes.
Pricing detail
Price / sqft$108
Price-to-income6.0×

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How 33540 ranks in FL
percentile vs all Florida ZIPs · n=1098
Market velocity19%
Supply tightness90%
Affordability22%
Investment yield84%
Appreciation40%

Affordability, supply & momentum

62SUPPLY
Tight MarketSupply Tightness

Supply is below normal — sellers are favored but buyers still have options.

Months of Supply2.6 mo
Days on Market97d
Inv vs History-32.6%
Listing Density13.1/1k
Affordability — payment burden
Monthly payment (P&I)$1,682
Payment burden36.4%
Median income · ZIP$55,426
Mortgage rate6.49% · 30yr
Total monthly own$2,015
Monthly rent$2,275
Market dynamics
Price cut %23.0%
Momentumcooling
LeverageBALANCED
Months of supply2.6
Sales (90d)0
Investment analysis
Median rent$2,275
Price-to-rent12.2
Est. cap rate5.3%
Buy vs rentfavors buying

Livability

Walk score5
Transit score2
Bike score

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Pasco County contextmacro · jobs · debt · migration

ZIP score grades housing; county score adds macro distress (jobs, debt, poverty). They answer different questions.

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