Lutz 33549

Hillsborough County, FL · 7,057 properties · updated 7/5/2026

Should you buy here?buyer-timing lens

48affordability /100

Buyer leverage is balanced; weigh payment burden and the 3-lens valuation before bidding.

Payment burden
31.3%
stretched
Days on market
44
daily
Price cuts
35.2%
of active
Valuation
-43.7%
vs assessor
Look up an address
47
/100
Mixed
cooling · balanced · prices easing year-over-year.
Price trend
35
Affordability
65
Valuation
35
Economic health
48

Verdict grades housing conditions; buyer-timing, investor cash-flow, supply-tightness and county macro scores answer different questions — each in its own section.

Buyer / sellerbuyer-timing lens

36/ 100SellerBalancedBuyer
Seller's Market
DOM: 78d (falling) · Market Dynamics rolling median · hourly
Score Components
Payment Burden (25%)50
Valuation Gap (25%)25
Supply & Demand (20%)20
Buy vs Rent (15%)50
Cancellation Rate (10%)25
Days on Market (5%)75

Seller-favored market in 33549. Expect to pay at or near list price. Payment burden: 31.3% of median income. Median days on market: 78. Renting is approximately 63% cheaper than buying (price-to-rent ratio: 19.6).

Buyer Caution

Seller's market. Be prepared to pay near list price.

Competitive market similar to 2021-2022 — limited inventory driving prices above fundamentals.
COOLINGBALANCED

Market is cooling with expanding inventory. Conditions are balanced between buyers and sellers. Prices down 1.4% YoY.

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Market snapshoteach number, once

Median price
$438,831
▾ 1.4% YoY
Days on market
44
daily · zip_data
Median rent
$1,870
ZORI
Investor score
48/100
cash-flow lens
Active listings
63
90-day

Valuation3 lenses, different anchors

vs assessor
-43.7%
Market vs assessed value — a tax-roll lag, not a deal signal.
Avg assessor$246,850
county CAMA · properties_v
vs income
Fair-value model not available for this market.
fair_value_scores · 10-state coverage
vs county comps
+74.7%
County-wide market — the widest, slowest signal.
Hillsborough+74.7%
Pasco+68.5%
Lotvox comps · mv_valuation_gap

Read together: Above county comps but sustainable on local incomes.
Pricing detail
Price / sqft$109
Price-to-income5.2×

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How 33549 ranks in FL
percentile vs all Florida ZIPs · n=1098
Market velocity82%
Supply tightness91%
Affordability41%
Investment yield22%
Appreciation57%

Affordability, supply & momentum

72SUPPLY
Tight MarketSupply Tightness

Supply is below normal — sellers are favored but buyers still have options.

Months of Supply2.6 mo
Days on Market44d
Inv vs History+2.2%
Listing Density8.6/1k
Affordability — payment burden
Monthly payment (P&I)$2,217
Payment burden31.3%
Median income · ZIP$85,066
Mortgage rate6.49% · 30yr
Total monthly own$2,655
Monthly rent$1,870
Market dynamics
Price cut %35.2%
Momentumcooling
LeverageBALANCED
Months of supply2.6
Sales (90d)0
Investment analysis
Median rent$1,870
Price-to-rent19.6
Est. cap rate3.3%
Buy vs rentneutral

Livability

Walk score3
Transit score1
Bike score

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Hillsborough County contextmacro · jobs · debt · migration

ZIP score grades housing; county score adds macro distress (jobs, debt, poverty). They answer different questions.

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