Tampa 33612

Hillsborough County, FL · 12,863 properties · updated 7/26/2026

Should you buy here?buyer-timing lens

33affordability /100

Buyer leverage is seller slight; weigh payment burden and the 3-lens valuation before bidding.

Payment burden

42.5%

severe

Days on market

daily

Price cuts

29.8%

of active

Valuation

+3.3%

vs assessor

Look up an address

/100

Mixed

stable · seller slight · prices rising year-over-year.

Price trend

Affordability

Valuation

Economic health

Verdict grades housing conditions; buyer-timing, investor cash-flow, supply-tightness and county macro scores answer different questions — each in its own section.

Buyer / sellerbuyer-timing lens

Seller's Market

Needs 29.4% correction for affordability

DOM: 45d (stable) · Market Dynamics rolling median · hourly

Score Components

Payment Burden (25%)90

Valuation Gap (25%)10

Supply & Demand (20%)20

Buy vs Rent (15%)50

Cancellation Rate (10%)0

Days on Market (5%)40

Seller-favored market in 33612. Expect to pay at or near list price. Payment burden: 41.6% of median income. A 16% price correction needed to reach 30% affordability threshold. Median days on market: 45. Renting is approximately 38% cheaper than buying (price-to-rent ratio: 16.5).

Buyer Caution

Seller's market. Be prepared to pay near list price.

Competitive market similar to 2021-2022 — limited inventory driving prices above fundamentals.

STABLESELLER SLIGHT

Market is holding steady with balanced conditions. Sellers hold a slight edge.

Address lookup$99 report path

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<iframe src="https://lotvox.com/embed/zip/33612" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;border-radius:12px;overflow:hidden;max-width:640px" loading="lazy" title="Tampa 33612 — Lotvox market card"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui;margin:4px 0 0"><a href="https://lotvox.com/tampa/zip/33612?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=backlink">Tampa 33612 housing market data</a> by <a href="https://lotvox.com/">Lotvox</a></p>

Market snapshoteach number, once

Median price

$301,034

▴ 0.5% YoY

Days on market

daily · zip_data

Median rent

$1,496

ZORI

Investor score

60/100

cash-flow lens

Active listings

90-day

Valuation3 lenses, different anchors

vs assessor

+3.3%

Market vs assessed value — a tax-roll lag, not a deal signal.

Avg assessor$311,060

county CAMA · properties_v

vs income

—

Fair-value model not available for this market.

fair_value_scores · 10-state coverage

vs county comps

+73.9%

County-wide market — the widest, slowest signal.

Hillsborough+73.9%

Lotvox comps · mv_valuation_gap

Read together: Above county comps but sustainable on local incomes.

Pricing detail

Price / sqft$81

Price-to-income6.7×

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How 33612 ranks in FL

percentile vs all Florida ZIPs · n=1098

Market velocity93%

Supply tightness97%

Affordability13%

Investment yield40%

Appreciation71%

Affordability, supply & momentum

82SUPPLY

Severe TightnessSupply Tightness

Very tight supply — well-priced homes attract multiple offers within days.

Months of Supply2.6 mo

Days on Market28d

Inv vs History-3.0%

Listing Density4.7/1k

Affordability — payment burden

Monthly payment (P&I)$1,556

Payment burden42.5%

Median income · ZIP$43,919

Mortgage rate6.71% · 30yr

Total monthly own$1,857

Monthly rent$1,496

Market dynamics

Price cut %29.8%

Momentumstable

LeverageSELLER SLIGHT

Months of supply2.6

Sales (90d)0

Investment analysis

Median rent$1,496

Price-to-rent16.5

Est. cap rate4.0%

Buy vs rentneutral

Livability

Walk score6

Transit score14

Bike score—

Historical trends

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Price bandsmix-shift

Price Bands — the median behind the median

A single median rises whenever expensive homes become a bigger share of what sells, even if no tier got more expensive. These are the tiers underneath it, computed from recorded arms-length deed transactions in Hillsborough.

Aggregate median -2.7% YoY in Tampa, FL (metro), but the under-$500k tier is -2.1% — the aggregate and the entry tier are moving together. Over the same year the under-$500k share of sales moved from 71.6% to 72.2% (+0.7pp) and the $1M+ share from 6.6% to 6.2% (-0.4pp).

Current tiers · 12 months to Aug 25floor 10 sales/tier

3 tiers had too few sales in this ZIP and are shown at county or metro level — see the stamp on each row.

Tier	Median	$/sqft	Sales	Share	Source
Under $250k	$180k	$154	114	24.7%	ZIP
$250k–$500k	$335k	$245	299	64.7%	ZIP
$500k–$750k	$535k	$241	19	4.1%	ZIP
$750k–$1M	$840k	$271	1,423	—	COUNTY · Hillsborough, FL
$1M–$1.5M	$1.20M	$332	770	—	COUNTY · Hillsborough, FL
$1.5M–$2M	$1.70M	$425	284	—	COUNTY · Hillsborough, FL
$2M+	$3.04M	$233	13	2.8%	ZIP
All sales (the headline median)	$323k	$233	462	100%	ZIP

ZIP-level history was too thin to draw the tiers; served at metro level (Tampa, FL), by quarter.

Share of sales by tier (quarterly)

If the upper tiers widen over time, the headline median rises on composition alone.

Under $250k
$250k–$500k
$500k–$750k
$750k–$1M
$1M–$1.5M
$1.5M–$2M
$2M+

Median within each tier, against the headline median (quarterly)

The blue line is the single number NAR-style reporting quotes. The gold lines are what each tier actually did. Log scale — the tiers span an order of magnitude, and on a log axis equal slopes mean equal percentage moves, which is the comparison being made.

Under $250k
$250k–$500k
$500k–$750k
$750k–$1M
$1M–$1.5M
$1.5M–$2M
$2M+
All sales (headline)

National context — not local

NAR's aggregate existing-home median for the United States and the South census region. This is the figure the tiers above are a check on. It is national/regional and says nothing about 33612.

United States
South

Copyright, National Association of Realtors. Reprinted with permission. Retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. FRED publishes a rolling 13-month window for these series.

Tiers computed from Lotvox parcel and deed substrate through Aug 25 (10 later months withheld as partially loaded). Sample floor 10 sales per tier; below it a figure is drawn from the county or metro and labelled, or left blank. Multi-parcel bulk deeds and duplicate records are excluded.

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Hillsborough County contextmacro · jobs · debt · migration

ZIP score grades housing; county score adds macro distress (jobs, debt, poverty). They answer different questions.

ZIP 33612→Hillsborough County, FL

12-Month Direction

-9Stable

Confidence

100%

DeterioratingStableImproving

BuildersLens Market Intelligence

Market Score

37· Weak

Market Score grades housing-market conditions (affordability, valuation, supply). The county Healthy/Moderate/Distressed badge measures economic distress (jobs, debt, poverty) — the two can read differently.

Payment Burden48

31.2%

stretched

Source: Lotvox · Updated 2026-05-15

Buy vs Rent44

1.347x

rent advantage

Source: Lotvox · Updated 2026-05-15

Valuation6

+73.9%

overvalued

Source: Lotvox comps · Updated 2026-05-15