Verdict grades housing conditions; buyer-timing, investor cash-flow, supply-tightness and county macro scores answer different questions — each in its own section.
Buyer / sellerbuyer-timing lens
Negotiate Hard
Needs 27.2% correction for affordability
DOM: 91d (falling) · Market Dynamics rolling median · hourly
Score Components
Payment Burden (25%)90
Valuation Gap (25%)10
Supply & Demand (20%)100
Buy vs Rent (15%)50
Cancellation Rate (10%)75
Days on Market (5%)100
Moderate buyer leverage in 33767. Room to negotiate 5-10% below list. Payment burden: 40.7% of median income. A 14% price correction needed to reach 30% affordability threshold. Median days on market: 91. Renting is approximately 41% cheaper than buying (price-to-rent ratio: 16.9).
What to Offer
Offer 5-10% below list. You have room to negotiate.
A single median rises whenever expensive homes become a bigger share of what sells, even if no tier got more expensive. These are the tiers underneath it, computed from recorded arms-length deed transactions in Pinellas.
Aggregate median +5.3% YoY in this ZIP, but the under-$500k tier is -7.7% — the rise is mix shift, not appreciation. Over the same year the under-$500k share of sales moved from 22.3% to 23.0% (+0.7pp) and the $1M+ share from 36.8% to 38.7% (+1.9pp).
Current tiers · 12 months to Aug 25floor 10 sales/tier
Tier
Median
$/sqft
Sales
Share
Source
Under $250k
$180k
$222
17
2.4%
ZIP
$250k–$500k
$378k
$333
146
20.6%
ZIP
$500k–$750k
$601k
$463
165
23.3%
ZIP
$750k–$1M
$830k
$500
106
15.0%
ZIP
$1M–$1.5M
$1.20M
$612
148
20.9%
ZIP
$1.5M–$2M
$1.66M
$718
65
9.2%
ZIP
$2M+
$2.55M
$712
61
8.6%
ZIP
All sales (the headline median)
$790k
$497
708
100%
ZIP
Share of sales by tier (quarterly)
If the upper tiers widen over time, the headline median rises on composition alone.
Under $250k
$250k–$500k
$500k–$750k
$750k–$1M
$1M–$1.5M
$1.5M–$2M
$2M+
Median within each tier, against the headline median (quarterly)
The blue line is the single number NAR-style reporting quotes. The gold lines are what each tier actually did. Log scale — the tiers span an order of magnitude, and on a log axis equal slopes mean equal percentage moves, which is the comparison being made.
$250k–$500k
$500k–$750k
$750k–$1M
$1M–$1.5M
$1.5M–$2M
$2M+
All sales (headline)
National context — not local
NAR's aggregate existing-home median for the United States and the South census region. This is the figure the tiers above are a check on. It is national/regional and says nothing about 33767.
United States
South
Copyright, National Association of Realtors. Reprinted with permission. Retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. FRED publishes a rolling 13-month window for these series.
Tiers computed from Lotvox parcel and deed substrate through Aug 25 (10 later months withheld as partially loaded). Sample floor 10 sales per tier; below it a figure is drawn from the county or metro and labelled, or left blank. Multi-parcel bulk deeds and duplicate records are excluded.
Pinellas County contextmacro · jobs · debt · migration
ZIP score grades housing; county score adds macro distress (jobs, debt, poverty). They answer different questions.
Pinellas County
County-level context for ZIP 33767
Verified — Pinellas County
Healthy (30)
ZIP 33767→Pinellas County, FL
12-Month Direction
-10Stable
Confidence
100%
DeterioratingStableImproving
Why this score
BuildersLens Market Intelligence
Market Score
38· Weak
Market Score grades housing-market conditions (affordability, valuation, supply). The county Healthy/Moderate/Distressed badge measures economic distress (jobs, debt, poverty) — the two can read differently.