Verdict grades housing conditions; buyer-timing, investor cash-flow, supply-tightness and county macro scores answer different questions — each in its own section.
Buyer / sellerbuyer-timing lens
Balanced Market
Needs 21.7% correction for affordability
DOM: 55d (stable) · Market Dynamics rolling median · hourly
Score Components
Payment Burden (25%)75
Valuation Gap (25%)25
Supply & Demand (20%)100
Buy vs Rent (15%)50
Cancellation Rate (10%)0
Days on Market (5%)60
Balanced market in 34698. List price is roughly fair — focus on condition and value. Payment burden: 37.3% of median income. A 6% price correction needed to reach 30% affordability threshold. Median days on market: 55. Renting is approximately 36% cheaper than buying (price-to-rent ratio: 16.3).
Balanced market conditions. Prices roughly aligned with fundamentals — similar to stable periods in 2014-2015.
STABLESELLER SLIGHT
Market is holding steady with balanced conditions. Sellers hold a slight edge.
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A single median rises whenever expensive homes become a bigger share of what sells, even if no tier got more expensive. These are the tiers underneath it, computed from recorded arms-length deed transactions in Pinellas.
Aggregate median +3.2% YoY in this ZIP, but the under-$500k tier is +3.8% — both the aggregate and the entry tier are rising. Over the same year the under-$500k share of sales moved from 62.2% to 60.1% (-2.1pp) and the $1M+ share from 6.7% to 8.2% (+1.5pp).
Current tiers · 12 months to Aug 25floor 10 sales/tier
Tier
Median
$/sqft
Sales
Share
Source
Under $250k
$162k
$171
396
24.5%
ZIP
$250k–$500k
$387k
$277
574
35.6%
ZIP
$500k–$750k
$599k
$325
370
22.9%
ZIP
$750k–$1M
$840k
$324
142
8.8%
ZIP
$1M–$1.5M
$1.20M
$370
92
5.7%
ZIP
$1.5M–$2M
$1.79M
$477
12
0.7%
ZIP
$2M+
$2.45M
$563
28
1.7%
ZIP
All sales (the headline median)
$433k
$279
1,614
100%
ZIP
Share of sales by tier (quarterly)
If the upper tiers widen over time, the headline median rises on composition alone.
Under $250k
$250k–$500k
$500k–$750k
$750k–$1M
$1M–$1.5M
$1.5M–$2M
$2M+
Median within each tier, against the headline median (quarterly)
The blue line is the single number NAR-style reporting quotes. The gold lines are what each tier actually did. Log scale — the tiers span an order of magnitude, and on a log axis equal slopes mean equal percentage moves, which is the comparison being made.
Under $250k
$250k–$500k
$500k–$750k
$750k–$1M
$1M–$1.5M
$2M+
All sales (headline)
National context — not local
NAR's aggregate existing-home median for the United States and the South census region. This is the figure the tiers above are a check on. It is national/regional and says nothing about 34698.
United States
South
Copyright, National Association of Realtors. Reprinted with permission. Retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. FRED publishes a rolling 13-month window for these series.
Tiers computed from Lotvox parcel and deed substrate through Aug 25 (10 later months withheld as partially loaded). Sample floor 10 sales per tier; below it a figure is drawn from the county or metro and labelled, or left blank. Multi-parcel bulk deeds and duplicate records are excluded.
Pinellas County contextmacro · jobs · debt · migration
ZIP score grades housing; county score adds macro distress (jobs, debt, poverty). They answer different questions.
Pinellas County
County-level context for ZIP 34698
Verified — Pinellas County
Healthy (30)
ZIP 34698→Pinellas County, FL
12-Month Direction
-10Stable
Confidence
100%
DeterioratingStableImproving
Why this score
BuildersLens Market Intelligence
Market Score
38· Weak
Market Score grades housing-market conditions (affordability, valuation, supply). The county Healthy/Moderate/Distressed badge measures economic distress (jobs, debt, poverty) — the two can read differently.