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·Lakeland Metro
FL

Lakeland Metro

Lakeland Metro Market Report

Top 10 ZIPs by size — 7.32% mortgage rate — Updated 10/27/2026

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Listings Flow Ladder — Lakeland

Faucet, basin and drain — new listings in, active inventory, closed sales out.as of Sep 30, 2026

the basin is fillingnet 341 listings/mo
balanced 4–6 mo5.2 mo
Faucet — new listings
1,420/mo
110% of normal (1,296) · normal
Basin — active listings
5,596
145% of normal (3,847) · balanced
Months of supply
5.2 mo
derived — not published at this grain
Drain — closed sales
1,080/mo
104% of normal (1,042)
Net — faucet minus drain
+341/mo
filling
Reading
current
as of 2026-09-30
Compare against:
2015-01-01 to 2019-12-31 · 5 same-month points

How plugged is the drain? Two definitions, both ours, deliberately not reconciled.

  • 30%Absorption vs its own normal— 1 - (closed sales / active listings) / same-month median of that ratio
  • 0%Closed sales vs its own normal— 1 - closed sales per month / same-month median closed sales per month

Closed sales over 24 months — two different numbers, deliberately not merged.

  • 230/mofall in the monthly rate (18%)— peak 1,310/mo (2025-05-31) to 1,080/mo now
  • 256transactions that did not happen— summed monthly shortfall vs the same-month normal, over 8 months below it (vs 2015-19 (COVID excluded))
  • rate_drop_from_peak is a change in the monthly rate; cumulative_shortfall_vs_normal counts transactions not transacted. They are different quantities and are not interchangeable.
2026-09-30

Redfin market data (county + ZIP), via Lotvox. As of 2026-09-30. Normal = same-month median of monthly rates, minimum 3 same-month points. Source window 3 months (flows shown per month). Aggregated over a fixed panel of 29 zips — the panel is fixed so a change in who reports cannot look like a change in the market. months_of_supply is not published at this grain (0 non-null rows measured); derived here as active listings / closed sales per month.

Verified county coverage:Polk County, FLHighlands County, FL

Tracked ZIPs
10
Avg Score
52
Avg Median
$278,068
Market
Buyer's
Avg Composite
52/100
Avg Median Price
$278,068
Avg Rent
$1,796/mo
Avg Burden
28.6%of income

Buyer Leverage — Should I Buy in Lakeland?

55
Avg Buyer Score
31 ZIPs analyzed
Strong Buyer
1
Moderate
9
Balanced
16
Seller Favored
5
Strong Seller
0
Best for Buyers
33841Fort Meade74
33850Lake Alfred71
33838Dundee69
Most Competitive
33810Lakeland38
33860Mulberry38
33805Lakeland39
33811Lakeland39
33839Eagle Lake39

MODERATE — Lakeland has mixed conditions, pockets of opportunity

33837
Davenport, polk county
44
Median Price
$335,349
YoY
-3.4%
Payment Burden
29.2%
Buy vs Rent
Buy
Days on Market
56
Supply
5.1 mo
Rent
$2,049
Val. Gap
-26.4%
33844
Haines City, polk county
38
Median Price
$292,346
YoY
-3.1%
Payment Burden
31.9%
Buy vs Rent
Buy
Days on Market
64
Supply
4.3 mo
Rent
$2,079
Val. Gap
-52.8%
34759
Poinciana, polk county
47
Median Price
$276,266
YoY
-3.8%
Payment Burden
29.2%
Buy vs Rent
Buy
Days on Market
109
Supply
6.7 mo
Rent
$1,907
Val. Gap
-10.8%
33843
Frostproof, polk county
74
Median Price
$194,319
YoY
+2.2%
Payment Burden
25%
Buy vs Rent
Buy
Days on Market
139
Supply
9.7 mo
Rent
$1,416
Val. Gap
-29.4%
33810
Lakeland, polk county
48
Median Price
$315,049
YoY
-1.1%
Payment Burden
29.8%
Buy vs Rent
Buy
Days on Market
57
Supply
5.2 mo
Rent
$2,076
Val. Gap
-49.5%
33880
Winter Haven, polk county
45
Median Price
$250,810
YoY
-1.8%
Payment Burden
29.1%
Buy vs Rent
Buy
Days on Market
65
Supply
5.2 mo
Rent
$1,477
Val. Gap
+135.7%
33825
Avon Park, highlands county
45
Median Price
$204,754
YoY
-1.0%
Payment Burden
29%
Buy vs Rent
Buy
Days on Market
71
Supply
7.6 mo
Rent
$1,493
Val. Gap
+93.5%
33884
Winter Haven, polk county
58
Median Price
$295,079
YoY
-2.2%
Payment Burden
27.6%
Buy vs Rent
Buy
Days on Market
69
Supply
4.4 mo
Rent
$1,826
Val. Gap
+18.4%
33898
Lake Wales, polk county
57
Median Price
$247,734
YoY
-1.6%
Payment Burden
29.8%
Buy vs Rent
Buy
Days on Market
90
Supply
5.8 mo
Rent
$1,565
Val. Gap
-13.3%
33813
Lakeland, polk county
66
Median Price
$368,970
YoY
-0.3%
Payment Burden
25.2%
Buy vs Rent
Buy
Days on Market
51
Supply
3.1 mo
Rent
$2,072
Val. Gap
-0.8%

Median price and 12-month change: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI); where a ZIP has no ZHVI value, the county assessor average. Days on market: Redfin Data Center, rolling 90 days; months of supply: Redfin Data Center. Rent: Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI); where a ZIP has no ZORI value, the Census ACS county rent.

Every ZIP market page in Lakeland Metro (37)