Lake Alfred 33850

Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL · Polk County, FL · 5,273 properties · updated 7/5/2026

Should you buy here?buyer-timing lens

43affordability /100

Buyer leverage is buyer advantage; weigh payment burden and the 3-lens valuation before bidding.

Payment burden
34.9%
stretched
Days on market
124
daily
Price cuts
30.3%
of active
Valuation
-54.6%
vs assessor
Look up an address
36
/100
weak
stable · buyer advantage · prices easing year-over-year.

Verdict grades housing conditions; buyer-timing, investor cash-flow, supply-tightness and county macro scores answer different questions — each in its own section.

Buyer / sellerbuyer-timing lens

71/ 100SellerBalancedBuyer
Negotiate Hard
Needs 14% correction for affordability
DOM: 86d (stable) · Market Dynamics rolling median · hourly
Score Components
Payment Burden (25%)50
Valuation Gap (25%)100
Supply & Demand (20%)100
Buy vs Rent (15%)0
Cancellation Rate (10%)100
Days on Market (5%)75

Moderate buyer leverage in 33850. Room to negotiate 5-10% below list. Payment burden: 34.9% of median income. Median days on market: 86. Market appears 31% overpriced vs. assessed values.

What to Offer

Offer 5-10% below list. You have room to negotiate.

Conditions resemble 2019 pre-pandemic levels — moderate overvaluation with slowing demand. Negotiation room exists.
STABLEBUYER ADVANTAGE

Market is holding steady with balanced conditions. Buyers have strong negotiating leverage. Prices down 1.3% YoY.

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Market snapshoteach number, once

Median price
$309,977
▾ 1.3% YoY
Days on market
124
daily · zip_data
Median rent
$2,231
ZORI
Investor score
79/100
cash-flow lens
Active listings
83
90-day

Valuation3 lenses, different anchors

vs assessor
-54.6%
Market vs assessed value — a tax-roll lag, not a deal signal.
Avg assessor$140,800
county CAMA · properties_v
vs income
—
Fair-value model not available for this market.
fair_value_scores · 10-state coverage
vs county comps
+74.1%
County-wide market — the widest, slowest signal.
Polk+74.1%
Lotvox comps · mv_valuation_gap
Read together: Above county comps but sustainable on local incomes.
Pricing detail
Price / sqft$165
Price-to-income5.8×

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How 33850 ranks in FL
percentile vs all FL ZIPs
Comparative ranking not available for this ZIP.

Affordability, supply & momentum

19SUPPLY
OversuppliedSupply Tightness

Ample inventory — buyers have time and leverage to negotiate.

Months of Supply28.9 mo
Days on Market124d
Inv vs History-35.9%
Listing Density24.6/1k
Market dynamics
Price cut %30.3%
Momentumstable
LeverageBUYER ADVANTAGE
Months of supply28.9
Sales (90d)0
Investment analysis
Median rent$2,231
Price-to-rent11.6
Est. cap rate5.6%
Buy vs rentfavors buying

Livability

Walk score—
Transit score—
Bike score—

Historical trends

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Polk County contextmacro · jobs · debt · migration

ZIP score grades housing; county score adds macro distress (jobs, debt, poverty). They answer different questions.

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Nearby ZIP codes

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Davenport
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Dundee
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$267,096
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Lakeland Metro·Overpriced ZIPs·Investor ZIPs·View on Map·Polk County