Lake Wales 33859

Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL · Polk County, FL · 6,098 properties · updated 7/5/2026

Should you buy here?buyer-timing lens

55affordability /100

Buyer leverage is balanced; weigh payment burden and the 3-lens valuation before bidding.

Payment burden
27%
affordable
Days on market
102
daily
Price cuts
23.9%
of active
Valuation
+25.5%
vs assessor
Look up an address
50
/100
mixed
cooling · balanced · prices easing year-over-year.

Verdict grades housing conditions; buyer-timing, investor cash-flow, supply-tightness and county macro scores answer different questions — each in its own section.

Buyer / sellerbuyer-timing lens

62/ 100SellerBalancedBuyer
Negotiate Hard
DOM: 107d (rising) · Market Dynamics rolling median · hourly
Score Components
Payment Burden (25%)25
Valuation Gap (25%)80
Supply & Demand (20%)100
Buy vs Rent (15%)25
Cancellation Rate (10%)75
Days on Market (5%)100

Moderate buyer leverage in 33859. Room to negotiate 5-10% below list. Payment burden: 27.1% of median income. Median days on market: 107. Renting is approximately 18% cheaper than buying (price-to-rent ratio: 14.2). Market appears 24% overpriced vs. assessed values.

What to Offer

Offer 5-10% below list. You have room to negotiate.

Conditions resemble 2019 pre-pandemic levels — moderate overvaluation with slowing demand. Negotiation room exists.
COOLINGBALANCED

Market is cooling with expanding inventory. Conditions are balanced between buyers and sellers. Prices down 3.7% YoY.

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Market snapshoteach number, once

Median price
$276,079
▾ 3.7% YoY
Days on market
102
daily · zip_data
Median rent
$1,625
ZORI
Investor score
66/100
cash-flow lens
Active listings
87
90-day

Valuation3 lenses, different anchors

vs assessor
+25.5%
Market vs assessed value — a tax-roll lag, not a deal signal.
Avg assessor$346,500
county CAMA · properties_v
vs income
Fair-value model not available for this market.
fair_value_scores · 10-state coverage
vs county comps
+74.1%
County-wide market — the widest, slowest signal.
Polk+74.1%
Lotvox comps · mv_valuation_gap

Read together: Above county comps but sustainable on local incomes.
Pricing detail
Price / sqft$167
Price-to-income4.5×

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How 33859 ranks in FL
percentile vs all FL ZIPs
Comparative ranking not available for this ZIP.

Affordability, supply & momentum

21SUPPLY
OversuppliedSupply Tightness

Ample inventory — buyers have time and leverage to negotiate.

Months of Supply23.3 mo
Days on Market102d
Inv vs History-34.1%
Listing Density19.6/1k
Market dynamics
Price cut %23.9%
Momentumcooling
LeverageBALANCED
Months of supply23.3
Sales (90d)0
Investment analysis
Median rent$1,625
Price-to-rent14.2
Est. cap rate4.6%
Buy vs rentfavors buying

Livability

Walk score8
Transit score
Bike score

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Polk County contextmacro · jobs · debt · migration

ZIP score grades housing; county score adds macro distress (jobs, debt, poverty). They answer different questions.

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