Surprise 85379

Maricopa County, AZ · 17,537 properties · updated 7/5/2026

Should you buy here?buyer-timing lens

59affordability /100

Buyer leverage is seller slight; weigh payment burden and the 3-lens valuation before bidding.

Payment burden
25%
affordable
Days on market
59
daily
Price cuts
32.6%
of active
Valuation
-38.8%
vs assessor
Look up an address
55
/100
Mixed
cooling · seller slight · prices easing year-over-year.
Price trend
35
Affordability
85
Valuation
35
Economic health
59

Verdict grades housing conditions; buyer-timing, investor cash-flow, supply-tightness and county macro scores answer different questions — each in its own section.

Buyer / sellerbuyer-timing lens

24/ 100SellerBalancedBuyer
Seller's Market
DOM: 61d (falling) · Market Dynamics rolling median · hourly
Score Components
Payment Burden (25%)0
Valuation Gap (25%)25
Supply & Demand (20%)20
Buy vs Rent (15%)50
Cancellation Rate (10%)25
Days on Market (5%)75

Seller-favored market in 85379. Expect to pay at or near list price. Payment burden: 25.0% of median income. Median days on market: 61. Renting is approximately 48% cheaper than buying (price-to-rent ratio: 17.8).

Buyer Caution

Seller's market. Be prepared to pay near list price.

Competitive market similar to 2021-2022 — limited inventory driving prices above fundamentals.
COOLINGSELLER SLIGHT

Market is cooling with expanding inventory. Sellers hold a slight edge. Prices down 1.6% YoY.

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Market snapshoteach number, once

Median price
$423,892
▾ 1.6% YoY
Days on market
59
daily · zip_data
Median rent
$1,987
ZORI
Investor score
55/100
cash-flow lens
Active listings
208
90-day

Valuation3 lenses, different anchors

vs assessor
-38.8%
Market vs assessed value — a tax-roll lag, not a deal signal.
Avg assessor$259,250
county CAMA · properties_v
vs income
Fair-value model not available for this market.
fair_value_scores · 10-state coverage
vs county comps
+71.3%
County-wide market — the widest, slowest signal.
Maricopa+71.3%
Lotvox comps · mv_valuation_gap

Read together: Above county comps but sustainable on local incomes.
Pricing detail
Price / sqft$428
Price-to-income4.1×

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How 85379 ranks in AZ
percentile vs all Arizona ZIPs · n=398
Market velocity58%
Supply tightness85%
Affordability83%
Investment yield76%
Appreciation27%

Affordability, supply & momentum

63SUPPLY
Tight MarketSupply Tightness

Supply is below normal — sellers are favored but buyers still have options.

Months of Supply2.6 mo
Days on Market59d
Inv vs History-3.7%
Listing Density13.8/1k
Affordability — payment burden
Monthly payment (P&I)$2,141
Payment burden25%
Median income · ZIP$102,823
Mortgage rate6.49% · 30yr
Total monthly own$2,565
Monthly rent$1,987
Market dynamics
Price cut %32.6%
Momentumcooling
LeverageSELLER SLIGHT
Months of supply2.6
Sales (90d)0
Investment analysis
Median rent$1,987
Price-to-rent17.8
Est. cap rate3.7%
Buy vs rentneutral

Livability

Walk score2
Transit score
Bike score
Places & amenities in ZIP 85379 · 46 mapped
Leaflet © OpenStreetMap contributors © CARTO
Parks & open space34
The Fields at CountrysideHeritage ParkMarley ParkDesert Garden ParkVeranda ParkHourglass Park+28 more
Recreation & aquatics2
EōS FitnessAshton Ranch HOA Main Community Pool
Venues & culture1
AMC
Dining & cafés7
Dutch Bros. CoffeeNative Grill & WingsSpencer's PlaceStarbucksPizza HutCafe Rio+1 more
Land & water1
North Fork Lower El Mirage Wash
Weekend range8
Hells Canyon Wilderness Area · wilderness area24 mi
Gila River Waterfowl Management Area · national conservation area24 mi
Sierra Estrella Wilderness Area · wilderness area28 mi
North Maricopa Mountains Wilderness Area · wilderness area35 mi
Hassayampa River Canyon Wilderness Area · wilderness area38 mi
Castle Creek Wilderness · wilderness area42 mi
Woolsey Peak Wilderness Area · wilderness area45 mi
Signal Mountain Wilderness Area · wilderness area45 mi

Straight-line distance from the ZIP centroid (USGS PAD-US).

1,161 ft above sea level elevation · USGS 3DEP1 protected / open-space parcels · USGS PAD-USSurprise: incorporated/founded 1937 · Wikidata

Place data: USGS 3D Elevation Program · USGS Protected Areas Database (PAD-US) · Wikidata · © OpenStreetMap contributors — licensed ODbL (OpenStreetMap), CC0 (Wikidata) and US public domain (USGS, NPS, Census). Every place shown comes from the named sources; nothing is editorialized.

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Maricopa County contextmacro · jobs · debt · migration

ZIP score grades housing; county score adds macro distress (jobs, debt, poverty). They answer different questions.

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