Mesa 85207

Maricopa County, AZ · 19,089 properties · updated 7/5/2026

Should you buy here?buyer-timing lens

44affordability /100

Buyer leverage is seller slight; weigh payment burden and the 3-lens valuation before bidding.

Payment burden
33.8%
stretched
Days on market
48
daily
Price cuts
35.1%
of active
Valuation
-25%
vs assessor
Look up an address
43
/100
Mixed
stable · seller slight · prices easing year-over-year.
Price trend
35
Affordability
45
Valuation
50
Economic health
44

Verdict grades housing conditions; buyer-timing, investor cash-flow, supply-tightness and county macro scores answer different questions — each in its own section.

Buyer / sellerbuyer-timing lens

40/ 100SellerBalancedBuyer
Balanced Market
Needs 11.2% correction for affordability
DOM: 70d (rising) · Market Dynamics rolling median · hourly
Score Components
Payment Burden (25%)50
Valuation Gap (25%)25
Supply & Demand (20%)20
Buy vs Rent (15%)75
Cancellation Rate (10%)25
Days on Market (5%)75

Balanced market in 85207. List price is roughly fair — focus on condition and value. Payment burden: 33.8% of median income. Median days on market: 70. Renting is approximately 77% cheaper than buying (price-to-rent ratio: 21.2).

Balanced market conditions. Prices roughly aligned with fundamentals — similar to stable periods in 2014-2015.
STABLESELLER SLIGHT

Market is holding steady with balanced conditions. Sellers hold a slight edge.

Address lookup$99 report path

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Market snapshoteach number, once

Median price
$553,870
▾ 0.7% YoY
Days on market
48
daily · zip_data
Median rent
$2,182
ZORI
Investor score
46/100
cash-flow lens
Active listings
201
90-day

Valuation3 lenses, different anchors

vs assessor
-25.0%
Market vs assessed value — a tax-roll lag, not a deal signal.
Avg assessor$415,200
county CAMA · properties_v
vs income
—
Fair-value model not available for this market.
fair_value_scores · 10-state coverage
vs county comps
+71.3%
County-wide market — the widest, slowest signal.
Maricopa+71.3%
Lotvox comps · mv_valuation_gap
Read together: Above county comps but sustainable on local incomes.
Pricing detail
Price / sqft$727
Price-to-income5.6×

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How 85207 ranks in AZ
percentile vs all Arizona ZIPs · n=398
Market velocity76%
Supply tightness78%
Affordability40%
Investment yield54%
Appreciation46%

Affordability, supply & momentum

70SUPPLY
Tight MarketSupply Tightness

Supply is below normal — sellers are favored but buyers still have options.

Months of Supply2.6 mo
Days on Market48d
Inv vs History-4.1%
Listing Density10.7/1k
Affordability — payment burden
Monthly payment (P&I)$2,798
Payment burden33.8%
Median income · ZIP$99,439
Mortgage rate6.49% · 30yr
Total monthly own$3,352
Monthly rent$2,182
Market dynamics
Price cut %35.1%
Momentumstable
LeverageSELLER SLIGHT
Months of supply2.6
Sales (90d)0
Investment analysis
Median rent$2,182
Price-to-rent21.2
Est. cap rate3.1%
Buy vs rentfavors renting

Livability

Walk score4
Transit score1
Bike score—
Places & amenities in ZIP 85207 · 120 mapped
Leaflet © OpenStreetMap contributors © CARTO
Parks & open space20
Basin 806Basin 805Basin 809Red Mountain ParkBrown Road ParkDesert Arroyo Park+14 more
Trails41
Amigos Wash TrailLevee TrailMaricopa TrailRattlerCat's Peaks loopHawes Loop Trail+35 more
Recreation & aquatics15
Red Mountain CenterRio Salado Sportsman's ClubJacob's Mission Community CenterMountain Bridge Owners ClubLas Sendas Community CenterArchery Range+9 more
Venues & culture6
Mesa Public Library - Red Mountain BranchPhoenix SignThe Dutton Family Theater MesaKirk's Studio for the Performing ArtsKVVA-FMEast Mesa
Dining & cafés19
StarbucksStarbucksPapa Kelsey's Pizza & SubsCup of JoeyThe Human BeanFat Willy's+13 more
Land & water16
Spook Hill FloodwayBoulder MountainRed Mountain LakeCentral Arizona Project CanalBasin 816Twin Knolls+10 more
Getting around2
Feemont School Bus DepotSuperstition R/C Air Park
Weekend range9
Usdi Bureau Of Reclamation, Central Arizona Project, Orme Dam Water Reserve Withdrawal · national conservation area9 mi
Superstition Wilderness Water Sources, Plo 5368 Watershed Withdrawal · national conservation area16 mi
Four Peaks Wilderness · wilderness area22 mi
Three-Bar Watersheds Research Area, Plo 3263 Watershed Withdrawal · national conservation area27 mi
McFarland State Historic Park · state park32 mi
White Canyon Wilderness Area · wilderness area36 mi
Sierra Estrella Wilderness Area · wilderness area39 mi
Salome Wilderness · wilderness area43 mi
Mazatzal Wilderness · wilderness area44 mi

Straight-line distance from the ZIP centroid (USGS PAD-US).

1,751 ft above sea level elevation · USGS 3DEP21 protected / open-space parcels · USGS PAD-USMesa: incorporated/founded 1878 · Wikidata

Place data: USGS 3D Elevation Program · USGS Protected Areas Database (PAD-US) · Wikidata · © OpenStreetMap contributors — licensed ODbL (OpenStreetMap), CC0 (Wikidata) and US public domain (USGS, NPS, Census). Every place shown comes from the named sources; nothing is editorialized.

Historical trends

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Maricopa County contextmacro · jobs · debt · migration

ZIP score grades housing; county score adds macro distress (jobs, debt, poverty). They answer different questions.

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Phoenix Metro·Overpriced ZIPs·Investor ZIPs·View on Map·Maricopa County