Mesa 85202

Maricopa County, AZ · 11,670 properties · updated 7/5/2026

Should you buy here?buyer-timing lens

40affordability /100

Buyer leverage is seller slight; weigh payment burden and the 3-lens valuation before bidding.

Payment burden
36.3%
severe
Days on market
43
daily
Price cuts
36.2%
of active
Look up an address
32
/100
Weak
cooling · seller slight · prices easing year-over-year.
Price trend
35
Affordability
25
Economic health
40

Verdict grades housing conditions; buyer-timing, investor cash-flow, supply-tightness and county macro scores answer different questions — each in its own section.

Buyer / sellerbuyer-timing lens

38/ 100SellerBalancedBuyer
Seller's Market
Needs 17.4% correction for affordability
DOM: 45d (stable) · Market Dynamics rolling median · hourly
Score Components
Payment Burden (25%)75
Valuation Gap (25%)10
Supply & Demand (20%)20
Buy vs Rent (15%)75
Cancellation Rate (10%)0
Days on Market (5%)40

Seller-favored market in 85202. Expect to pay at or near list price. Payment burden: 36.4% of median income. Median days on market: 45. Renting is approximately 103% cheaper than buying (price-to-rent ratio: 24.4).

Buyer Caution

Seller's market. Be prepared to pay near list price.

Competitive market similar to 2021-2022 — limited inventory driving prices above fundamentals.
COOLINGSELLER SLIGHT

Market is cooling with expanding inventory. Sellers hold a slight edge. Prices down 1.8% YoY.

Address lookup$99 report path

Look Up an Address in 85202

Just type the street — we'll auto-scope the search to ZIP 85202.

Actions
Export, share, or compare this ZIP
Compare
Get alerts when this market changes

Market snapshoteach number, once

Median price
$398,929
▾ 1.8% YoY
Days on market
43
daily · zip_data
Median rent
$1,365
ZORI
Investor score
33/100
cash-flow lens
Active listings
105
90-day

Valuation3 lenses, different anchors

vs assessor
—
Market vs assessed value — a tax-roll lag, not a deal signal.
Avg assessor$0
county CAMA · properties_v
vs income
—
Fair-value model not available for this market.
fair_value_scores · 10-state coverage
vs county comps
+71.3%
County-wide market — the widest, slowest signal.
Maricopa+71.3%
Lotvox comps · mv_valuation_gap
Read together: Above county comps but sustainable on local incomes.
Pricing detail
Price / sqft$297
Price-to-income6.0×

Unlock Vacancy Data

Available with Lotvox Pro — $29/mo.

Start free trial
How 85202 ranks in AZ
percentile vs all Arizona ZIPs · n=398
Market velocity84%
Supply tightness99%
Affordability31%
Investment yield31%
Appreciation22%

Affordability, supply & momentum

75SUPPLY
Severe TightnessSupply Tightness

Very tight supply — well-priced homes attract multiple offers within days.

Months of Supply2.6 mo
Days on Market43d
Inv vs History-1.6%
Listing Density6.2/1k
Affordability — payment burden
Monthly payment (P&I)$2,015
Payment burden36.3%
Median income · ZIP$66,582
Mortgage rate6.49% · 30yr
Total monthly own$2,414
Monthly rent$1,365
Market dynamics
Price cut %36.2%
Momentumcooling
LeverageSELLER SLIGHT
Months of supply2.6
Sales (90d)0
Investment analysis
Median rent$1,365
Price-to-rent24.4
Est. cap rate2.7%
Buy vs rentfavors renting

Livability

Walk score5
Transit score5
Bike score—
Places & amenities in ZIP 85202 · 74 mapped
Leaflet © OpenStreetMap contributors © CARTO
Parks & open space9
Carriage Lane ParkPalo Verde ParkThe Rose Garden at Mesa Community CollegeXeriscape Demonstration GardenOutback ArborLaguna Park+3 more
Trails2
Mesa Route 2Tempe Canal Path
Recreation & aquatics13
Focus Climbing CenterArizona Badminton CenterSWIMkids USABodyFuzion FitnessBox OutProtege Performance+7 more
Venues & culture7
Dobson Ranch Branch LibraryPaul A. Elsner LibraryRoyal Craft GalleryFine Art For BodiesArt GalleryMCC Theatre+1 more
Dining & cafés40
All Pierogi Kitchen Restaurant & Euro MarketStarbucksFirst WatchPita JungleZ-CafeDaruma Sushi/Roll/Noodle+34 more
Land & water2
Tempe CanalNajahli Bay
Weekend range12
Usdi Bureau Of Reclamation, Central Arizona Project, Orme Dam Water Reserve Withdrawal · national conservation area19 mi
Sierra Estrella Wilderness Area · wilderness area24 mi
Superstition Wilderness Water Sources, Plo 5368 Watershed Withdrawal · national conservation area30 mi
Four Peaks Wilderness · wilderness area37 mi
McFarland State Historic Park · state park37 mi
Three-Bar Watersheds Research Area, Plo 3263 Watershed Withdrawal · national conservation area41 mi
North Maricopa Mountains Wilderness Area · wilderness area42 mi
Gila River Waterfowl Management Area · national conservation area43 mi
South Maricopa Mountains Wilderness Area · wilderness area43 mi
Table Top Wilderness Area · wilderness area45 mi

Straight-line distance from the ZIP centroid (USGS PAD-US).

1,200 ft above sea level elevation · USGS 3DEP6 protected / open-space parcels · USGS PAD-USMesa: incorporated/founded 1878 · Wikidata

Place data: USGS 3D Elevation Program · USGS Protected Areas Database (PAD-US) · Wikidata · © OpenStreetMap contributors — licensed ODbL (OpenStreetMap), CC0 (Wikidata) and US public domain (USGS, NPS, Census). Every place shown comes from the named sources; nothing is editorialized.

Historical trends

Unlock Historical Trends

Available with Lotvox Pro — $29/mo.

Start free trial

Maricopa County contextmacro · jobs · debt · migration

ZIP score grades housing; county score adds macro distress (jobs, debt, poverty). They answer different questions.

Unlock County Economic Data

Available with Lotvox Pro — $29/mo.

Start free trial

Nearby ZIP codes

85203
Mesa
$452,187
-0.7%
85204
Mesa
$395,614
-1.2%
85205
Mesa
$407,245
0.0%
85206
Mesa
$387,992
-0.3%
85207
Mesa
$553,870
-0.7%
85208
Mesa
$379,965
-2.2%
85209
Mesa
$446,168
-0.9%
85201
Mesa
$362,118
-2.3%
Phoenix Metro·Overpriced ZIPs·Investor ZIPs·View on Map·Maricopa County