Mesa 85212

Maricopa County, AZ · 22,311 properties · updated 7/5/2026

Should you buy here?buyer-timing lens

55affordability /100

Buyer leverage is seller slight; weigh payment burden and the 3-lens valuation before bidding.

Payment burden
27.4%
affordable
Days on market
58
daily
Price cuts
39.8%
of active
Valuation
-58.7%
vs assessor
Look up an address
51
/100
Mixed
stable · seller slight · prices easing year-over-year.
Price trend
35
Affordability
85
Valuation
20
Economic health
55

Verdict grades housing conditions; buyer-timing, investor cash-flow, supply-tightness and county macro scores answer different questions — each in its own section.

Buyer / sellerbuyer-timing lens

33/ 100SellerBalancedBuyer
Seller's Market
DOM: 76d (rising) · Market Dynamics rolling median · hourly
Score Components
Payment Burden (25%)25
Valuation Gap (25%)10
Supply & Demand (20%)20
Buy vs Rent (15%)75
Cancellation Rate (10%)50
Days on Market (5%)75

Seller-favored market in 85212. Expect to pay at or near list price. Payment burden: 27.5% of median income. Median days on market: 76. Renting is approximately 78% cheaper than buying (price-to-rent ratio: 21.3).

Buyer Caution

Seller's market. Be prepared to pay near list price.

Competitive market similar to 2021-2022 — limited inventory driving prices above fundamentals.
STABLESELLER SLIGHT

Market is holding steady with balanced conditions. Sellers hold a slight edge.

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Market snapshoteach number, once

Median price
$558,820
▾ 0.8% YoY
Days on market
58
daily · zip_data
Median rent
$2,192
ZORI
Investor score
45/100
cash-flow lens
Active listings
284
90-day

Valuation3 lenses, different anchors

vs assessor
-58.7%
Market vs assessed value — a tax-roll lag, not a deal signal.
Avg assessor$231,000
county CAMA · properties_v
vs income
Fair-value model not available for this market.
fair_value_scores · 10-state coverage
vs county comps
+71.3%
County-wide market — the widest, slowest signal.
Maricopa+71.3%
Lotvox comps · mv_valuation_gap

Read together: Above county comps but sustainable on local incomes.
Pricing detail
Price / sqft$630
Price-to-income4.5×

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How 85212 ranks in AZ
percentile vs all Arizona ZIPs · n=398
Market velocity59%
Supply tightness74%
Affordability73%
Investment yield54%
Appreciation45%

Affordability, supply & momentum

60SUPPLY
Tight MarketSupply Tightness

Supply is below normal — sellers are favored but buyers still have options.

Months of Supply2.6 mo
Days on Market58d
Inv vs History-10.6%
Listing Density19.6/1k
Affordability — payment burden
Monthly payment (P&I)$2,823
Payment burden27.4%
Median income · ZIP$123,404
Mortgage rate6.49% · 30yr
Total monthly own$3,382
Monthly rent$2,192
Market dynamics
Price cut %39.8%
Momentumstable
LeverageSELLER SLIGHT
Months of supply2.6
Sales (90d)0
Investment analysis
Median rent$2,192
Price-to-rent21.3
Est. cap rate3.1%
Buy vs rentfavors renting

Livability

Walk score2
Transit score1
Bike score
Places & amenities in ZIP 85212 · 187 mapped
Leaflet © OpenStreetMap contributors © CARTO
Parks & open space97
Eastmark Great ParkDahlia Point PlaygroundCity of Mesa Basin 113Tribute ParkHawk ParkRayvine Point+91 more
Trails9
East Sun Devil MallSouth Backus MallSouth Avery MallSouth Amulet MallEast Sonoran Arroyo MallEast Desert Mall+3 more
Recreation & aquatics27
Mountainside FitnessGoliath FuelAnytime FitnessWild West Paintball & AirsoftArizona Athletic GroundsCrossFit+21 more
Venues & culture9
Gateway LibraryAcademic CenterEastmark Event PavilionT38 TalonVertuccio FarmsArizona State Route 24+3 more
Dining & cafés37
StarbucksStarbucksChoolah Indian BBQBlack Rock CoffeeSteadfast CoffeeBlack Rock Coffee+31 more
Land & water4
Roosevelt CanalEastmark LakeEastmark Brookwash
Getting around3
Mesa Gateway AirportGPS Power Base Bus AnnexTiburon Av & Innovation Wy W
Weekend range10
Usdi Bureau Of Reclamation, Central Arizona Project, Orme Dam Water Reserve Withdrawal · national conservation area18 mi
Superstition Wilderness Water Sources, Plo 5368 Watershed Withdrawal · national conservation area18 mi
McFarland State Historic Park · state park24 mi
Four Peaks Wilderness · wilderness area29 mi
White Canyon Wilderness Area · wilderness area32 mi
Three-Bar Watersheds Research Area, Plo 3263 Watershed Withdrawal · national conservation area34 mi
Sierra Estrella Wilderness Area · wilderness area36 mi
Table Top Wilderness Area · wilderness area48 mi
Salome Wilderness · wilderness area49 mi
Mazatzal Wilderness · wilderness area53 mi

Straight-line distance from the ZIP centroid (USGS PAD-US).

1,397 ft above sea level elevation · USGS 3DEP6 protected / open-space parcels · USGS PAD-USMesa: incorporated/founded 1878 · Wikidata

Place data: NPS National Register of Historic Places · USGS 3D Elevation Program · USGS Protected Areas Database (PAD-US) · Wikidata · © OpenStreetMap contributors — licensed ODbL (OpenStreetMap), CC0 (Wikidata) and US public domain (USGS, NPS, Census). Every place shown comes from the named sources; nothing is editorialized.

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Maricopa County contextmacro · jobs · debt · migration

ZIP score grades housing; county score adds macro distress (jobs, debt, poverty). They answer different questions.

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