Mesa 85209

Maricopa County, AZ · 19,606 properties · updated 7/5/2026

Should you buy here?buyer-timing lens

45affordability /100

Buyer leverage is seller slight; weigh payment burden and the 3-lens valuation before bidding.

Payment burden
33.6%
stretched
Days on market
57
daily
Price cuts
30.6%
of active
Valuation
+43.7%
vs assessor
Look up an address
40
/100
Mixed
stable · seller slight · prices easing year-over-year.
Price trend
35
Affordability
45
Valuation
35
Economic health
45

Verdict grades housing conditions; buyer-timing, investor cash-flow, supply-tightness and county macro scores answer different questions — each in its own section.

Buyer / sellerbuyer-timing lens

44/ 100SellerBalancedBuyer
Balanced Market
Needs 10.7% correction for affordability
DOM: 69d (stable) · Market Dynamics rolling median · hourly
Score Components
Payment Burden (25%)50
Valuation Gap (25%)40
Supply & Demand (20%)20
Buy vs Rent (15%)75
Cancellation Rate (10%)25
Days on Market (5%)75

Balanced market in 85209. List price is roughly fair — focus on condition and value. Payment burden: 33.6% of median income. Median days on market: 69. Renting is approximately 68% cheaper than buying (price-to-rent ratio: 20.2).

Balanced market conditions. Prices roughly aligned with fundamentals — similar to stable periods in 2014-2015.
STABLESELLER SLIGHT

Market is holding steady with balanced conditions. Sellers hold a slight edge.

Address lookup$99 report path

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Market snapshoteach number, once

Median price
$446,168
▾ 0.9% YoY
Days on market
57
daily · zip_data
Median rent
$1,837
ZORI
Investor score
49/100
cash-flow lens
Active listings
159
90-day

Valuation3 lenses, different anchors

vs assessor
+43.7%
Market vs assessed value — a tax-roll lag, not a deal signal.
Avg assessor$640,950
county CAMA · properties_v
vs income
Fair-value model not available for this market.
fair_value_scores · 10-state coverage
vs county comps
+71.3%
County-wide market — the widest, slowest signal.
Maricopa+71.3%
Lotvox comps · mv_valuation_gap

Read together: Above county comps but sustainable on local incomes.
Pricing detail
Price / sqft$443
Price-to-income5.5×

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How 85209 ranks in AZ
percentile vs all Arizona ZIPs · n=398
Market velocity60%
Supply tightness79%
Affordability43%
Investment yield60%
Appreciation42%

Affordability, supply & momentum

69SUPPLY
Tight MarketSupply Tightness

Supply is below normal — sellers are favored but buyers still have options.

Months of Supply2.6 mo
Days on Market57d
Inv vs History-10.2%
Listing Density9.1/1k
Affordability — payment burden
Monthly payment (P&I)$2,254
Payment burden33.6%
Median income · ZIP$80,498
Mortgage rate6.49% · 30yr
Total monthly own$2,700
Monthly rent$1,837
Market dynamics
Price cut %30.6%
Momentumstable
LeverageSELLER SLIGHT
Months of supply2.6
Sales (90d)0
Investment analysis
Median rent$1,837
Price-to-rent20.2
Est. cap rate3.2%
Buy vs rentfavors renting

Livability

Walk score6
Transit score2
Bike score
Places & amenities in ZIP 85209 · 88 mapped
Leaflet © OpenStreetMap contributors © CARTO
Parks & open space19
Christopher J. Brady ParkAugusta Ranch ParkLindner ParkLompoc ParkNavarro ParkSaranac Park+13 more
Recreation & aquatics15
CrossFitLA FitnessSkyline Aquatic CenterSunland Springs Village Fitness CenterSunland Village East HOASunland Springs Village Association Office+9 more
Venues & culture5
AMC Superstition East 12Harkins Superstition Springs 25Mesa Express Library - Monterey ParkMovie TheaterSuperRedTan Interchange
Dining & cafés40
StarbucksStarbucksStarbucksLochiel BrewingStarbucksStarbucks+34 more
Land & water6
Sossaman BasinEllsworth BasinWattlewood PondMadero PondKilarea PondSpringwood Pond
Getting around2
Gilbert AAF Auxiliary #1 (historical)Power Square Mall
Weekend range10
Usdi Bureau Of Reclamation, Central Arizona Project, Orme Dam Water Reserve Withdrawal · national conservation area14 mi
Superstition Wilderness Water Sources, Plo 5368 Watershed Withdrawal · national conservation area17 mi
Four Peaks Wilderness · wilderness area26 mi
McFarland State Historic Park · state park27 mi
Three-Bar Watersheds Research Area, Plo 3263 Watershed Withdrawal · national conservation area31 mi
White Canyon Wilderness Area · wilderness area34 mi
Sierra Estrella Wilderness Area · wilderness area37 mi
Salome Wilderness · wilderness area46 mi
Mazatzal Wilderness · wilderness area49 mi
Table Top Wilderness Area · wilderness area52 mi

Straight-line distance from the ZIP centroid (USGS PAD-US).

1,447 ft above sea level elevation · USGS 3DEP4 protected / open-space parcels · USGS PAD-USMesa: incorporated/founded 1878 · Wikidata

Place data: USGS 3D Elevation Program · USGS Protected Areas Database (PAD-US) · Wikidata · © OpenStreetMap contributors — licensed ODbL (OpenStreetMap), CC0 (Wikidata) and US public domain (USGS, NPS, Census). Every place shown comes from the named sources; nothing is editorialized.

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Maricopa County contextmacro · jobs · debt · migration

ZIP score grades housing; county score adds macro distress (jobs, debt, poverty). They answer different questions.

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Nearby ZIP codes