Mesa 85203

Maricopa County, AZ · 10,341 properties · updated 7/5/2026

Should you buy here?buyer-timing lens

38affordability /100

Buyer leverage is seller slight; weigh payment burden and the 3-lens valuation before bidding.

Payment burden
37.6%
severe
Days on market
48
daily
Price cuts
34.3%
of active
Valuation
-56.3%
vs assessor
Look up an address
29
/100
Weak
stable · seller slight · prices easing year-over-year.
Price trend
35
Affordability
25
Valuation
20
Economic health
38

Verdict grades housing conditions; buyer-timing, investor cash-flow, supply-tightness and county macro scores answer different questions — each in its own section.

Buyer / sellerbuyer-timing lens

46/ 100SellerBalancedBuyer
Balanced Market
Needs 20.2% correction for affordability
DOM: 42d (stable) · Market Dynamics rolling median · hourly
Score Components
Payment Burden (25%)75
Valuation Gap (25%)25
Supply & Demand (20%)20
Buy vs Rent (15%)100
Cancellation Rate (10%)0
Days on Market (5%)40

Balanced market in 85203. List price is roughly fair — focus on condition and value. Payment burden: 37.7% of median income. A 7% price correction needed to reach 30% affordability threshold. Median days on market: 42. Renting is approximately 128% cheaper than buying (price-to-rent ratio: 27.4).

Balanced market conditions. Prices roughly aligned with fundamentals — similar to stable periods in 2014-2015.
STABLESELLER SLIGHT

Market is holding steady with balanced conditions. Sellers hold a slight edge.

Address lookup$99 report path

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Market snapshoteach number, once

Median price
$452,187
▾ 0.7% YoY
Days on market
48
daily · zip_data
Median rent
$1,374
ZORI
Investor score
32/100
cash-flow lens
Active listings
87
90-day

Valuation3 lenses, different anchors

vs assessor
-56.3%
Market vs assessed value — a tax-roll lag, not a deal signal.
Avg assessor$197,400
county CAMA · properties_v
vs income
Fair-value model not available for this market.
fair_value_scores · 10-state coverage
vs county comps
+71.3%
County-wide market — the widest, slowest signal.
Maricopa+71.3%
Lotvox comps · mv_valuation_gap

Read together: Above county comps but sustainable on local incomes.
Pricing detail
Price / sqft$381
Price-to-income6.2×

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How 85203 ranks in AZ
percentile vs all Arizona ZIPs · n=398
Market velocity76%
Supply tightness99%
Affordability28%
Investment yield21%
Appreciation46%

Affordability, supply & momentum

70SUPPLY
Tight MarketSupply Tightness

Supply is below normal — sellers are favored but buyers still have options.

Months of Supply2.6 mo
Days on Market48d
Inv vs History+10.3%
Listing Density6.6/1k
Affordability — payment burden
Monthly payment (P&I)$2,284
Payment burden37.6%
Median income · ZIP$72,851
Mortgage rate6.49% · 30yr
Total monthly own$2,736
Monthly rent$1,374
Market dynamics
Price cut %34.3%
Momentumstable
LeverageSELLER SLIGHT
Months of supply2.6
Sales (90d)0
Investment analysis
Median rent$1,374
Price-to-rent27.4
Est. cap rate2.4%
Buy vs rentfavors renting

Livability

Walk score4
Transit score4
Bike score
Places & amenities in ZIP 85203 · 62 mapped
Leaflet © OpenStreetMap contributors © CARTO
Parks & open space13
Candlelight ParkPioneer ParkPark of the Canals, Brinton Desert Botanical GardenOakwood Estates Subdivision Mini ParkGilbert Estates Phase Two Mini ParkSun Circle Basin+7 more
Trails6
North Consolidated CanalSun Circle TrailPorter Park PathwayConsoliated Canal PathMesa Route 4Compass Course
Recreation & aquatics11
Anytime FitnessLA FitnessRock Steady BoxingKTR MesaDesert Devils GymnasticsThe Fit Stop+5 more
Venues & culture3
Mesa Historical MuseumThe CollaboratoryEngine 2355
Dining & cafés24
StarbucksStarbucksStarbucksDutch Bros. CoffeeBlue 32Jalapeño Dragon+18 more
Land & water2
Gilbert Estates Phase Two Water Retention BasinConsolidated Canal
Getting around2
Stapley Dr/Main StStapley Drive - School Bus Depot
Weekend range10
Usdi Bureau Of Reclamation, Central Arizona Project, Orme Dam Water Reserve Withdrawal · national conservation area13 mi
Superstition Wilderness Water Sources, Plo 5368 Watershed Withdrawal · national conservation area25 mi
Sierra Estrella Wilderness Area · wilderness area30 mi
Four Peaks Wilderness · wilderness area30 mi
Three-Bar Watersheds Research Area, Plo 3263 Watershed Withdrawal · national conservation area35 mi
McFarland State Historic Park · state park37 mi
Mazatzal Wilderness · wilderness area45 mi
Hells Canyon Wilderness Area · wilderness area48 mi
Gila River Waterfowl Management Area · national conservation area48 mi
South Maricopa Mountains Wilderness Area · wilderness area50 mi

Straight-line distance from the ZIP centroid (USGS PAD-US).

1,272 ft above sea level elevation · USGS 3DEP20 protected / open-space parcels · USGS PAD-USMesa: incorporated/founded 1878 · Wikidata

Place data: NPS National Register of Historic Places · USGS 3D Elevation Program · USGS Protected Areas Database (PAD-US) · Wikidata · © OpenStreetMap contributors — licensed ODbL (OpenStreetMap), CC0 (Wikidata) and US public domain (USGS, NPS, Census). Every place shown comes from the named sources; nothing is editorialized.

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Maricopa County contextmacro · jobs · debt · migration

ZIP score grades housing; county score adds macro distress (jobs, debt, poverty). They answer different questions.

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Nearby ZIP codes