Mesa 85201

Maricopa County, AZ · 12,561 properties · updated 7/5/2026

Should you buy here?buyer-timing lens

43affordability /100

Buyer leverage is seller slight; weigh payment burden and the 3-lens valuation before bidding.

Payment burden
34.4%
stretched
Days on market
39
daily
Price cuts
35.6%
of active
Valuation
+44.6%
vs assessor
Look up an address
39
/100
Weak
cooling · seller slight · prices easing year-over-year.
Price trend
35
Affordability
45
Valuation
35
Economic health
43

Verdict grades housing conditions; buyer-timing, investor cash-flow, supply-tightness and county macro scores answer different questions — each in its own section.

Buyer / sellerbuyer-timing lens

33/ 100SellerBalancedBuyer
Seller's Market
Needs 12.8% correction for affordability
DOM: 57d (stable) · Market Dynamics rolling median · hourly
Score Components
Payment Burden (25%)50
Valuation Gap (25%)10
Supply & Demand (20%)20
Buy vs Rent (15%)75
Cancellation Rate (10%)0
Days on Market (5%)60

Seller-favored market in 85201. Expect to pay at or near list price. Payment burden: 34.5% of median income. Median days on market: 57. Renting is approximately 86% cheaper than buying (price-to-rent ratio: 22.3).

Buyer Caution

Seller's market. Be prepared to pay near list price.

Competitive market similar to 2021-2022 — limited inventory driving prices above fundamentals.
COOLINGSELLER SLIGHT

Market is cooling with expanding inventory. Sellers hold a slight edge. Prices down 2.3% YoY.

Address lookup$99 report path

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Market snapshoteach number, once

Median price
$362,118
▾ 2.3% YoY
Days on market
39
daily · zip_data
Median rent
$1,352
ZORI
Investor score
37/100
cash-flow lens
Active listings
110
90-day

Valuation3 lenses, different anchors

vs assessor
+44.6%
Market vs assessed value — a tax-roll lag, not a deal signal.
Avg assessor$523,600
county CAMA · properties_v
vs income
Fair-value model not available for this market.
fair_value_scores · 10-state coverage
vs county comps
+71.3%
County-wide market — the widest, slowest signal.
Maricopa+71.3%
Lotvox comps · mv_valuation_gap

Read together: Above county comps but sustainable on local incomes.
Pricing detail
Price / sqft$270
Price-to-income5.7×

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How 85201 ranks in AZ
percentile vs all Arizona ZIPs · n=398
Market velocity89%
Supply tightness91%
Affordability38%
Investment yield43%
Appreciation16%

Affordability, supply & momentum

76SUPPLY
Severe TightnessSupply Tightness

Very tight supply — well-priced homes attract multiple offers within days.

Months of Supply2.6 mo
Days on Market39d
Inv vs History+5.3%
Listing Density5.2/1k
Affordability — payment burden
Monthly payment (P&I)$1,829
Payment burden34.4%
Median income · ZIP$63,725
Mortgage rate6.49% · 30yr
Total monthly own$2,191
Monthly rent$1,352
Market dynamics
Price cut %35.6%
Momentumcooling
LeverageSELLER SLIGHT
Months of supply2.6
Sales (90d)0
Investment analysis
Median rent$1,352
Price-to-rent22.3
Est. cap rate2.9%
Buy vs rentfavors renting

Livability

Walk score7
Transit score7
Bike score
Places & amenities in ZIP 85201 · 115 mapped
Leaflet © OpenStreetMap contributors © CARTO
Parks & open space20
Evergreen ParkEscobedo ParkWashington ParkFreedom ParkWhitman ParkPlaza at Mesa City Center+14 more
Trails4
Consoliated Canal PathRio Salado PathwayTempe Canal PathCountry Club Heights 3
Recreation & aquatics13
LA FitnessPlanet FitnessBuild Up CrossfitThe FoundryHubbard Family Swim SchoolWest Mesa Community Development Corporation+7 more
Venues & culture29
Neighborhood Comedy TheatreCinemark Mesa 16Arizona Museum of Natural HistoryMesa Arts Centeridea MuseumMesa Public Library+23 more
Dining & cafés40
StarbucksMountain Mike'sChili'sIHOPRenegade CoffeeCracker Barrel+34 more
Land & water3
Tempe CanalCity of Mesa, Salt River Aquifer ReplenishmentRiverview Lake
Getting around5
Mesa Police HeliportSycamore/Main StCenter/Main StCountry Club/Main StAlma School/Main St
Weekend range11
Usdi Bureau Of Reclamation, Central Arizona Project, Orme Dam Water Reserve Withdrawal · national conservation area16 mi
Sierra Estrella Wilderness Area · wilderness area27 mi
Superstition Wilderness Water Sources, Plo 5368 Watershed Withdrawal · national conservation area28 mi
Four Peaks Wilderness · wilderness area34 mi
Three-Bar Watersheds Research Area, Plo 3263 Watershed Withdrawal · national conservation area37 mi
McFarland State Historic Park · state park39 mi
North Maricopa Mountains Wilderness Area · wilderness area45 mi
Gila River Waterfowl Management Area · national conservation area45 mi
Mazatzal Wilderness · wilderness area47 mi
Hells Canyon Wilderness Area · wilderness area47 mi

Straight-line distance from the ZIP centroid (USGS PAD-US).

1,243 ft above sea level elevation · USGS 3DEP26 protected / open-space parcels · USGS PAD-USMesa: incorporated/founded 1878 · Wikidata

Place data: NPS National Register of Historic Places · USGS 3D Elevation Program · USGS Protected Areas Database (PAD-US) · Wikidata · © OpenStreetMap contributors — licensed ODbL (OpenStreetMap), CC0 (Wikidata) and US public domain (USGS, NPS, Census). Every place shown comes from the named sources; nothing is editorialized.

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Maricopa County contextmacro · jobs · debt · migration

ZIP score grades housing; county score adds macro distress (jobs, debt, poverty). They answer different questions.

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Nearby ZIP codes