Mesa 85210

Maricopa County, AZ · 10,982 properties · updated 7/5/2026

Should you buy here?buyer-timing lens

39affordability /100

Buyer leverage is buyer advantage; weigh payment burden and the 3-lens valuation before bidding.

Payment burden
37.2%
severe
Days on market
51
daily
Price cuts
34.3%
of active
Valuation
-9.6%
vs assessor
Look up an address
39
/100
Weak
cooling · buyer advantage · prices easing year-over-year.
Price trend
35
Affordability
25
Valuation
70
Economic health
39

Verdict grades housing conditions; buyer-timing, investor cash-flow, supply-tightness and county macro scores answer different questions — each in its own section.

Buyer / sellerbuyer-timing lens

40/ 100SellerBalancedBuyer
Balanced Market
Needs 19.4% correction for affordability
DOM: 64d (falling) · Market Dynamics rolling median · hourly
Score Components
Payment Burden (25%)75
Valuation Gap (25%)10
Supply & Demand (20%)20
Buy vs Rent (15%)75
Cancellation Rate (10%)0
Days on Market (5%)75

Balanced market in 85210. List price is roughly fair — focus on condition and value. Payment burden: 37.2% of median income. A 6% price correction needed to reach 30% affordability threshold. Median days on market: 64. Renting is approximately 76% cheaper than buying (price-to-rent ratio: 21.1).

Balanced market conditions. Prices roughly aligned with fundamentals — similar to stable periods in 2014-2015.
COOLINGBUYER ADVANTAGE

Market is cooling with expanding inventory. Buyers have strong negotiating leverage. Prices down 2.4% YoY.

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Market snapshoteach number, once

Median price
$365,802
▾ 2.4% YoY
Days on market
51
daily · zip_data
Median rent
$1,447
ZORI
Investor score
42/100
cash-flow lens
Active listings
69
90-day

Valuation3 lenses, different anchors

vs assessor
-9.6%
Market vs assessed value — a tax-roll lag, not a deal signal.
Avg assessor$330,649
county CAMA · properties_v
vs income
Fair-value model not available for this market.
fair_value_scores · 10-state coverage
vs county comps
+71.3%
County-wide market — the widest, slowest signal.
Maricopa+71.3%
Lotvox comps · mv_valuation_gap

Read together: Above county comps but sustainable on local incomes.
Pricing detail
Price / sqft$270
Price-to-income6.1×

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How 85210 ranks in AZ
percentile vs all Arizona ZIPs · n=398
Market velocity71%
Supply tightness81%
Affordability29%
Investment yield54%
Appreciation14%

Affordability, supply & momentum

74SUPPLY
Tight MarketSupply Tightness

Supply is below normal — sellers are favored but buyers still have options.

Months of Supply2.6 mo
Days on Market51d
Inv vs History-9.4%
Listing Density4.5/1k
Affordability — payment burden
Monthly payment (P&I)$1,848
Payment burden37.2%
Median income · ZIP$59,680
Mortgage rate6.49% · 30yr
Total monthly own$2,214
Monthly rent$1,447
Market dynamics
Price cut %34.3%
Momentumcooling
LeverageBUYER ADVANTAGE
Months of supply2.6
Sales (90d)0
Investment analysis
Median rent$1,447
Price-to-rent21.1
Est. cap rate3.1%
Buy vs rentfavors renting

Livability

Walk score4
Transit score5
Bike score
Places & amenities in ZIP 85210 · 78 mapped
Leaflet © OpenStreetMap contributors © CARTO
Parks & open space10
Heritage ParkRotary ParkKleinman ParkRancho Del Mar ParkFiesta Sports ParkMarlborough Mesa Park+4 more
Recreation & aquatics17
La Casita Recreation CenterFitness HausMesa Metropolitan USBC AssociationFitBody Boot CampEōS FitnessLou Frazier Baseball+11 more
Venues & culture5
King Ben's CastleThe Nile TheaterOneOhOne Art GalleryFiesta MallGolfland Sunsplash
Dining & cafés40
Green Corner RestaurantStarbucksStarbucksBeanchain CoffeeDutch Bros. CoffeeWaffle House+34 more
Land & water1
Drain
Getting around4
West Mesa Park and RideGreyhound: Bus StationMesa Public School TransportationAll Aboard America
Weekend range12
Usdi Bureau Of Reclamation, Central Arizona Project, Orme Dam Water Reserve Withdrawal · national conservation area18 mi
Sierra Estrella Wilderness Area · wilderness area26 mi
Superstition Wilderness Water Sources, Plo 5368 Watershed Withdrawal · national conservation area28 mi
Four Peaks Wilderness · wilderness area35 mi
McFarland State Historic Park · state park36 mi
Three-Bar Watersheds Research Area, Plo 3263 Watershed Withdrawal · national conservation area39 mi
North Maricopa Mountains Wilderness Area · wilderness area44 mi
South Maricopa Mountains Wilderness Area · wilderness area45 mi
Gila River Waterfowl Management Area · national conservation area45 mi
Table Top Wilderness Area · wilderness area46 mi

Straight-line distance from the ZIP centroid (USGS PAD-US).

1,213 ft above sea level elevation · USGS 3DEP12 protected / open-space parcels · USGS PAD-USMesa: incorporated/founded 1878 · Wikidata

Place data: NPS National Register of Historic Places · USGS 3D Elevation Program · USGS Protected Areas Database (PAD-US) · Wikidata · © OpenStreetMap contributors — licensed ODbL (OpenStreetMap), CC0 (Wikidata) and US public domain (USGS, NPS, Census). Every place shown comes from the named sources; nothing is editorialized.

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Maricopa County contextmacro · jobs · debt · migration

ZIP score grades housing; county score adds macro distress (jobs, debt, poverty). They answer different questions.

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