Mesa 85206

Maricopa County, AZ · 14,714 properties · updated 7/5/2026

Should you buy here?buyer-timing lens

45affordability /100

Buyer leverage is seller slight; weigh payment burden and the 3-lens valuation before bidding.

Payment burden
33.6%
stretched
Days on market
45
daily
Price cuts
33.9%
of active
Valuation
-49.7%
vs assessor
Look up an address
40
/100
Mixed
stable · seller slight · prices easing year-over-year.
Price trend
35
Affordability
45
Valuation
35
Economic health
45

Verdict grades housing conditions; buyer-timing, investor cash-flow, supply-tightness and county macro scores answer different questions — each in its own section.

Buyer / sellerbuyer-timing lens

36/ 100SellerBalancedBuyer
Seller's Market
Needs 10.7% correction for affordability
DOM: 60d (stable) · Market Dynamics rolling median · hourly
Score Components
Payment Burden (25%)50
Valuation Gap (25%)10
Supply & Demand (20%)20
Buy vs Rent (15%)75
Cancellation Rate (10%)25
Days on Market (5%)60

Seller-favored market in 85206. Expect to pay at or near list price. Payment burden: 33.6% of median income. Median days on market: 60. Renting is approximately 69% cheaper than buying (price-to-rent ratio: 20.3).

Buyer Caution

Seller's market. Be prepared to pay near list price.

Competitive market similar to 2021-2022 — limited inventory driving prices above fundamentals.
STABLESELLER SLIGHT

Market is holding steady with balanced conditions. Sellers hold a slight edge.

Address lookup$99 report path

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Market snapshoteach number, once

Median price
$387,992
▾ 0.3% YoY
Days on market
45
daily · zip_data
Median rent
$1,597
ZORI
Investor score
49/100
cash-flow lens
Active listings
137
90-day

Valuation3 lenses, different anchors

vs assessor
-49.7%
Market vs assessed value — a tax-roll lag, not a deal signal.
Avg assessor$195,000
county CAMA · properties_v
vs income
Fair-value model not available for this market.
fair_value_scores · 10-state coverage
vs county comps
+71.3%
County-wide market — the widest, slowest signal.
Maricopa+71.3%
Lotvox comps · mv_valuation_gap

Read together: Above county comps but sustainable on local incomes.
Pricing detail
Price / sqft$374
Price-to-income5.5×

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How 85206 ranks in AZ
percentile vs all Arizona ZIPs · n=398
Market velocity82%
Supply tightness88%
Affordability43%
Investment yield60%
Appreciation55%

Affordability, supply & momentum

74SUPPLY
Tight MarketSupply Tightness

Supply is below normal — sellers are favored but buyers still have options.

Months of Supply2.6 mo
Days on Market45d
Inv vs History-8.8%
Listing Density8.6/1k
Affordability — payment burden
Monthly payment (P&I)$1,960
Payment burden33.6%
Median income · ZIP$69,986
Mortgage rate6.49% · 30yr
Total monthly own$2,348
Monthly rent$1,597
Market dynamics
Price cut %33.9%
Momentumstable
LeverageSELLER SLIGHT
Months of supply2.6
Sales (90d)0
Investment analysis
Median rent$1,597
Price-to-rent20.3
Est. cap rate3.2%
Buy vs rentfavors renting

Livability

Walk score3
Transit score1
Bike score
Places & amenities in ZIP 85206 · 73 mapped
Leaflet © OpenStreetMap contributors © CARTO
Parks & open space5
Greenfield ParkEnid ParkChelsea ParkHolmes ParkGreenfield Park Playground
Trails2
TangerineEastern Canal Trail
Recreation & aquatics17
CrossFitLA FitnessYMCABikram YogaHealth QuestEōS Fitness+11 more
Venues & culture4
Picture Show @ Superstition SpringsEast Valley Children's TheatreEast ValleySuperstition Springs Center
Dining & cafés40
StarbucksDutch Bros. CoffeeApplebee'sBJ'sBuffalo Wild WingsP.F. Chang's+34 more
Land & water3
Greenfield Park LakeLost Dutchman LakeRoosevelt Canal
Getting around1
Superstition Springs Park & Ride
Weekend range11
Usdi Bureau Of Reclamation, Central Arizona Project, Orme Dam Water Reserve Withdrawal · national conservation area14 mi
Superstition Wilderness Water Sources, Plo 5368 Watershed Withdrawal · national conservation area20 mi
Four Peaks Wilderness · wilderness area29 mi
McFarland State Historic Park · state park31 mi
Sierra Estrella Wilderness Area · wilderness area33 mi
Three-Bar Watersheds Research Area, Plo 3263 Watershed Withdrawal · national conservation area33 mi
White Canyon Wilderness Area · wilderness area39 mi
Mazatzal Wilderness · wilderness area48 mi
Salome Wilderness · wilderness area49 mi
Table Top Wilderness Area · wilderness area50 mi

Straight-line distance from the ZIP centroid (USGS PAD-US).

1,325 ft above sea level elevation · USGS 3DEP11 protected / open-space parcels · USGS PAD-USMesa: incorporated/founded 1878 · Wikidata

Place data: USGS 3D Elevation Program · USGS Protected Areas Database (PAD-US) · Wikidata · © OpenStreetMap contributors — licensed ODbL (OpenStreetMap), CC0 (Wikidata) and US public domain (USGS, NPS, Census). Every place shown comes from the named sources; nothing is editorialized.

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Maricopa County contextmacro · jobs · debt · migration

ZIP score grades housing; county score adds macro distress (jobs, debt, poverty). They answer different questions.

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Nearby ZIP codes