Verdict grades housing conditions; buyer-timing, investor cash-flow, supply-tightness and county macro scores answer different questions — each in its own section.
Buyer / sellerbuyer-timing lens
Seller's Market
DOM: 95d (stable) · Market Dynamics rolling median · hourly
Score Components
Payment Burden (25%)25
Valuation Gap (25%)10
Supply & Demand (20%)0
Buy vs Rent (15%)75
Cancellation Rate (10%)50
Days on Market (5%)100
Seller-favored market in 80125. Expect to pay at or near list price. Payment burden: 26.4% of median income. Median days on market: 95. Renting is approximately 101% cheaper than buying (price-to-rent ratio: 24.1).
Buyer Caution
Seller's market. Be prepared to pay near list price.
Competitive market similar to 2021-2022 — limited inventory driving prices above fundamentals.
COOLINGSELLER SLIGHT
Market is cooling with expanding inventory. Sellers hold a slight edge. Prices down 2.5% YoY.
Turnover Index · Live in this ZIPBacktest: 25.5% of later sellers were already in the top 20% (random = 20%, 396 held-out sales) · 7,961 parcels scored nightly
A single median rises whenever expensive homes become a bigger share of what sells, even if no tier got more expensive. These are the tiers underneath it, computed from recorded arms-length deed transactions in Douglas.
Aggregate median +1.8% YoY in Denver, CO (metro), but the under-$500k tier is -0.4% — the rise is mix shift, not appreciation. Over the same year the under-$500k share of sales moved from 38.9% to 37.2% (-1.7pp) and the $1M+ share from 10.3% to 11.3% (+1.0pp).
Current tiers · 12 months to Aug 25floor 10 sales/tier
7 tiers had too few sales in this ZIP and are shown at county or metro level — see the stamp on each row.
Tier
Median
$/sqft
Sales
Share
Source
Under $250k
$114k
$234
97
106.6%
COUNTY · Denver, CO
$250k–$500k
$405k
$345
767
842.9%
COUNTY · Denver, CO
$500k–$750k
$636k
$393
11
12.1%
COUNTY · Douglas, CO
$750k–$1M
$870k
$484
24
26.4%
COUNTY · Douglas, CO
$1M–$1.5M
$1.23M
—
12
13.2%
COUNTY · Douglas, CO
$1.5M–$2M
$1.65M
$531
44
48.4%
COUNTY · Denver, CO
$2M+
$2.64M
$730
31
34.1%
COUNTY · Denver, CO
All sales (the headline median)
$740k
$506
91
100%
COUNTY · Douglas, CO
ZIP-level history was too thin to draw the tiers; served at metro level (Denver, CO), by quarter.
Share of sales by tier (quarterly)
If the upper tiers widen over time, the headline median rises on composition alone.
Under $250k
$250k–$500k
$500k–$750k
$750k–$1M
$1M–$1.5M
$1.5M–$2M
$2M+
Median within each tier, against the headline median (quarterly)
The blue line is the single number NAR-style reporting quotes. The gold lines are what each tier actually did. Log scale — the tiers span an order of magnitude, and on a log axis equal slopes mean equal percentage moves, which is the comparison being made.
Under $250k
$250k–$500k
$500k–$750k
$750k–$1M
$1M–$1.5M
$1.5M–$2M
$2M+
All sales (headline)
National context — not local
NAR's aggregate existing-home median for the United States and the West census region. This is the figure the tiers above are a check on. It is national/regional and says nothing about 80125.
United States
West
Copyright, National Association of Realtors. Reprinted with permission. Retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. FRED publishes a rolling 13-month window for these series.
Tiers computed from Lotvox parcel and deed substrate through Aug 25 (10 later months withheld as partially loaded). Sample floor 10 sales per tier; below it a figure is drawn from the county or metro and labelled, or left blank. Multi-parcel bulk deeds and duplicate records are excluded.
Douglas County contextmacro · jobs · debt · migration
ZIP score grades housing; county score adds macro distress (jobs, debt, poverty). They answer different questions.
Douglas County
County-level context for ZIP 80125
Verified — Douglas County
Healthy (21)
ZIP 80125→Douglas County, COPop: 394,030
12-Month Direction
-9Stable
Confidence
100%
DeterioratingStableImproving
Why this score
BuildersLens Market Intelligence
Market Score
42· Weak
Market Score grades housing-market conditions (affordability, valuation, supply). The county Healthy/Moderate/Distressed badge measures economic distress (jobs, debt, poverty) — the two can read differently.