Tonopah 85354

Maricopa County, AZ · 5,112 properties · updated 7/5/2026

Should you buy here?buyer-timing lens

35affordability /100

Buyer leverage is buyer advantage; weigh payment burden and the 3-lens valuation before bidding.

Payment burden
39.3%
severe
Days on market
103
daily
Price cuts
36.6%
of active
Look up an address
48
/100
Mixed
warming · buyer advantage · prices rising year-over-year.
Price trend
75
Affordability
25
Economic health
35

Verdict grades housing conditions; buyer-timing, investor cash-flow, supply-tightness and county macro scores answer different questions — each in its own section.

Buyer / sellerbuyer-timing lens

76/ 100SellerBalancedBuyer
Negotiate Hard
Needs 23.7% correction for affordability
DOM: 73d (rising) · Market Dynamics rolling median · hourly
Score Components
Payment Burden (25%)75
Valuation Gap (25%)100
Supply & Demand (20%)20
Buy vs Rent (15%)100
Cancellation Rate (10%)100
Days on Market (5%)75

Moderate buyer leverage in 85354. Room to negotiate 5-10% below list. Payment burden: 39.3% of median income. A 11% price correction needed to reach 30% affordability threshold. Median days on market: 73. Renting is approximately 132% cheaper than buying (price-to-rent ratio: 27.9). Market appears 46% overpriced vs. assessed values.

What to Offer

Offer 5-10% below list. You have room to negotiate.

Conditions resemble 2019 pre-pandemic levels — moderate overvaluation with slowing demand. Negotiation room exists.
WARMINGBUYER ADVANTAGE

Market is warming with rising prices. Buyers have strong negotiating leverage.

Address lookup$99 report path

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Market snapshoteach number, once

Median price
$418,625
▴ 2.5% YoY
Days on market
103
daily · zip_data
Median rent
$1,250
ZORI
Investor score
38/100
cash-flow lens
Active listings
95
90-day

Valuation3 lenses, different anchors

vs assessor
—
Market vs assessed value — a tax-roll lag, not a deal signal.
Avg assessor$0
county CAMA · properties_v
vs income
—
Fair-value model not available for this market.
fair_value_scores · 10-state coverage
vs county comps
+71.3%
County-wide market — the widest, slowest signal.
Maricopa+71.3%
Lotvox comps · mv_valuation_gap
Read together: Above county comps but sustainable on local incomes.
Pricing detail
Price / sqft$232
Price-to-income6.5×

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How 85354 ranks in AZ
percentile vs all Arizona ZIPs · n=398
Market velocity19%
Supply tightness76%
Affordability24%
Investment yield18%
Appreciation85%

Affordability, supply & momentum

39SUPPLY
BalancedSupply Tightness

Supply and demand are roughly even — standard negotiation dynamics.

Months of Supply2.6 mo
Days on Market103d
Inv vs History+40.2%
Listing Density36.5/1k
Affordability — payment burden
Monthly payment (P&I)$2,115
Payment burden39.3%
Median income · ZIP$64,596
Mortgage rate6.49% · 30yr
Total monthly own$2,533
Monthly rent$1,250
Market dynamics
Price cut %36.6%
Momentumwarming
LeverageBUYER ADVANTAGE
Months of supply2.6
Sales (90d)0
Investment analysis
Median rent$1,250
Price-to-rent27.9
Est. cap rate2.3%
Buy vs rentfavors renting

Livability

Walk score5
Transit score—
Bike score—
Places & amenities in ZIP 85354 · 45 mapped
Leaflet © OpenStreetMap contributors © CARTO
Parks & open space1
Saddle Mountain Area of Critical Environmental Concern
Venues & culture8
Wintersburg1995 Palo Verde, Arizona derailmentPalo Verde Nuclear Generating StationGila Bend MountainsTonopahNorthern Arizona+2 more
Dining & cafés1
Black Bear Diner
Land & water30
Galleto TankSouth TankAllison TankJones TankCentral Arizona Project CanalWinters Wash+24 more
Getting around4
Tonopah AirportMauldin AirstripWaltenberry Field Ultralight FlightparkEagletail Ranch Airport
Weekend range10
Big Horn Mountains Wilderness Area · wilderness area15 mi
Signal Mountain Wilderness Area · wilderness area16 mi
Hummingbird Springs Wilderness Area · wilderness area18 mi
Eagletail Mountains Wilderness Area · wilderness area19 mi
Woolsey Peak Wilderness Area · wilderness area21 mi
Gila River Waterfowl Management Area · national conservation area26 mi
Harquahala Mountains Wilderness Area · wilderness area32 mi
North Maricopa Mountains Wilderness Area · wilderness area37 mi
Harcuvar Mountains Wilderness Area · wilderness area48 mi
South Maricopa Mountains Wilderness Area · wilderness area51 mi

Straight-line distance from the ZIP centroid (USGS PAD-US).

1,406 ft above sea level elevation · USGS 3DEP

Place data: USGS 3D Elevation Program · USGS Protected Areas Database (PAD-US) · Wikidata · © OpenStreetMap contributors — licensed ODbL (OpenStreetMap), CC0 (Wikidata) and US public domain (USGS, NPS, Census). Every place shown comes from the named sources; nothing is editorialized.

Historical trends

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Maricopa County contextmacro · jobs · debt · migration

ZIP score grades housing; county score adds macro distress (jobs, debt, poverty). They answer different questions.

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