Verdict grades housing conditions; buyer-timing, investor cash-flow, supply-tightness and county macro scores answer different questions — each in its own section.
Buyer / sellerbuyer-timing lens
Seller's Market
Needs 8.5% correction for affordability
DOM: 50d (falling) · Market Dynamics rolling median · hourly
Score Components
Payment Burden (25%)50
Valuation Gap (25%)10
Supply & Demand (20%)20
Buy vs Rent (15%)50
Cancellation Rate (10%)25
Days on Market (5%)60
Seller-favored market in 85009. Expect to pay at or near list price. Payment burden: 32.9% of median income. Median days on market: 50. Renting is approximately 64% cheaper than buying (price-to-rent ratio: 19.7).
Buyer Caution
Seller's market. Be prepared to pay near list price.
Competitive market similar to 2021-2022 — limited inventory driving prices above fundamentals.
COOLINGBUYER ADVANTAGE
Market is cooling with expanding inventory. Buyers have strong negotiating leverage. Prices down 6.6% YoY.
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Sherman ParkwayYunya ParkWillow ParkSmith ParkKuban ParkFalcon Park+7 more
Trails1
Isaac Middle School Bridge
Recreation & aquatics7
Golden Gate Head StartHeart of Isaac Community CenterCoffelt-Lamoreaux Recreation CenterFalcon PoolChicanos Por La Causa Community CenterIZZY Boxing Fitness+1 more
Venues & culture9
Cadillac GraveyardArtessyThe StackArizona's 7th congressional districtArizona State Prison Phoenix-WestKOY+3 more
Dining & cafés27
StarbucksDenny'sEl Pollo Correteado RestaurantJefe's KitchenLonchera AltataSushi Sonora+21 more
Land & water2
Roosevelt CanalSalt River
Getting around2
Tap Royal InternationalTrufesa Internacional
Weekend range7
Sierra Estrella Wilderness Area · wilderness area17 mi
Usdi Bureau Of Reclamation, Central Arizona Project, Orme Dam Water Reserve Withdrawal · national conservation area30 mi
Gila River Waterfowl Management Area · national conservation area30 mi
North Maricopa Mountains Wilderness Area · wilderness area33 mi
Hells Canyon Wilderness Area · wilderness area38 mi
South Maricopa Mountains Wilderness Area · wilderness area39 mi
Mazatzal Wilderness · wilderness area52 mi
Straight-line distance from the ZIP centroid (USGS PAD-US).
1,064 ft above sea level elevation · USGS 3DEP5 protected / open-space parcels · USGS PAD-USPhoenix: incorporated/founded 1868; named after phoenix · Wikidata
Maricopa County contextmacro · jobs · debt · migration
ZIP score grades housing; county score adds macro distress (jobs, debt, poverty). They answer different questions.
ZIP 85009→Maricopa County, AZ
12-Month Direction
-5Stable
Confidence
100%
DeterioratingStableImproving
BuildersLens Market Intelligence
Market Score
41· Weak
Market Score grades housing-market conditions (affordability, valuation, supply). The county Healthy/Moderate/Distressed badge measures economic distress (jobs, debt, poverty) — the two can read differently.
Payment Burden44
33.4%
stretched
Source: Lotvox · Updated 2026-05-15
Buy vs Rent6
1.914x
rent advantage
Source: Lotvox · Updated 2026-05-15
Valuation10
+71.3%
overvalued
Source: Lotvox comps · Updated 2026-05-15
Supply/Demand17
3.5 mo
balanced
Source: Lotvox MLS · Updated 2026-05-15
Insurance Risk
32/100
moderate
Source: FEMA/NFIP · Updated 2026-04
County distress indicators
ECONOMIC INDICATORS
Economic indicators are mixed relative to comparable U.S. counties.
Unemployment Rate
3.7%
AZ 4.5%US 4.4%
Near national averages
Source: BLS LAUS · 2026-0540d ago
Poverty Rate
11.1%
AZ 12.7%US 12.6%
Near national averages
Median Household Income
$85,518
AZ $77,970US $82,006
Higher than most U.S. counties
Cost of Living (RPP)
99.3
AZ 99.3US 100.3
Near national averages
Home Value (ZHVI)$460,378
County data: BLS, Census ACS, CDC, FBI UCR, Federal Reserve, USDA
