Tolleson 85353

Maricopa County, AZ · 16,364 properties · updated 7/5/2026

Should you buy here?buyer-timing lens

56affordability /100

Buyer leverage is seller slight; weigh payment burden and the 3-lens valuation before bidding.

Payment burden
26.9%
affordable
Days on market
68
daily
Price cuts
30.8%
of active
Valuation
-13.2%
vs assessor
Look up an address
61
/100
Stable
stable · seller slight · prices easing year-over-year.
Price trend
35
Affordability
85
Valuation
70
Economic health
56

Verdict grades housing conditions; buyer-timing, investor cash-flow, supply-tightness and county macro scores answer different questions — each in its own section.

Buyer / sellerbuyer-timing lens

28/ 100SellerBalancedBuyer
Seller's Market
DOM: 57d (stable) · Market Dynamics rolling median · hourly
Score Components
Payment Burden (25%)25
Valuation Gap (25%)10
Supply & Demand (20%)20
Buy vs Rent (15%)50
Cancellation Rate (10%)50
Days on Market (5%)60

Seller-favored market in 85353. Expect to pay at or near list price. Payment burden: 27.0% of median income. Median days on market: 57. Renting is approximately 40% cheaper than buying (price-to-rent ratio: 16.8).

Buyer Caution

Seller's market. Be prepared to pay near list price.

Competitive market similar to 2021-2022 — limited inventory driving prices above fundamentals.
STABLESELLER SLIGHT

Market is holding steady with balanced conditions. Sellers hold a slight edge. Prices down 1.7% YoY.

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Market snapshoteach number, once

Median price
$395,046
▾ 1.7% YoY
Days on market
68
daily · zip_data
Median rent
$1,959
ZORI
Investor score
58/100
cash-flow lens
Active listings
116
90-day

Valuation3 lenses, different anchors

vs assessor
-13.2%
Market vs assessed value — a tax-roll lag, not a deal signal.
Avg assessor$342,733
county CAMA · properties_v
vs income
Fair-value model not available for this market.
fair_value_scores · 10-state coverage
vs county comps
+71.3%
County-wide market — the widest, slowest signal.
Maricopa+71.3%
Lotvox comps · mv_valuation_gap

Read together: Above county comps but sustainable on local incomes.
Pricing detail
Price / sqft$118
Price-to-income4.5×

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How 85353 ranks in AZ
percentile vs all Arizona ZIPs · n=398
Market velocity42%
Supply tightness91%
Affordability77%
Investment yield81%
Appreciation25%

Affordability, supply & momentum

64SUPPLY
Tight MarketSupply Tightness

Supply is below normal — sellers are favored but buyers still have options.

Months of Supply2.6 mo
Days on Market68d
Inv vs History-6.5%
Listing Density9.9/1k
Affordability — payment burden
Monthly payment (P&I)$1,995
Payment burden26.9%
Median income · ZIP$88,867
Mortgage rate6.49% · 30yr
Total monthly own$2,391
Monthly rent$1,959
Market dynamics
Price cut %30.8%
Momentumstable
LeverageSELLER SLIGHT
Months of supply2.6
Sales (90d)0
Investment analysis
Median rent$1,959
Price-to-rent16.8
Est. cap rate3.9%
Buy vs rentneutral

Livability

Walk score2
Transit score2
Bike score
Places & amenities in ZIP 85353 · 34 mapped
Leaflet © OpenStreetMap contributors © CARTO
Parks & open space12
Tres Rios WetlandsHay Moon ParkAlamar ParkFarmland ParkTres Rios Hayfield TrailheadMoonbeam Patch+6 more
Trails1
Tres Rios Wetlands Hayfield Trail
Recreation & aquatics1
LA Fitness
Venues & culture3
Tolleson Public LibrarySalt RiverKNUV
Dining & cafés13
StarbucksWaffle HouseDutch Bros. CoffeeStarbucksDenny'sStarbucks+7 more
Land & water3
Saint Johns CanalRoosevelt CanalSalt River
Weekend range9
Sierra Estrella Wilderness Area · wilderness area14 mi
Gila River Waterfowl Management Area · national conservation area21 mi
North Maricopa Mountains Wilderness Area · wilderness area26 mi
South Maricopa Mountains Wilderness Area · wilderness area35 mi
Hells Canyon Wilderness Area · wilderness area37 mi
Usdi Bureau Of Reclamation, Central Arizona Project, Orme Dam Water Reserve Withdrawal · national conservation area39 mi
Woolsey Peak Wilderness Area · wilderness area42 mi
Table Top Wilderness Area · wilderness area45 mi
Mazatzal Wilderness · wilderness area58 mi

Straight-line distance from the ZIP centroid (USGS PAD-US).

979 ft above sea level elevation · USGS 3DEP3 protected / open-space parcels · USGS PAD-US

Place data: USGS 3D Elevation Program · USGS Protected Areas Database (PAD-US) · Wikidata · © OpenStreetMap contributors — licensed ODbL (OpenStreetMap), CC0 (Wikidata) and US public domain (USGS, NPS, Census). Every place shown comes from the named sources; nothing is editorialized.

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Maricopa County contextmacro · jobs · debt · migration

ZIP score grades housing; county score adds macro distress (jobs, debt, poverty). They answer different questions.

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