Lone Tree 80124

Lone Tree · Douglas County, CO · 6,392 properties · updated 7/5/2026

Should you buy here?buyer-timing lens

37affordability /100

Buyer leverage is seller slight; weigh payment burden and the 3-lens valuation before bidding.

Payment burden
38.4%
severe
Days on market
17
daily
Price cuts
29.5%
of active
Valuation
-6.6%
vs assessor
Look up an address
39
/100
Weak
cooling · seller slight · prices easing year-over-year.
Price trend
35
Affordability
25
Valuation
70
Economic health
37

Verdict grades housing conditions; buyer-timing, investor cash-flow, supply-tightness and county macro scores answer different questions — each in its own section.

Buyer / sellerbuyer-timing lens

43/ 100SellerBalancedBuyer
Balanced Market
Needs 21.9% correction for affordability
DOM: 47d (rising) · Market Dynamics rolling median · hourly
Score Components
Payment Burden (25%)75
Valuation Gap (25%)25
Supply & Demand (20%)0
Buy vs Rent (15%)100
Cancellation Rate (10%)0
Days on Market (5%)60

Balanced market in 80124. List price is roughly fair — focus on condition and value. Payment burden: 38.4% of median income. A 9% price correction needed to reach 30% affordability threshold. Median days on market: 47. Renting is approximately 178% cheaper than buying (price-to-rent ratio: 33.4).

Balanced market conditions. Prices roughly aligned with fundamentals — similar to stable periods in 2014-2015.
COOLINGSELLER SLIGHT

Market is cooling with expanding inventory. Sellers hold a slight edge. Prices down 3.0% YoY.

Address lookup$99 report path

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Market snapshoteach number, once

Median price
$802,434
▾ 3.0% YoY
Days on market
17
daily · zip_data
Median rent
$2,004
ZORI
Investor score
23/100
cash-flow lens
Active listings
64
90-day

Valuation3 lenses, different anchors

vs assessor
-6.6%
Market vs assessed value — a tax-roll lag, not a deal signal.
Avg assessor$749,118
county CAMA · properties_v
vs income
—
Fair-value model not available for this market.
fair_value_scores · 10-state coverage
vs county comps
+63.0%
County-wide market — the widest, slowest signal.
Douglas+63.0%
Lotvox comps · mv_valuation_gap
Read together: Above county comps but sustainable on local incomes.
Pricing detail
Price / sqft$217
Price-to-income6.3×

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How 80124 ranks in CO
percentile vs all Colorado ZIPs · n=476
Market velocity86%
Supply tightness87%
Affordability35%
Investment yield16%
Appreciation14%

Affordability, supply & momentum

85SUPPLY
Severe TightnessSupply Tightness

Very tight supply — well-priced homes attract multiple offers within days.

Months of Supply1.8 mo
Days on Market17d
Inv vs History+12.8%
Listing Density6.5/1k
Affordability — payment burden
Monthly payment (P&I)$4,053
Payment burden38.4%
Median income · ZIP$126,775
Mortgage rate6.49% · 30yr
Total monthly own$4,856
Monthly rent$2,004
Market dynamics
Price cut %29.5%
Momentumcooling
LeverageSELLER SLIGHT
Months of supply1.8
Sales (90d)0
Investment analysis
Median rent$2,004
Price-to-rent33.4
Est. cap rate1.9%
Buy vs rentfavors renting

Livability

Walk score8
Transit score6
Bike score—
Places & amenities in ZIP 80124 · 102 mapped
Leaflet © OpenStreetMap contributors © CARTO
Parks & open space21
Public Archery RangeSweetwater ParkMcArthur Ranch ParkCook Creek Park and PoolRetreat Communal GardenAltair Park+15 more
Trails26
Denver Orbital Trail - Segment 10Goat Trail ConnectorEast/West Regional TrailDouglas County E/W TrailLincoln Station BridgeC-470 Trail Connector+20 more
Recreation & aquatics5
iFLYWildcat Ridge Community CenterLone Tree Recreation CenterJakes AcademyLone Tree Golf Club
Venues & culture3
Lone Tree Arts CenterDouglas County Libraries - Lone TreeAmphitheater
Dining & cafés38
SweetgreenSazónMonk and Mongoose CoffeeStarbucksRio Grande Mexican RestaurantPeaky Peak Coffee & Charcuterie+32 more
Land & water4
Happy Canyon CreekCottonwood CreekEast Big Dry CreekWillow Creek
Getting around4
LincolnCounty LineSky RidgePark Meadows Retail Resort
Weekend range11
Cherry Creek Reservior / State Park · state park7 mi
Roxborough State Park · state park11 mi
Chatfield State Park · state park11 mi
The Bluffs at Castle Point · state park14 mi
Castlewood Canyon State Park · state park17 mi
Staunton State Park · state park28 mi
Barr Lake State Park · state park28 mi
Eldorado Canyon State Park · state park35 mi
Golden Gate Canyon · state park36 mi
Lost Creek Wilderness · wilderness area37 mi

Straight-line distance from the ZIP centroid (USGS PAD-US).

6,024 ft above sea level elevation · USGS 3DEP24 protected / open-space parcels · USGS PAD-US

Place data: USGS 3D Elevation Program · USGS Protected Areas Database (PAD-US) · Wikidata · © OpenStreetMap contributors — licensed ODbL (OpenStreetMap), CC0 (Wikidata) and US public domain (USGS, NPS, Census). Every place shown comes from the named sources; nothing is editorialized.

Historical trends

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Douglas County contextmacro · jobs · debt · migration

ZIP score grades housing; county score adds macro distress (jobs, debt, poverty). They answer different questions.

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Denver Metro·Overpriced ZIPs·Investor ZIPs·View on Map·Douglas County