Arvada 80004

Arvada West · Jefferson County, CO · 14,186 properties · updated 7/26/2026

Should you buy here?buyer-timing lens

39affordability /100

Buyer leverage is seller slight; weigh payment burden and the 3-lens valuation before bidding.

Payment burden

37.2%

severe

Days on market

daily

Price cuts

30.0%

of active

Valuation

-2.2%

vs assessor

Look up an address

/100

Mixed

cooling · seller slight · prices easing year-over-year.

Price trend

Affordability

Valuation

Economic health

Verdict grades housing conditions; buyer-timing, investor cash-flow, supply-tightness and county macro scores answer different questions — each in its own section.

Buyer / sellerbuyer-timing lens

Balanced Market

Needs 19.4% correction for affordability

DOM: 37d (falling) · Market Dynamics rolling median · hourly

Score Components

Payment Burden (25%)75

Valuation Gap (25%)25

Supply & Demand (20%)0

Buy vs Rent (15%)100

Cancellation Rate (10%)0

Days on Market (5%)40

Balanced market in 80004. List price is roughly fair — focus on condition and value. Payment burden: 36.9% of median income. A 5% price correction needed to reach 30% affordability threshold. Median days on market: 37. Renting is approximately 113% cheaper than buying (price-to-rent ratio: 25.6).

Balanced market conditions. Prices roughly aligned with fundamentals — similar to stable periods in 2014-2015.

COOLINGSELLER SLIGHT

Market is cooling with expanding inventory. Sellers hold a slight edge. Prices down 2.5% YoY.

Turnover Index · Live in this ZIPBacktest: 28.3% of later sellers were already in the top 20% (random = 20%, 272 held-out sales) · 12,331 parcels scored nightly

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<iframe src="https://lotvox.com/embed/zip/80004" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;border-radius:12px;overflow:hidden;max-width:640px" loading="lazy" title="Arvada 80004 — Lotvox market card"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui;margin:4px 0 0"><a href="https://lotvox.com/denver/zip/80004?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=backlink">Arvada 80004 housing market data</a> by <a href="https://lotvox.com/">Lotvox</a></p>

Market snapshoteach number, once

Median price

$597,365

▾ 2.5% YoY

Days on market

daily · zip_data

Median rent

$2,009

ZORI

Investor score

30/100

cash-flow lens

Active listings

90-day

Valuation3 lenses, different anchors

vs assessor

-2.2%

Market vs assessed value — a tax-roll lag, not a deal signal.

Avg assessor$584,211

county CAMA · properties_v

vs income

—

Fair-value model not available for this market.

fair_value_scores · 10-state coverage

vs county comps

+68.6%

County-wide market — the widest, slowest signal.

Jefferson+68.6%

Lotvox comps · mv_valuation_gap

Read together: Above county comps but sustainable on local incomes.

Pricing detail

Price / sqft$210

Price-to-income6.1×

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How 80004 ranks in CO

percentile vs all Colorado ZIPs · n=476

Market velocity98%

Supply tightness95%

Affordability38%

Investment yield39%

Appreciation15%

Affordability, supply & momentum

90SUPPLY

Critical ShortageSupply Tightness

Extreme scarcity — sellers have maximum leverage. Listings move fast.

Months of Supply1.8 mo

Days on Market7d

Inv vs History+0.3%

Listing Density5.5/1k

Affordability — payment burden

Monthly payment (P&I)$3,087

Payment burden37.2%

Median income · ZIP$99,576

Mortgage rate6.71% · 30yr

Total monthly own$3,684

Monthly rent$2,009

Market dynamics

Price cut %30.0%

Momentumcooling

LeverageSELLER SLIGHT

Months of supply1.8

Sales (90d)0

Investment analysis

Median rent$2,009

Price-to-rent25.6

Est. cap rate2.5%

Buy vs rentfavors renting

Livability

Walk score2

Transit score4

Bike score—

Historical trends

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Price bandsmix-shift

Price Bands — the median behind the median

A single median rises whenever expensive homes become a bigger share of what sells, even if no tier got more expensive. These are the tiers underneath it, computed from recorded arms-length deed transactions in Jefferson.

Aggregate median -1.2% YoY in this ZIP, but the under-$500k tier is +1.6% — the aggregate is falling while the entry tier rises. Over the same year the under-$500k share of sales moved from 18.9% to 20.1% (+1.2pp) and the $1M+ share from 6.3% to 5.2% (-1.2pp).

Current tiers · 12 months to Aug 25floor 10 sales/tier

3 tiers had too few sales in this ZIP and are shown at county or metro level — see the stamp on each row.

Tier	Median	$/sqft	Sales	Share	Source
Under $250k	$204k	$247	277	—	COUNTY · Jefferson, CO
$250k–$500k	$425k	$347	111	19.1%	ZIP
$500k–$750k	$615k	$420	352	60.5%	ZIP
$750k–$1M	$792k	$422	83	14.3%	ZIP
$1M–$1.5M	$1.13M	$436	17	2.9%	ZIP
$1.5M–$2M	$1.67M	$523	262	—	COUNTY · Jefferson, CO
$2M+	$2.64M	$730	31	—	COUNTY · Denver, CO
All sales (the headline median)	$615k	$400	582	100%	ZIP

Share of sales by tier (quarterly)

If the upper tiers widen over time, the headline median rises on composition alone.

Under $250k
$250k–$500k
$500k–$750k
$750k–$1M
$1M–$1.5M
$1.5M–$2M
$2M+

Median within each tier, against the headline median (quarterly)

The blue line is the single number NAR-style reporting quotes. The gold lines are what each tier actually did. Log scale — the tiers span an order of magnitude, and on a log axis equal slopes mean equal percentage moves, which is the comparison being made.

$250k–$500k
$500k–$750k
$750k–$1M
$1M–$1.5M
All sales (headline)

National context — not local

NAR's aggregate existing-home median for the United States and the West census region. This is the figure the tiers above are a check on. It is national/regional and says nothing about 80004.

United States
West

Copyright, National Association of Realtors. Reprinted with permission. Retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. FRED publishes a rolling 13-month window for these series.

Tiers computed from Lotvox parcel and deed substrate through Aug 25 (10 later months withheld as partially loaded). Sample floor 10 sales per tier; below it a figure is drawn from the county or metro and labelled, or left blank. Multi-parcel bulk deeds and duplicate records are excluded.

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Video analysisrestored

What's the 80004 Arvada, CO Housing Market Like? | Lotvox

ZIP 80004 in Arvada sits at 5454 feet across 63 mapped parcels on Colorado's high plains.

This market scores 43, a Mixed tier with cooling momentum and seller slight leverage. Price trend sits at 35 while valuation hits 90.

Median price is $607683 at $210 per square foot, down -2.2% year over year. Homes sell in 7 days among 82 active listings.

Local values gap -3.9% below assessor estimates of $584212 against a Colorado benchmark of 476 comps. Market velocity ranks in the 98th percentile despite cooling.

With median income at $99576, monthly payments hit $3070 creating severe burden at 37%. Renting at $1975 beats owning at $3677 where supply tightness hits the 95th percentile.

Jefferson County posts economic health at 39 with investment yield in the 39th percentile versus Colorado benchmarks.

At 5454 feet elevation, water features include Hyatt Lake and Oberon Lake Number 1 alongside Ralston Creek, Leyden Creek, and Van Bibber Creek corridors.

Nineteen parks anchor green space including Johnny Roberts Memorial Park, Ralston Cove Park, and Shadow Mountain Park. Seven trails like Denver Orbital Trail Segment 27 connect protected open space.

Six recreation venues operate here including Hotworx, Apex Tennis Center, and Streets Fitness for active residents seeking local workout options.

Two cultural venues lead with Arvada Center For The Arts And Humanities plus Art Center and Gallery. Nineteen dining spots include Randi's Pizza and Corvus Coffee Roasters.

Eldorado Canyon State Park sits 12 miles away while Golden Gate Canyon reaches 17 miles. Cherry Creek State Park extends to 19 miles for weekend range.

Arvada was founded in 1859 and now holds 124402 residents across this established Front Range community with deep roots.

Explore ZIP 80004 data at lotvox.com/denver/zip/80004 for complete market metrics and local insights.

Jefferson County contextmacro · jobs · debt · migration

ZIP score grades housing; county score adds macro distress (jobs, debt, poverty). They answer different questions.

ZIP 80004→Jefferson County, COPop: 578,437

12-Month Direction

-8Stable

Confidence

100%

DeterioratingStableImproving

BuildersLens Market Intelligence

Market Score

35· Weak

Market Score grades housing-market conditions (affordability, valuation, supply). The county Healthy/Moderate/Distressed badge measures economic distress (jobs, debt, poverty) — the two can read differently.

Payment Burden40

35.9%

stretched

Source: Lotvox · Updated 2026-05-15

Buy vs Rent0

2.278x

rent advantage

Source: Lotvox · Updated 2026-05-15

Valuation13

+68.6%

overvalued

Source: Lotvox comps · Updated 2026-05-15