Arvada 80002

Arvada East · Jefferson County, CO · 16,984 properties · updated 7/26/2026

Should you buy here?buyer-timing lens

39affordability /100

Buyer leverage is seller slight; weigh payment burden and the 3-lens valuation before bidding.

Payment burden

37.1%

severe

Days on market

daily

Price cuts

31.9%

of active

Valuation

-6.5%

vs assessor

Look up an address

/100

Weak

cooling · seller slight · prices easing year-over-year.

Price trend

Affordability

Valuation

Economic health

Verdict grades housing conditions; buyer-timing, investor cash-flow, supply-tightness and county macro scores answer different questions — each in its own section.

Buyer / sellerbuyer-timing lens

Balanced Market

Needs 19.1% correction for affordability

DOM: 42d (stable) · Market Dynamics rolling median · hourly

Score Components

Payment Burden (25%)75

Valuation Gap (25%)40

Supply & Demand (20%)0

Buy vs Rent (15%)75

Cancellation Rate (10%)25

Days on Market (5%)40

Balanced market in 80002. List price is roughly fair — focus on condition and value. Payment burden: 36.9% of median income. A 5% price correction needed to reach 30% affordability threshold. Median days on market: 42. Renting is approximately 88% cheaper than buying (price-to-rent ratio: 22.5).

Balanced market conditions. Prices roughly aligned with fundamentals — similar to stable periods in 2014-2015.

COOLINGSELLER SLIGHT

Market is cooling with expanding inventory. Sellers hold a slight edge. Prices down 2.2% YoY.

Turnover Index · Live in this ZIPBacktest: 32.5% of later sellers were already in the top 20% (random = 20%, 117 held-out sales) · 5,881 parcels scored nightly

How the score works Accuracy by ZIP Farm territory available · Tier B $199/mo

Address lookup$99 report path

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<iframe src="https://lotvox.com/embed/zip/80002" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;border-radius:12px;overflow:hidden;max-width:640px" loading="lazy" title="Arvada 80002 — Lotvox market card"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui;margin:4px 0 0"><a href="https://lotvox.com/denver/zip/80002?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=backlink">Arvada 80002 housing market data</a> by <a href="https://lotvox.com/">Lotvox</a></p>

Market snapshoteach number, once

Median price

$555,286

▾ 2.2% YoY

Days on market

daily · zip_data

Median rent

$2,154

ZORI

Investor score

38/100

cash-flow lens

Active listings

90-day

Valuation3 lenses, different anchors

vs assessor

-6.5%

Market vs assessed value — a tax-roll lag, not a deal signal.

Avg assessor$518,953

county CAMA · properties_v

vs income

—

Fair-value model not available for this market.

fair_value_scores · 10-state coverage

vs county comps

+68.6%

County-wide market — the widest, slowest signal.

Jefferson+68.6%

Lotvox comps · mv_valuation_gap

Read together: Above county comps but sustainable on local incomes.

Pricing detail

Price / sqft$257

Price-to-income6.1×

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How 80002 ranks in CO

percentile vs all Colorado ZIPs · n=476

Market velocity81%

Supply tightness93%

Affordability38%

Investment yield59%

Appreciation22%

Affordability, supply & momentum

84SUPPLY

Severe TightnessSupply Tightness

Very tight supply — well-priced homes attract multiple offers within days.

Months of Supply1.8 mo

Days on Market24d

Inv vs History+1.1%

Listing Density7.2/1k

Affordability — payment burden

Monthly payment (P&I)$2,869

Payment burden37.1%

Median income · ZIP$92,827

Mortgage rate6.71% · 30yr

Total monthly own$3,425

Monthly rent$2,154

Market dynamics

Price cut %31.9%

Momentumcooling

LeverageSELLER SLIGHT

Months of supply1.8

Sales (90d)0

Investment analysis

Median rent$2,154

Price-to-rent22.5

Est. cap rate2.9%

Buy vs rentfavors renting

Livability

Walk score4

Transit score5

Bike score—

Historical trends

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Price bandsmix-shift

Price Bands — the median behind the median

A single median rises whenever expensive homes become a bigger share of what sells, even if no tier got more expensive. These are the tiers underneath it, computed from recorded arms-length deed transactions in Jefferson.

Aggregate median +3.0% YoY in Jefferson, CO (county), but the under-$500k tier is -1.0% — the rise is mix shift, not appreciation. Over the same year the under-$500k share of sales moved from 29.5% to 26.9% (-2.6pp) and the $1M+ share from 12.8% to 14.6% (+1.8pp).

Current tiers · 12 months to Aug 25floor 10 sales/tier

2 tiers had too few sales in this ZIP and are shown at county or metro level — see the stamp on each row.

Tier	Median	$/sqft	Sales	Share	Source
Under $250k	$114k	$234	97	—	COUNTY · Denver, CO
$250k–$500k	$423k	$395	97	27.9%	ZIP
$500k–$750k	$578k	$406	167	48.0%	ZIP
$750k–$1M	$894k	$406	45	12.9%	ZIP
$1M–$1.5M	$1.14M	$445	14	4.0%	ZIP
$1.5M–$2M	$1.66M	$433	10	2.9%	ZIP
$2M+	$2.79M	$620	254	—	COUNTY · Jefferson, CO
All sales (the headline median)	$568k	$402	348	100%	ZIP

ZIP-level history was too thin to draw the tiers; served at county level (Jefferson, CO), by quarter.

Share of sales by tier (quarterly)

If the upper tiers widen over time, the headline median rises on composition alone.

Under $250k
$250k–$500k
$500k–$750k
$750k–$1M
$1M–$1.5M
$1.5M–$2M
$2M+

Median within each tier, against the headline median (quarterly)

The blue line is the single number NAR-style reporting quotes. The gold lines are what each tier actually did. Log scale — the tiers span an order of magnitude, and on a log axis equal slopes mean equal percentage moves, which is the comparison being made.

Under $250k
$250k–$500k
$500k–$750k
$750k–$1M
$1M–$1.5M
$1.5M–$2M
$2M+
All sales (headline)

National context — not local

NAR's aggregate existing-home median for the United States and the West census region. This is the figure the tiers above are a check on. It is national/regional and says nothing about 80002.

United States
West

Copyright, National Association of Realtors. Reprinted with permission. Retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. FRED publishes a rolling 13-month window for these series.

Tiers computed from Lotvox parcel and deed substrate through Aug 25 (10 later months withheld as partially loaded). Sample floor 10 sales per tier; below it a figure is drawn from the county or metro and labelled, or left blank. Multi-parcel bulk deeds and duplicate records are excluded.

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Video analysisrestored

What's the 80002 Arvada, CO Housing Market Like? | Lotvox

ZIP 80002 sits at 5429 feet in Arvada, CO, where the high plains meet the Front Range foothills.

Overall grade: 39 (Weak). Momentum is cooling with a -2% year-over-year shift; leverage stays seller slight across price trend and valuation sub-scores.

Median home price is $567K at $257 per square foot. Inventory holds 68 active listings with 24 days on market; 30.4% show price cuts while median rent reaches $2096.

Assessed value averages $517,100 against a -8.7% gap to list prices. Market velocity ranks in the 80th percentile even as appreciation sits at the 32nd percentile locally.

Household income of $92,827 faces severe burden at 37%. Monthly ownership costs $3,429 versus $2,096 for renting, favoring renters amid just 1.8 months supply.

Jefferson County shows economic health at 39 and investment yield in the 60th percentile compared to broader Colorado benchmarks.

Six water bodies include Upper Mount Olivet Reservoir, Garrison Lake, and Cormorant Lake. Clear Creek, Van Bibber Creek, and Ralston Creek carve cottonwood corridors through the landscape.

Fourteen parks span Harold D Lutz Sports Complex, Lewis Ralston Gold Site Park, and Foster Park. Six trails like Interurban Trail and Clear Creek Trail link ten protected open spaces.

Five recreation sites feature Apex Field House, rMac, and a Yoga Studio for local fitness and community programming within Arvada neighborhoods.

Forty dining spots include Beau Jo's Pizza, Hunter Bay Coffee Roasters, and Umai Ya. Cultural venues span Harkins Arvada 14, McIlvoy House, and Gallery 1874.

Twelve destinations lie within range: Eldorado Canyon State Park at 14 miles, Cherry Creek State Park at 18 miles, plus Golden Gate Canyon access via Olde Town Arvada.

Arvada was founded in 1859 and now holds 124,402 residents, growing from gold-rush origins into a Front Range suburb with deep historical roots.

Explore full market data for ZIP 80002 Arvada at lotvox.com/denver/zip/80002.

Jefferson County contextmacro · jobs · debt · migration

ZIP score grades housing; county score adds macro distress (jobs, debt, poverty). They answer different questions.

ZIP 80002→Jefferson County, COPop: 578,437

12-Month Direction

-8Stable

Confidence

100%

DeterioratingStableImproving

BuildersLens Market Intelligence

Market Score

35· Weak

Market Score grades housing-market conditions (affordability, valuation, supply). The county Healthy/Moderate/Distressed badge measures economic distress (jobs, debt, poverty) — the two can read differently.

Payment Burden40

35.9%

stretched

Source: Lotvox · Updated 2026-05-15

Buy vs Rent0

2.278x

rent advantage

Source: Lotvox · Updated 2026-05-15

Valuation13

+68.6%

overvalued

Source: Lotvox comps · Updated 2026-05-15