Arvada 80002

Arvada East · Jefferson County, CO · 16,948 properties with county records

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Arvada 80002 is in Jefferson County, CO, part of the Denver Metro. The typical home value in Arvada 80002 is $543,066 (Zillow Home Value Index, September 2026), down 2.2% from a year earlier. Homes that sold went under contract in a median 38 days, and 32% of listings took a price cut (Redfin Data Center, period ending Sep 30, 2026). On Lotvox's market-leverage reading of that data, with 4.5 months of supply, sellers hold a slight edge. Lotvox scores all 5,896 homes in 80002 with county records every night with its Turnover Index; in a held-out test, the top fifth of scored homes accounted for 32.5% of the 117 sales that followed, against 20% by chance (scored Oct 25, 2026). Across Jefferson County's 25 ZIPs with a Zillow value, the middle one is $585,520, so 80002 sits 7% below the county middle. Typical rent is $2,097 a month (Zillow Observed Rent Index, September 2026). Lotvox holds county assessor records for 16,948 properties in 80002.

Headline value data through September 2026. Each source below carries its own date.

Is 80002 a buyer's or seller's market?

By Lotvox's leverage reading of Redfin data through Sep 30, 2026, 80002 is a seller's market, narrowly. Homes went under contract in a median 38 days with 4.5 months of supply.

What do homes in 80002 sell for?

The typical home value in 80002 is $543,066 (Zillow Home Value Index, September 2026), down 2.2% in a year. County records put the median at about $257 per square foot (computed Jul 26, 2026).

Who is likely to sell in 80002?

Lotvox's Turnover Index ranks every home in 80002 by how likely it is to sell, from county deed and parcel records, scored nightly. In a held-out test its top fifth held 32.5% of later sales, against 20% by chance.

How does 80002 compare to Jefferson County?

80002's typical value of $543,066 compares with a middle value of $585,520 across Jefferson County's 25 ZIPs. Both are Zillow Home Value Index figures for September 2026.

Where does this 80002 data come from?

Values and rents come from Zillow's research data, sales pace from the Redfin Data Center, and property counts and turnover from county assessor and deed records. Each number on this page carries its own date, and the method is published at lotvox.com/methodology.

Sources: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) (as of Sep 30, 2026) · Redfin Data Center (as of Sep 30, 2026) · Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI) (as of Sep 30, 2026) · county assessor records (counted Oct 25, 2026) · Lotvox Turnover Index (county deed and parcel records) (as of Oct 25, 2026) · How Lotvox works
Cite as: Lotvox ZIP market record, 80002 Arvada, CO, data through September 2026, https://lotvox.com/denver/zip/80002

Listings Flow Ladder — 80002

Faucet, basin and drain — new listings in, active inventory, closed sales out.as of Sep 30, 2026

the basin is fillingnet 11 listings/mo
balanced 4–6 mo4.5 mo
Faucet — new listings
29/mo
86% of normal (33) · trickle
Basin — active listings
81
203% of normal (40) · balanced· baseline thin
Months of supply
4.5 mo
derived — not published at this grain
Drain — closed sales
18/mo
67% of normal (27)
Net — faucet minus drain
+11/mo
filling
Reading
current
as of 2026-09-30
Compare against:
2015-01-01 to 2019-12-31 · 5 same-month points

How plugged is the drain? Two definitions, both ours, deliberately not reconciled.

  • 67%Absorption vs its own normal— 1 - (closed sales / active listings) / same-month median of that ratio
  • 33%Closed sales vs its own normal— 1 - closed sales per month / same-month median closed sales per month

Closed sales over 24 months — two different numbers, deliberately not merged.

  • 9/mofall in the monthly rate (33%)— peak 27/mo (2024-12-31) to 18/mo now
  • 58transactions that did not happen— summed monthly shortfall vs the same-month normal, over 16 months below it (vs 2015-19 (COVID excluded))
  • rate_drop_from_peak is a change in the monthly rate; cumulative_shortfall_vs_normal counts transactions not transacted. They are different quantities and are not interchangeable.
2026-09-30

Redfin market data (county + ZIP), via Lotvox. As of 2026-09-30. Normal = same-month median of monthly rates, minimum 3 same-month points. Source window 3 months (flows shown per month). months_of_supply is not published at this grain (0 non-null rows measured); derived here as active listings / closed sales per month. A fresher supply-only read (22 new, 67 active, 2026-09-01, Realtor.com inventory (county + ZIP), via Lotvox) is available but is NOT used in the net — that source publishes no closed sales, so subtracting across it would mix two vintages.

Should you buy here?

buyer-timing lens
39affordability /100

Buyer leverage is seller slight; weigh payment burden and the 3-lens valuation before bidding.

Payment burden
38.6%
severe
Days on market
38
daily
Price cuts
31.9%
of active
Valuation
-4.4%
vs assessor

Days on market and price cuts: Redfin Data Center, rolling 90 days.

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Rent vs own — the renter's question first
$2,097
median rent · per month
$3,527
total cost to own · per month
+$1,430
more to own · per month

Rent: Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI). Ownership cost: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), 20% down, 30-year loan at the current mortgage rate, plus 1.2% of the price a year.

Rent to price — the investor's question first
21.6×
price to annual rent
Lower is friendlier to a buy-to-let case. This is a ratio of published medians, not a yield on any particular property.

Price: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI). Annual rent: 12 months of Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI).

43
/100
Mixed
cooling · seller slight · prices easing year-over-year.
Price trend
35
Affordability
25
Valuation
90
Economic health
39

Verdict grades housing conditions; buyer-timing, investor cash-flow, supply-tightness and county macro scores answer different questions — each in its own section.

Buyer / seller

buyer-timing lens
44/ 100SellerBalancedBuyer
Balanced Market
Needs 22.3% correction for affordability
DOM: 42d (stable) · Market Dynamics rolling median · hourly
Score Components
Payment Burden (25%)75
Valuation Gap (25%)40
Supply & Demand (20%)0
Buy vs Rent (15%)75
Cancellation Rate (10%)25
Days on Market (5%)40

Balanced market in 80002. List price is roughly fair — focus on condition and value. Payment burden: 36.9% of median income. A 5% price correction needed to reach 30% affordability threshold. Median days on market: 42. Renting is approximately 88% cheaper than buying (price-to-rent ratio: 22.5).

Balanced market conditions. Prices roughly aligned with fundamentals — similar to stable periods in 2014-2015.
COOLINGSELLER SLIGHT

Market is cooling with expanding inventory. Sellers hold a slight edge. Prices down 2.2% YoY.

Turnover Index · Live in this ZIPBacktest: 32.5% of later sellers were already in the top 20% (random = 20%, 117 held-out sales) · 5,896 parcels scored nightly

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Market snapshot

each number, once
Median price
$543,066
▾ 2.2% YoY
Days on market
38
Redfin
Median rent
$2,097
ZORI
Investor score
38/100
cash-flow lens
Active listings
81
90-day

Median price: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI). Median rent: Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI). Days on market and active listings: Redfin Data Center, rolling 90 days.

Valuation

3 lenses, different anchors
vs assessor
-4.4%
Market vs assessed value — a tax-roll lag, not a deal signal.
Avg assessor$519,002
county CAMA · properties_v
vs income
—
Fair-value model not available for this market.
fair_value_scores · 10-state coverage
vs county comps
+68.6%
County-wide market — the widest, slowest signal.
Jefferson+68.6%
Lotvox comps · mv_valuation_gap

Read together: Above county comps but sustainable on local incomes.
Pricing detail
Price / sqft$257
Price-to-income6.1×

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How 80002 ranks in CO
percentile vs all Colorado ZIPs · n=476
Market velocity69%
Supply tightness93%
Affordability38%
Investment yield59%
Appreciation18%

Affordability, supply & momentum

75SUPPLY
Severe TightnessSupply Tightness

Very tight supply — well-priced homes attract multiple offers within days.

Months of Supply1.8 mo
Days on Market38d
Inv vs History+12.1%
Listing Density8.6/1k
Affordability — payment burden
Monthly payment (P&I)$2,984
Payment burden38.6%
Median income · ZIP$92,827
Mortgage rate7.32% · 30yr
Total monthly own$3,527
Monthly rent$2,097
Market dynamics
Price cut %31.9%
Momentumcooling
LeverageSELLER SLIGHT
Months of supply4.5
Sales (90d)54
Investment analysis
Median rent$2,097
Price-to-rent21.6
Est. cap rate2.9%
Buy vs rentfavors renting

Livability

Walk score4
Transit score5
Bike score—
Places & amenities in ZIP 80002 · 81 mapped
Parks & open space15
Columbine ParkFoster ParkFour Acre Lake ParkGiffith Station ParkGold SpikeHarold D Lutz Sports Complex+9 more
Trails6
Clear Creek TrailInterurban TrailJimmy Go TrailRalston Creek TrailVan Bibber Creek Trail AccessVan Bibber Park Outer Loop Trail
Recreation & aquatics5
303 Training CenterApex Field HouseCore ProgressionrMacYoga Studio
Venues & culture7
Arvada LibraryArvada LibraryGallery 1874Harkins Arvada 14McIlvoy Houselist of people from Arvada, Colorado+1 more
Dining & cafés40
12 Volt Tavern303 RamenAnthony's Pizza & PastaApplebee'sArvada Villa Italian RestaurantBeau Jo's Pizza+34 more
Land & water6
Clear CreekCormorant LakeGarrison LakeRalston CreekUpper Mount Olivet ReservoirVan Bibber Creek
Getting around1
Olde Town Arvada
Weekend range12
Barr Lake State Park · state park20 mi
Chatfield State Park · state park21 mi
Cherry Creek State Park · state park18 mi
Eldorado Canyon State Park · state park14 mi
Golden Gate Canyon · state park18 mi
Indian Peaks Wilderness · wilderness area35 mi
James Peak Protection Area (National) · national conservation area34 mi
James Peak Wilderness · wilderness area31 mi
Mount Evans Wilderness · wilderness area31 mi
Roxborough State Park · state park24 mi

Straight-line distance from the ZIP centroid (USGS PAD-US).

5,429 ft above sea level elevation · USGS 3DEP10 protected / open-space parcels · USGS PAD-USArvada: incorporated/founded 1859 · Wikidata

Place data: NPS National Register of Historic Places · USGS 3D Elevation Program · USGS Protected Areas Database (PAD-US) · Wikidata · © OpenStreetMap contributors — licensed ODbL (OpenStreetMap), CC0 (Wikidata) and US public domain (USGS, NPS, Census). Every place shown comes from the named sources; nothing is editorialized.

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Housing pulse

4 charts, one facade
Payment Shock ≠ Price Crash
38.6%severe
payment burden — est. P&I $2,984/mo on $543,066 vs median income $92,827
7.32% 30yr fixed (as of 2026-10-22) · 20% down, 30yr fixed
200820172026$0k$150k$300k$450k$600k$0$850$1,700$2,550$3,400
home value (left)est. monthly payment (right)
estimated monthly P&I at the CURRENT rate (7.32% as of 2026-10-22), held constant — 20% down, 30yr fixed
as of 2026-09-30 · Zillow ZHVI + FRED MORTGAGE30US (fred, as of 2026-10-22) + Census median household income
Real Home Values
$543,066in 2026-09 dollars (nominal $543,066)
2002201020172026$0k$200k$400k$600k$800k
real (2026-09 = 100 deflator)nominal
price basis: Zillow ZHVI
as of 2026-09-30 · Zillow ZHVI + CPI (national deflator)
Listings Flow Ladder
New listings
28.667
Active listings
81
Closed sales
18
Net flow
+10.667 · filling
months of supply 4.5 (balanced band 4–6)
20242025202620260153060
new listingsclosed sales
as of 2026-09-30 · Redfin market data (county + ZIP), via Lotvox
Migration vs Inventory
county migration (parent)
+1,147net migration (2022-2023), gaining — households
in 16,902 · out 15,755 · Jefferson County, CO (parent county of this ZIP)
201320172021202602550100
active inventory
as of 2026-07-01 · IRS SOI county-to-county migration flows 2022-2023 + Redfin inventory history

Price bands

mix-shift

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Video analysis

restored
What's the 80002 Arvada, CO Housing Market Like? | Lotvox

ZIP 80002 sits at 5429 feet in Arvada, CO, where the high plains meet the Front Range foothills.

Overall grade: 39 (Weak). Momentum is cooling with a -2% year-over-year shift; leverage stays seller slight across price trend and valuation sub-scores.

Median home price is $567K at $257 per square foot. Inventory holds 68 active listings with 24 days on market; 30.4% show price cuts while median rent reaches $2096.

Assessed value averages $517,100 against a -8.7% gap to list prices. Market velocity ranks in the 80th percentile even as appreciation sits at the 32nd percentile locally.

Household income of $92,827 faces severe burden at 37%. Monthly ownership costs $3,429 versus $2,096 for renting, favoring renters amid just 1.8 months supply.

Jefferson County shows economic health at 39 and investment yield in the 60th percentile compared to broader Colorado benchmarks.

Six water bodies include Upper Mount Olivet Reservoir, Garrison Lake, and Cormorant Lake. Clear Creek, Van Bibber Creek, and Ralston Creek carve cottonwood corridors through the landscape.

Fourteen parks span Harold D Lutz Sports Complex, Lewis Ralston Gold Site Park, and Foster Park. Six trails like Interurban Trail and Clear Creek Trail link ten protected open spaces.

Five recreation sites feature Apex Field House, rMac, and a Yoga Studio for local fitness and community programming within Arvada neighborhoods.

Forty dining spots include Beau Jo's Pizza, Hunter Bay Coffee Roasters, and Umai Ya. Cultural venues span Harkins Arvada 14, McIlvoy House, and Gallery 1874.

Twelve destinations lie within range: Eldorado Canyon State Park at 14 miles, Cherry Creek State Park at 18 miles, plus Golden Gate Canyon access via Olde Town Arvada.

Arvada was founded in 1859 and now holds 124,402 residents, growing from gold-rush origins into a Front Range suburb with deep historical roots.

Explore full market data for ZIP 80002 Arvada at lotvox.com/denver/zip/80002.

Jefferson County context

macro · jobs · debt · migration
ZIP score grades housing; county score adds macro distress (jobs, debt, poverty). They answer different questions.

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Nearby ZIP codes

Typical home value: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI); change is the 12-month change.

Owner stock, age of householder

Tenure by age of householder (ACS B25007) is not published below county. Any ZIP figure here is DERIVED from the county's age-specific owner rates applied to this ZIP's own age structure — never read directly.

Derived — this ZIP
No ZIP figure — this ZIP spans 2 counties
NOT DERIVED: this ZIP spans more than one county. Tenure by age is not published below county, and no single county rate applies here. Weighting by area would produce a number, not a measurement - area is a poor proxy for where households are. Each county's own figure is shown instead.
Measured — each county this ZIP spans
  • Jefferson · 96% of area11.3% in 2023
  • Adams · 4% of area8.1% in 2023
ACS B25007, published at county grain.