Estes Park 80517

Larimer County, CO · 8,122 properties · updated 7/26/2026

Gerald Mayo

The Mayo Report

The most deeply measured small market in America

Prices · inventory · trends back to 1992Read the full Mayo Report →

Should you buy here?buyer-timing lens

23affordability /100

Buyer leverage is balanced; weigh payment burden and the 3-lens valuation before bidding.

Payment burden
48%
severe
Days on market
78
daily
Price cuts
19.6%
of active
Valuation
-4.1%
vs assessor
Look up an address
45
/100
mixed
stable · balanced · prices rising year-over-year.

Verdict grades housing conditions; buyer-timing, investor cash-flow, supply-tightness and county macro scores answer different questions — each in its own section.

Buyer / sellerbuyer-timing lens

56/ 100SellerBalancedBuyer
Balanced Market
Needs 37.5% correction for affordability
DOM: 135d (stable) · Market Dynamics rolling median · hourly
Score Components
Payment Burden (25%)100
Valuation Gap (25%)25
Supply & Demand (20%)20
Buy vs Rent (15%)75
Cancellation Rate (10%)50
Days on Market (5%)100

Balanced market in 80517. List price is roughly fair — focus on condition and value. Payment burden: 47.2% of median income. A 26% price correction needed to reach 30% affordability threshold. Median days on market: 135. Renting is approximately 97% cheaper than buying (price-to-rent ratio: 23.7).

Balanced market conditions. Prices roughly aligned with fundamentals — similar to stable periods in 2014-2015.
STABLEBALANCED

Market is holding steady with balanced conditions. Conditions are balanced between buyers and sellers.

Turnover Index · Live in this ZIPBacktest: 27.7% of later sellers were already in the top 20% (random = 20%, 184 held-out sales) · 7,153 parcels scored nightly

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Market snapshoteach number, once

Median price
$694,014
▴ 0.5% YoY
Days on market
78
daily · zip_data
Median rent
$2,573
ZORI
Investor score
40/100
cash-flow lens
Active listings
153
90-day

Valuation3 lenses, different anchors

vs assessor
-4.1%
Market vs assessed value — a tax-roll lag, not a deal signal.
Avg assessor$665,550
county CAMA · properties_v
vs income
Fair-value model not available for this market.
fair_value_scores · 10-state coverage
vs county comps
+63.2%
County-wide market — the widest, slowest signal.
Larimer+63.2%
Lotvox comps · mv_valuation_gap

Read together: Above county comps but sustainable on local incomes.
Pricing detail
Price / sqft$265
Price-to-income7.8×

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How 80517 ranks in CO
percentile vs all CO ZIPs
Comparative ranking not available for this ZIP.

Affordability, supply & momentum

51SUPPLY
Tight MarketSupply Tightness

Supply is below normal — sellers are favored but buyers still have options.

Months of Supply2.0 mo
Days on Market78d
Inv vs History+5.9%
Listing Density30.9/1k
Market dynamics
Price cut %19.6%
Momentumstable
LeverageBALANCED
Months of supply2
Sales (90d)0
Investment analysis
Median rent$2,573
Price-to-rent23.7
Est. cap rate2.7%
Buy vs rentfavors renting

Livability

Walk score8
Transit score4
Bike score

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Price bandsmix-shift

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Larimer County contextmacro · jobs · debt · migration

ZIP score grades housing; county score adds macro distress (jobs, debt, poverty). They answer different questions.

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