Verdict grades housing conditions; buyer-timing, investor cash-flow, supply-tightness and county macro scores answer different questions — each in its own section.
Buyer / sellerbuyer-timing lens
Seller's Market
Needs 15.7% correction for affordability
DOM: 89d (stable) · Market Dynamics rolling median · hourly
Score Components
Payment Burden (25%)50
Valuation Gap (25%)40
Supply & Demand (20%)0
Buy vs Rent (15%)50
Cancellation Rate (10%)50
Days on Market (5%)75
Seller-favored market in 80433. Expect to pay at or near list price. Payment burden: 35.6% of median income. Median days on market: 89. Renting is approximately 61% cheaper than buying (price-to-rent ratio: 19.3).
Buyer Caution
Seller's market. Be prepared to pay near list price.
Competitive market similar to 2021-2022 — limited inventory driving prices above fundamentals.
COOLINGBUYER ADVANTAGE
Market is cooling with expanding inventory. Buyers have strong negotiating leverage. Prices down 3.3% YoY.
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Meyer Ranch Park (Area Closed)Beaver Ranch ParkJames Q Newton ParkConifer Community Bark ParkFlying J Ranch ParkLegualt Mountain Community Park (Private)
Trails38
Goshawk TrailScreech Owl TrailSapsucker TrailBear Paw TrailPine Elfin TrailCasto Creek Trail+32 more
Recreation & aquatics6
Anytime FitnessConifer Japanese KarateAspen Park Community CenterConfier Junction School House (Historic)Colorado Taekwando InstituteMountain Resource Center
Venues & culture2
Conifer LibraryThe Venue Theatre Company
Dining & cafés14
StarbucksEbony & VineDutch Bros. CoffeeRocky Mountain WrapsPrimo's CafeRipple Pizza and Ice Cream+8 more
Land & water9
South Platte RiverBlack MountainLegault MountainRiley PeakSheep MountainStrontia Springs Reservoir+3 more
Getting around1
Meyer Ranch Airport (Historic)
Weekend range13
Staunton State Park · state park6 mi
Chatfield State Park · state park11 mi
Roxborough State Park · state park13 mi
Lost Creek Wilderness · wilderness area18 mi
Mount Evans Wilderness · wilderness area18 mi
Golden Gate Canyon · state park24 mi
Cherry Creek State Park · state park25 mi
Eldorado Canyon State Park · state park30 mi
The Bluffs at Castle Point · state park30 mi
James Peak Wilderness · wilderness area32 mi
Straight-line distance from the ZIP centroid (USGS PAD-US).
Jefferson County contextmacro · jobs · debt · migration
ZIP score grades housing; county score adds macro distress (jobs, debt, poverty). They answer different questions.
ZIP 80433→Jefferson County, COPop: 578,437
12-Month Direction
-7Stable
Confidence
100%
DeterioratingStableImproving
BuildersLens Market Intelligence
Market Score
35· Weak
Market Score grades housing-market conditions (affordability, valuation, supply). The county Healthy/Moderate/Distressed badge measures economic distress (jobs, debt, poverty) — the two can read differently.
Payment Burden40
36%
severe
Source: Lotvox · Updated 2026-05-15
Buy vs Rent0
2.318x
rent advantage
Source: Lotvox · Updated 2026-05-15
Valuation12
+69.4%
overvalued
Source: Lotvox comps · Updated 2026-05-15
Supply/Demand3
2.4 mo
balanced
Source: Lotvox MLS · Updated 2026-05-15
Insurance Risk
33/100
moderate
Source: FEMA/NFIP · Updated 2026-04
County distress indicators
ECONOMIC INDICATORS
Economic indicators remain stronger than national averages.
Unemployment Rate
3.4%
CO 3.8%US 4.4%
Lower than most U.S. counties
Source: BLS LAUS · 2026-0540d ago
Poverty Rate
7.4%
CO 9.4%US 12.6%
Lower than most U.S. counties
Median Household Income
$107,800
CO $94,510US $82,006
Higher than most U.S. counties
Cost of Living (RPP)
112.5
CO 111.8US 100.3
Higher than many comparable counties
Home Value (ZHVI)$620,939
County data: BLS, Census ACS, CDC, FBI UCR, Federal Reserve, USDA
