Centennial 80015

Tallyn's Reach · Arapahoe County, CO · 23,878 properties · updated 7/26/2026

Should you buy here?buyer-timing lens

55affordability /100

Buyer leverage is seller slight; weigh payment burden and the 3-lens valuation before bidding.

Payment burden

27.9%

affordable

Days on market

daily

Price cuts

33.2%

of active

Valuation

-22.6%

vs assessor

Look up an address

/100

Mixed

cooling · seller slight · prices easing year-over-year.

Price trend

Affordability

Valuation

Economic health

Verdict grades housing conditions; buyer-timing, investor cash-flow, supply-tightness and county macro scores answer different questions — each in its own section.

Buyer / sellerbuyer-timing lens

Seller's Market

DOM: 54d (rising) · Market Dynamics rolling median · hourly

Score Components

Payment Burden (25%)25

Valuation Gap (25%)25

Supply & Demand (20%)20

Buy vs Rent (15%)50

Cancellation Rate (10%)0

Days on Market (5%)60

Seller-favored market in 80015. Expect to pay at or near list price. Payment burden: 27.6% of median income. Median days on market: 54. Renting is approximately 39% cheaper than buying (price-to-rent ratio: 16.7).

Buyer Caution

Seller's market. Be prepared to pay near list price.

Competitive market similar to 2021-2022 — limited inventory driving prices above fundamentals.

COOLINGSELLER SLIGHT

Market is cooling with expanding inventory. Sellers hold a slight edge. Prices down 1.8% YoY.

Turnover Index · Coming soonLotvox Turnover Index county records here lack a leakage-free sale history.

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Address lookup$99 report path

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<iframe src="https://lotvox.com/embed/zip/80015" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;border-radius:12px;overflow:hidden;max-width:640px" loading="lazy" title="Centennial 80015 — Lotvox market card"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui;margin:4px 0 0"><a href="https://lotvox.com/denver/zip/80015?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=backlink">Centennial 80015 housing market data</a> by <a href="https://lotvox.com/">Lotvox</a></p>

Market snapshoteach number, once

Median price

$546,950

▾ 1.8% YoY

Days on market

daily · zip_data

Median rent

$2,741

ZORI

Investor score

57/100

cash-flow lens

Active listings

159

90-day

Valuation3 lenses, different anchors

vs assessor

-22.6%

Market vs assessed value — a tax-roll lag, not a deal signal.

Avg assessor$423,600

county CAMA · properties_v

vs income

—

Fair-value model not available for this market.

fair_value_scores · 10-state coverage

vs county comps

+62.4%

County-wide market — the widest, slowest signal.

Arapahoe+62.4%

Lotvox comps · mv_valuation_gap

Read together: Above county comps but sustainable on local incomes.

Pricing detail

Price / sqft$193

Price-to-income4.5×

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How 80015 ranks in CO

percentile vs all Colorado ZIPs · n=476

Market velocity91%

Supply tightness84%

Affordability75%

Investment yield89%

Appreciation30%

Affordability, supply & momentum

89SUPPLY

Severe TightnessSupply Tightness

Very tight supply — well-priced homes attract multiple offers within days.

Months of Supply2.1 mo

Days on Market14d

Inv vs History-1.5%

Listing Density6.5/1k

Affordability — payment burden

Monthly payment (P&I)$2,826

Payment burden27.9%

Median income · ZIP$121,640

Mortgage rate6.71% · 30yr

Total monthly own$3,373

Monthly rent$2,741

Market dynamics

Price cut %33.2%

Momentumcooling

LeverageSELLER SLIGHT

Months of supply2.1

Sales (90d)0

Investment analysis

Median rent$2,741

Price-to-rent16.7

Est. cap rate3.9%

Buy vs rentneutral

Livability

Walk score3

Transit score3

Bike score—

Historical trends

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Price bandsmix-shift

Price Bands — the median behind the median

A single median rises whenever expensive homes become a bigger share of what sells, even if no tier got more expensive. These are the tiers underneath it, computed from recorded arms-length deed transactions in Arapahoe.

Aggregate median +0.9% YoY in this ZIP, but the under-$500k tier is +2.2% — the headline median is essentially flat, so the tier move is what matters here. Over the same year the under-$500k share of sales moved from 37.2% to 35.0% (-2.2pp) and the $1M+ share from 0.7% to 1.8% (+1.1pp).

Current tiers · 12 months to Aug 25floor 10 sales/tier

3 tiers had too few sales in this ZIP and are shown at county or metro level — see the stamp on each row.

Tier	Median	$/sqft	Sales	Share	Source
Under $250k	$218k	—	19	2.0%	ZIP
$250k–$500k	$440k	$553	307	33.0%	ZIP
$500k–$750k	$575k	—	508	54.6%	ZIP
$750k–$1M	$803k	$450	80	8.6%	ZIP
$1M–$1.5M	$1.17M	$246	347	—	COUNTY · Arapahoe, CO
$1.5M–$2M	$1.65M	$531	44	—	COUNTY · Denver, CO
$2M+	$2.64M	$730	31	—	COUNTY · Denver, CO
All sales (the headline median)	$540k	—	931	100%	ZIP

Share of sales by tier (quarterly)

If the upper tiers widen over time, the headline median rises on composition alone.

Under $250k
$250k–$500k
$500k–$750k
$750k–$1M
$1M–$1.5M
$1.5M–$2M
$2M+

Median within each tier, against the headline median (quarterly)

The blue line is the single number NAR-style reporting quotes. The gold lines are what each tier actually did. Log scale — the tiers span an order of magnitude, and on a log axis equal slopes mean equal percentage moves, which is the comparison being made.

Under $250k
$250k–$500k
$500k–$750k
$750k–$1M
All sales (headline)

National context — not local

NAR's aggregate existing-home median for the United States and the West census region. This is the figure the tiers above are a check on. It is national/regional and says nothing about 80015.

United States
West

Copyright, National Association of Realtors. Reprinted with permission. Retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. FRED publishes a rolling 13-month window for these series.

Tiers computed from Lotvox parcel and deed substrate through Aug 25 (10 later months withheld as partially loaded). Sample floor 10 sales per tier; below it a figure is drawn from the county or metro and labelled, or left blank. Multi-parcel bulk deeds and duplicate records are excluded.

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Video analysisrestored

What's the 80015 Centennial, CO Housing Market Like? | Lotvox

ZIP 80015 in Centennial sits at 5806 feet with 142 mapped listings defining this high plains market.

Score 57 Mixed tier reflects cooling momentum and seller slight leverage amid a -2.4% year-over-year shift across price trends.

Median price lands at $550948 or $551k while $193 per square foot meets 14 days on market against 159 active inventory.

Assessor value averages $423600 creating a -23.1% gap as Colorado benchmarks show 25th percentile appreciation alongside 90th market velocity.

$121640 median income supports $2783 monthly payment versus $3334 to own while 2.1 months supply keeps affordability classified neutral here.

Arapahoe County shows 55 economic health with investment yield hitting the 89th percentile against broader Colorado benchmarks for context.

Eight water bodies include Cherry Creek Reservoir and Quincy Reservoir while streams like West Toll Gate Creek cross rolling shortgrass prairie terrain.

46 parks feature Cherry Creek State Park and Marina Park while 33 trails including Pipeline Trail weave through 12 protected open spaces nearby.

Five rec centers host VASA Fitness and Jazzercise sessions while permitted swimming areas offer seasonal aquatic access within local park boundaries today.

Smoky Hill Library anchors four venues while 37 dining spots range from Desi Bites to Endless Grind Coffee serving daily neighborhood gatherings locally.

Chatfield State Park sits 19 miles away while Roxborough State Park offers similar distance access via Nine Mile corridor for weekend exploration trips.

Centennial formed in 2001 housing 108418 residents as a modern municipal entity carved from existing Arapahoe County suburban development patterns recently.

Explore full ZIP 80015 data at lotvox.com/denver/zip/80015 for complete market metrics and regional analysis details.

Arapahoe County contextmacro · jobs · debt · migration

ZIP score grades housing; county score adds macro distress (jobs, debt, poverty). They answer different questions.

ZIP 80015→Arapahoe County, COPop: 666,557

12-Month Direction

-8Stable

Confidence

100%

DeterioratingStableImproving

BuildersLens Market Intelligence

Market Score

41· Weak

Market Score grades housing-market conditions (affordability, valuation, supply). The county Healthy/Moderate/Distressed badge measures economic distress (jobs, debt, poverty) — the two can read differently.

Payment Burden45

32.7%

stretched

Source: Lotvox · Updated 2026-05-15

Buy vs Rent0

2.034x

rent advantage

Source: Lotvox · Updated 2026-05-15

Valuation20

+62.4%

overvalued

Source: Lotvox comps · Updated 2026-05-15