Middle Island 11953

Suffolk County, NY · 5,802 properties · updated 7/26/2026

Should you buy here?buyer-timing lens

45affordability /100

Buyer leverage is balanced; weigh payment burden and the 3-lens valuation before bidding.

Payment burden

34.4%

stretched

Days on market

daily

Price cuts

8.1%

of active

Valuation

-17%

vs assessor

Look up an address

/100

stable

warming · balanced · prices rising year-over-year.

Verdict grades housing conditions; buyer-timing, investor cash-flow, supply-tightness and county macro scores answer different questions — each in its own section.

Buyer / sellerbuyer-timing lens

Negotiate Hard

Needs 12.8% correction for affordability

DOM: 52d (rising) · Market Dynamics rolling median · hourly

Score Components

Payment Burden (25%)50

Valuation Gap (25%)80

Supply & Demand (20%)70

Buy vs Rent (15%)75

Cancellation Rate (10%)100

Days on Market (5%)60

Moderate buyer leverage in 11953. Room to negotiate 5-10% below list. Payment burden: 33.6% of median income. Median days on market: 52. Renting is approximately 86% cheaper than buying (price-to-rent ratio: 22.3). Market appears 26% overpriced vs. assessed values.

What to Offer

Offer 5-10% below list. You have room to negotiate.

Conditions resemble 2019 pre-pandemic levels — moderate overvaluation with slowing demand. Negotiation room exists.

WARMINGBALANCED

Market is warming with rising prices. Conditions are balanced between buyers and sellers. Prices up 3.7% YoY.

Address lookup$99 report path

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<iframe src="https://lotvox.com/embed/zip/11953" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;border-radius:12px;overflow:hidden;max-width:640px" loading="lazy" title="Middle Island 11953 — Lotvox market card"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui;margin:4px 0 0"><a href="https://lotvox.com/new-york/zip/11953?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=backlink">Middle Island 11953 housing market data</a> by <a href="https://lotvox.com/">Lotvox</a></p>

Market snapshoteach number, once

Median price

$511,202

▴ 3.7% YoY

Days on market

daily · zip_data

Median rent

$2,862

ZORI

Investor score

50/100

cash-flow lens

Active listings

90-day

Valuation3 lenses, different anchors

vs assessor

-17.0%

Market vs assessed value — a tax-roll lag, not a deal signal.

Avg assessor$424,528

county CAMA · properties_v

vs income

—

Fair-value model not available for this market.

fair_value_scores · 10-state coverage

vs county comps

+61.2%

County-wide market — the widest, slowest signal.

Suffolk+61.2%

Lotvox comps · mv_valuation_gap

Read together: Above county comps but sustainable on local incomes.

Pricing detail

Price / sqft—

Price-to-income5.5×

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How 11953 ranks in NY

percentile vs all NY ZIPs

Comparative ranking not available for this ZIP.

Affordability, supply & momentum

53SUPPLY

Tight MarketSupply Tightness

Supply is below normal — sellers are favored but buyers still have options.

Months of Supply7.1 mo

Days on Market37d

Inv vs History-23.2%

Listing Density--

Market dynamics

Price cut %8.1%

Momentumwarming

LeverageBALANCED

Months of supply7.1

Sales (90d)0

Investment analysis

Median rent$2,862

Price-to-rent22.3

Est. cap rate2.9%

Buy vs rentfavors buying

Livability

Walk score2

Transit score6

Bike score—

Historical trends

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Price bandsmix-shift

Price Bands — the median behind the median

A single median rises whenever expensive homes become a bigger share of what sells, even if no tier got more expensive. These are the tiers underneath it, computed from recorded arms-length deed transactions in Suffolk.

Current tiers · 12 months to Aug 25floor 10 sales/tier

1 tier had too few sales in this ZIP and are shown at county or metro level — see the stamp on each row. 6 tiers had too few sales at every level and are left blank rather than estimated.

Tier	Median	$/sqft	Sales	Share	Source
Under $250k	—	—	—	—	fewer than 10 sales at zip, county and metro level
$250k–$500k	$310k	$231	10	90.9%	COUNTY · Suffolk, NY
$500k–$750k	—	—	—	—	fewer than 10 sales at zip, county and metro level
$750k–$1M	—	—	—	—	fewer than 10 sales at zip, county and metro level
$1M–$1.5M	—	—	—	—	fewer than 10 sales at zip, county and metro level
$1.5M–$2M	—	—	—	—	fewer than 10 sales at zip, county and metro level
$2M+	—	—	—	—	fewer than 10 sales at zip, county and metro level
All sales (the headline median)	$302k	$224	11	100%	COUNTY · Suffolk, NY

No mix-shift history for this area. no geography from this ZIP up to metro has 8+ quarters of 10+ recorded arms-length sales across at least 4 price tiers. Trends are drawn only from recorded transactions; the last-sale snapshot above cannot carry a time series, because a property that sold twice keeps only its latest sale — which drags the history upward through the tiers and would invent the very mix shift this section exists to test for.

National context — not local

NAR's aggregate existing-home median for the United States and the Northeast census region. This is the figure the tiers above are a check on. It is national/regional and says nothing about 11953.

United States
Northeast

Copyright, National Association of Realtors. Reprinted with permission. Retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. FRED publishes a rolling 13-month window for these series.

Tiers computed from Lotvox parcel and deed substrate through Aug 25 (10 later months withheld as partially loaded). Sample floor 10 sales per tier; below it a figure is drawn from the county or metro and labelled, or left blank. Multi-parcel bulk deeds and duplicate records are excluded.

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Suffolk County contextmacro · jobs · debt · migration

ZIP score grades housing; county score adds macro distress (jobs, debt, poverty). They answer different questions.

ZIP 11953→Suffolk County, NY

12-Month Direction

+22Moderate Improvement

Confidence

100%

DeterioratingStableImproving

BuildersLens Market Intelligence

Market Score

36· Weak

Market Score grades housing-market conditions (affordability, valuation, supply). The county Healthy/Moderate/Distressed badge measures economic distress (jobs, debt, poverty) — the two can read differently.

Payment Burden42

34.9%

stretched

Source: Lotvox · Updated 2026-05-15

Buy vs Rent29

1.558x

rent advantage

Source: Lotvox · Updated 2026-05-15

Valuation2

+61.2%

overvalued

Source: Lotvox comps · Updated 2026-05-15