Lotvox market story

ZIP 74038

Creek County, OK

What homes are worth, what they cost to carry, how fast they sell — one step at a time.

Typical home value
$225,210
12-month change
+6.7%
Payment share of income
25.2%

This week since 2026-10-08: Payment share of income 25.2% (was 24.9%) · Monthly P&I $1,247 (was $1,233)

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Who's going to sell in 74038 this year?

Lotvox Turnover Index

Ranking every home in 74038 by how likely it is to sell

Lotvox Turnover Index
Not yet live
Source: County assessor and recorder public records; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · accuracy by ZIP · methodology

The Lotvox Turnover Index isn't offered for 74038 yet.

Where

74038 in Creek County, OK

74010 · $197,91374028 · $250,77574030 · $121,43274038 · $225,21074039 · $228,94874041 · $248,75174044 · $229,05874046 · no value published74050 · no value published74052 · no value published74066 · $218,95874068 · no value published74071 · no value published74131 · $284,135 74038
$121K$284K typical home value
Source: Census TIGER/Line · Zillow (ZHVI)Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research

74038 is one of 14 ZIP codes that lie mostly in Creek County, OK — 51% of its own area is in the county.

Shaded by typical home value, it ranks 6 of the 9 with a value.

Value rank in county
6 of 9

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research

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What it costs

Home values

What homes are worth in 74038

$0$100K$200K$300K200020052010201520202025Peak August 2026 · $225,210Latest · $225,210
Typical home value
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · as of 2026-08-31Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31

In January 2000 the typical home in 74038 was worth $64,383.

Values peaked at $225,210 in August 2026. The latest reading is the peak.

As of August 2026: $225,210, +6.7% over twelve months.

Typical home value
$225,210
12-month change
+6.7%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31

Housing pulse

Monthly cost vs. price

Typical home
$225,210
Loan at 20% down
$180,168
30-year fixed rate
7.40%
Monthly principal + interest
$1,247
Median household income, per month
$4,948
Share of income
25.2%
0%30%60%
At today's rate, by home value, 2000–2026: 7.2% → 25.2%
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · Census ACS · Lotvox · as of 2026-08-31Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Start with the typical home: $225,210. Put 20% down and borrow $180,168 at 7.40%, the 30-year fixed average as of October 8, 2026.

That is $1,247 a month in principal and interest.

The median household here earns $59,375 a year, $4,948 a month. So the payment takes 25.2% of income — rated “affordable” (Lotvox ZIP bands: under 28% affordable · 28–36% stretched · 36%+ severe).

The line holds today's rate fixed and moves only the price: at that rate, the same share was 7.2% in 2000.

Payment share of income
25.2%
Monthly P&I
$1,247

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Lotvox lens

The payment, at each month's rate

$0$500$1K$2K2000200520102015202020252.68% rate · $5166.67% rate · $1,159
Monthly P&I at that month's 30-year rate
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Take the typical home's price each month, borrow 80% at that month's actual 30-year average rate: in January 2000 (8.21%) the payment was $386.

In December 2020, with rates at 2.68%, it was $516.

By August 2026, at 6.67%, it was $1,159 — +124% since December 2020, while the home's value moved +41%.

Payment change since 2020
+124%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Lotvox lens

Home value after inflation

$0$100K$200K$300K200020052010201520202025
Home value (as reported)Prices in general (CPI-U), scaled to January 2000Home value in August 2026 dollars
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · BLS CPI via FRED · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.

Reported values rose +250% since January 2000.

General prices (CPI-U) rose +97% over the same span.

Divide one by the other: in August 2026 dollars, the 2000 home was worth $127,066. So the real change is +77%, not +250%.

Real change since 2000
+77%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.

Home values

74038 against its neighbors

0100200300400200020052010201520202025
74038 (2000 = 100)Creek County (2000 = 100)Oklahoma (2000 = 100)
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

74038: +250% since January 2000.

Creek County: +173% since January 2000.

Oklahoma: +164% since January 2000 — 74038 ran ahead of it by 86 points.

Change since 2000
+250%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Lotvox lens

Rent or own

Own: payment + 1.2%/yr taxes & insurance
$1,473
principal + interest $1,247 · taxes & insurance est. $226
Rent: typical rent (ZORI)
$850
Price-to-rent ratio
22.1
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Zillow (ZORI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · LotvoxSource: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

Owning the typical home costs about $1,473 a month once taxes and insurance (estimated at 1.2% of price a year) are added. Renting runs about $850 a month.

Price divided by a year's rent: 22.1. Lotvox reads under 15 as favoring buying and 20 or more as favoring renting.

Price-to-rent
22.1

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

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What's moving

Housing pulse

Sales pace vs. normal

011220252026
Homes sold per monthSame months, 2015–2019
Source: Redfin · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Homes sold: about 1 a month in August 2026 (Redfin).

The 2015–2019 level for the same month was 1 — so sales ran at 100% of it, and below it in 6 of the last 24 months.

Sales vs 2015–19 level
100%

Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

New supply

Homes being permitted

01002003002022237202322220241932025270
1-unit buildings2–4 units5+ units
Source: Census permits · as of 2025Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey · data as of 2025

Across Creek County, builders pulled permits for 270 new homes in 2025.

Of those, 59% were in 1-unit buildings (the Census Bureau's category for detached and attached single homes).

Units permitted 2025
270

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey · data as of 2025

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Who's holding, who's leaving

Housing pulse

Migration and inventory

Moved in (top-10 origin counties)
1,661
Moved out (top-10 destination counties)
1,565
Net households
+96
Top origins
Tulsa, OK1,160
Payne, OK93
Wagoner, OK75
Top destinations
Tulsa, OK1,064
Payne, OK87
Okmulgee, OK86
Homes for sale, 2012–2026
Source: IRS SOI · Redfin · as of 2026-06-01Source: IRS Statistics of Income, county-to-county migration data; Redfin Data Center (market tracker data) · data as of 2026-06-01

This ZIP sits in Creek County. IRS tax returns for 2022-2023: among the ten counties sending the most households, 1,661 moved in. Among the ten receiving the most, 1,565 moved out.

Net across those counties: +96 households. Beside it, homes for sale in this ZIP: 6 in June 2026.

Most arrivals came from Tulsa, OK (1,160 households); most departures went to Tulsa, OK (1,064).

Net households (top-10 flows)
+96

Source: IRS Statistics of Income, county-to-county migration data; Redfin Data Center (market tracker data) · data as of 2026-06-01

County records

On the county rolls

Properties on the assessor roll
243
Average assessor market value
$130,456
Typical home value (ZHVI)
$225,210
Assessor vs market
−42.1%
Source: County records · Zillow (ZHVI) · LotvoxSource: County assessor and recorder public records; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

County assessor records list 243 properties with a market value here. Their average assessed market value is $130,456; the typical home value is $225,210.

The assessor average sits −42.1% from the market figure — an average against a typical value, so treat it as a check, not a verdict.

Properties on the roll
243

Source: County assessor and recorder public records; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

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What to do

Own a home here?What's my home worth?Enter your address for a county-record value range. Buying?Compare 74038 with 74066The same story, side by side. An agent?See where the index is livethe farm territory and this page's sponsor spot.

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Link: https://lotvox.com/story/tulsa/zip/74038