Lotvox market story

ZIP 33618

Hillsborough, FL

What homes are worth, what they cost to carry, how fast they sell — one step at a time.

Typical home value
$470,846
12-month change
+0.5%
Months of supply
3.4

This week since 2026-10-08: Months of supply 3.4 (was 3.6) · Payment share of income 39.2% (was 38.7%)

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Who's going to sell in 33618 this year?

Lotvox Turnover Index

Ranking every home in 33618 by how likely it is to sell

Lotvox Turnover Index
Not yet live
Source: County assessor and recorder public records; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · accuracy by ZIP · methodology

The Lotvox Turnover Index isn't offered for 33618 yet.

Where

33618 in Hillsborough, FL

33618 · $470,84633624 · $410,22833612 · $298,64233613 · $319,14433548 · $678,75233549 · $440,80133625 · $426,13233614 · $353,25433604 · $325,10433620 · no value published33558 · $548,12033634 · $380,26733603 · $403,33033617 · $298,66733615 · $370,76833559 · $374,02833626 · $566,85033607 · $362,63933556 · $666,16333602 · $519,09433635 · $441,97533609 · $608,95533637 · $296,73033606 · $851,96933605 · $262,40433610 · $278,01133629 · $1,036,81733647 · $467,79433611 · $483,43133619 · $289,24933592 · $410,52333616 · $408,59333550 · no value published33584 · $356,88833621 · no value published33510 · $343,92733511 · $362,33433578 · $335,34633594 · $367,79833534 · $314,162 33618
$262K$1.0M typical home value
Source: Census TIGER/Line · Zillow (ZHVI)Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research

33618 is one of 55 ZIP codes that lie mostly in Hillsborough, FL.

Shaded by typical home value, it ranks 10 of the 37 nearby ZIPs shown.

Value rank among nearby ZIPs
10 of 37

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research

Local life

Schools in 33618

3 school locations in 33618: 1 elementary, 2 high.

In alphabetical order: CARROLLWOOD ELEMENTARY SCHOOL, DOROTHY THOMAS CENTER, GAITHER HIGH SCHOOL. Locations only — no ratings are shown here.

School locations
3

Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics (school locations)

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What it costs

Home values

What homes are worth in 33618

$0$200K$400K$600K200020052010201520202025Peak September 2024 · $481,673Latest · $470,846
Typical home value
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · as of 2026-08-31Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31

In January 2000 the typical home in 33618 was worth $125,168.

Values peaked at $481,673 in September 2024. The latest reading is −2.2% from that peak.

As of August 2026: $470,846, +0.5% over twelve months.

Typical home value
$470,846
12-month change
+0.5%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31

Housing pulse

Monthly cost vs. price

Typical home
$470,846
Loan at 20% down
$376,677
30-year fixed rate
7.40%
Monthly principal + interest
$2,608
Median household income, per month
$6,654
Share of income
39.2%
0%30%60%
At today's rate, by home value, 2000–2026: 10.4% → 39.2%
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · Census ACS · Lotvox · as of 2026-08-31Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Start with the typical home: $470,846. Put 20% down and borrow $376,677 at 7.40%, the 30-year fixed average as of October 8, 2026.

That is $2,608 a month in principal and interest.

The median household here earns $79,850 a year, $6,654 a month. So the payment takes 39.2% of income — rated “severe” (Lotvox ZIP bands: under 28% affordable · 28–36% stretched · 36%+ severe).

The line holds today's rate fixed and moves only the price: at that rate, the same share was 10.4% in 2000.

Payment share of income
39.2%
Monthly P&I
$2,608

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Lotvox lens

The payment, at each month's rate

$0$1K$2K$3K2000200520102015202020252.68% rate · $1,0256.67% rate · $2,422
Monthly P&I at that month's 30-year rate
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Take the typical home's price each month, borrow 80% at that month's actual 30-year average rate: in January 2000 (8.21%) the payment was $749.

In December 2020, with rates at 2.68%, it was $1,025.

By August 2026, at 6.67%, it was $2,422 — +136% since December 2020, while the home's value moved +49%.

Payment change since 2020
+136%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Lotvox lens

Home value after inflation

$0$200K$400K$600K200020052010201520202025
Home value (as reported)Prices in general (CPI-U), scaled to January 2000Home value in August 2026 dollars
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · BLS CPI via FRED · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.

Reported values rose +276% since January 2000.

General prices (CPI-U) rose +97% over the same span.

Divide one by the other: in August 2026 dollars, the 2000 home was worth $247,032. So the real change is +91%, not +276%.

Real change since 2000
+91%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.

Home values

33618 against its neighbors

0100200300400500200020052010201520202025
33618 (2000 = 100)Hillsborough (2000 = 100)Florida (2000 = 100)
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

33618: +276% since January 2000.

Hillsborough: +256% since January 2000.

Florida: +245% since January 2000 — 33618 ran ahead of it by 31 points.

Change since 2000
+276%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Lotvox lens

33618 among Florida ZIPs

Affordability — price vs local income
22nd pct
Appreciation — recent value growth
67th pct
Rental yield — rent vs price
10th pct
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Census ACS · LotvoxSource: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

Against 1,098 Florida ZIP codes, 33618 sits at the 22nd percentile for affordability (price vs local income).

67th for appreciation (recent value growth); 10th for rental yield (rent vs price).

Affordability percentile
22nd

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

Lotvox lens

Rent or own

Own: payment + 1.2%/yr taxes & insurance
$3,079
principal + interest $2,608 · taxes & insurance est. $471
Rent: typical rent (ZORI)
$1,623
Price-to-rent ratio
24.2
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Zillow (ZORI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · LotvoxSource: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

Owning the typical home costs about $3,079 a month once taxes and insurance (estimated at 1.2% of price a year) are added. Renting runs about $1,623 a month.

Price divided by a year's rent: 24.2. Lotvox reads under 15 as favoring buying and 20 or more as favoring renting.

Price-to-rent
24.2

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

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What's moving

Housing pulse

Listings Flow Ladder

per month / homes for sale2024-092026-08balanced 4–6 mo3.5 mo3.4 months of supplyNet +5 / month · inventory growing
New listings / monthHomes for saleClosed sales / monthBasin water level = months of supply
Source: Redfin · Lotvox · as of 2026-08-31Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Picture the Listings Flow Ladder as a basin: new listings pour in from the faucet, the homes for sale are the water, and closed sales run out the drain. Coming in — new listings: about 40 a month (Redfin, 3-month rolling data through August 2026). That is 74% of the 2015–2019 level for the same months.

On the shelf — homes for sale at the end of the period: 123.

Going out — closed sales: about 36 a month. That is 69% of the 2015–2019 level for the same months. The drain is drawn 19% narrower: the share of homes for sale that sell each month is 81% of its 2015–2019 level.

The ladder: homes for sale ÷ monthly sales = 3.4 months of supply — below the 4–6 month range Lotvox treats as balanced. In the basin, that is the water level against the shaded balanced band.

The net reading: about 5 more homes came on than sold each month, so inventory is growing. The basin is filling.

Months of supply
3.4

Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Housing pulse

Sales pace vs. normal

020406020252026
Homes sold per monthSame months, 2015–2019
Source: Redfin · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Homes sold: about 36 a month in August 2026 (Redfin).

The 2015–2019 level for the same month was 42 — so sales ran at 86% of it, and below it in 23 of the last 24 months.

Sales vs 2015–19 level
86%

Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

New supply

Homes being permitted

05,00010,00015,00020,000202217,443202312,71620249,05320258,696
1-unit buildings2–4 units5+ units
Source: Census permits · as of 2025Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey · data as of 2025

Across Hillsborough, builders pulled permits for 8,696 new homes in 2025.

Of those, 49% were in 1-unit buildings (the Census Bureau's category for detached and attached single homes).

Units permitted 2025
8,696

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey · data as of 2025

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Who's holding, who's leaving

Housing pulse

Migration and inventory

Moved in (top-10 origin counties)
18,304
Moved out (top-10 destination counties)
22,455
Net households
−4,151
Top origins
Pinellas, FL4,886
Pasco, FL4,065
Polk, FL2,055
Top destinations
Pasco, FL8,182
Pinellas, FL5,025
Polk, FL3,217
Homes for sale, 2012–2026
Source: IRS SOI · Redfin · as of 2026-06-01Source: IRS Statistics of Income, county-to-county migration data; Redfin Data Center (market tracker data) · data as of 2026-06-01

This ZIP sits in Hillsborough. IRS tax returns for 2022-2023: among the ten counties sending the most households, 18,304 moved in. Among the ten receiving the most, 22,455 moved out.

Net across those counties: −4,151 households. Beside it, homes for sale in this ZIP: 123 in June 2026.

Most arrivals came from Pinellas, FL (4,886 households); most departures went to Pasco, FL (8,182).

Net households (top-10 flows)
−4,151

Source: IRS Statistics of Income, county-to-county migration data; Redfin Data Center (market tracker data) · data as of 2026-06-01

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What to do

Own a home here?What's my home worth?Enter your address for a county-record value range. Buying?Compare 33618 with 33647The same story, side by side. An agent?See where the index is livethe farm territory and this page's sponsor spot.

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Link: https://lotvox.com/story/tampa/zip/33618