Lotvox market story

ZIP 32686

Marion County, FL

What homes are worth, what they cost to carry, how fast they sell — one step at a time.

Typical home value
$387,992
12-month change
+3.0%
Payment share of income
55.1%

This week since 2026-10-08: Payment share of income 55.1% (was 54.5%) · Monthly P&I $2,149 (was $2,124)

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Who's going to sell in 32686 this year?

Lotvox Turnover Index

Ranking every home in 32686 by how likely it is to sell

Lotvox Turnover Index
Not yet live
Source: County assessor and recorder public records; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · accuracy by ZIP · methodology

The Lotvox Turnover Index isn't offered for 32686 yet.

Where

32686 in Marion County, FL

32113 · $306,20432133 · no value published32134 · $154,06732179 · $240,45932182 · no value published32192 · no value published32195 · $428,20432617 · $359,78832634 · no value published32664 · $311,79432681 · no value published32686 · $387,99232784 · $292,87334420 · $242,10034431 · $265,25334432 · $301,09034470 · $229,57734471 · $319,16734472 · $233,14534473 · $264,67634474 · $310,99534475 · $207,35434476 · $293,38834479 · $234,04834480 · $308,79234481 · $275,94334482 · $291,86934488 · $206,29034491 · $281,618 32686
$154K$428K typical home value
Source: Census TIGER/Line · Zillow (ZHVI)Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research

32686 is one of 29 ZIP codes that lie mostly in Marion County, FL.

Shaded by typical home value, it ranks 2 of the 24 with a value.

Value rank in county
2 of 24

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research

Local life

Schools in 32686

1 school location in 32686: 1 elementary.

In alphabetical order: REDDICK-COLLIER ELEMENTARY SCHOOL. Locations only — no ratings are shown here.

School locations
1

Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics (school locations)

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What it costs

Home values

What homes are worth in 32686

$0$200K$400K$600K200520092013201720212025Peak May 2026 · $389,413Latest · $387,992
Typical home value
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · as of 2026-08-31Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31

In February 2004 the typical home in 32686 was worth $130,192.

Values peaked at $389,413 in May 2026. The latest reading is −0.4% from that peak.

As of August 2026: $387,992, +3.0% over twelve months.

Typical home value
$387,992
12-month change
+3.0%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31

Housing pulse

Monthly cost vs. price

Typical home
$387,992
Loan at 20% down
$310,394
30-year fixed rate
7.40%
Monthly principal + interest
$2,149
Median household income, per month
$3,899
Share of income
55.1%
0%30%60%
At today's rate, by home value, 2004–2026: 18.5% → 55.1%
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · Census ACS · Lotvox · as of 2026-08-31Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Start with the typical home: $387,992. Put 20% down and borrow $310,394 at 7.40%, the 30-year fixed average as of October 8, 2026.

That is $2,149 a month in principal and interest.

The median household here earns $46,793 a year, $3,899 a month. So the payment takes 55.1% of income — rated “severe” (Lotvox ZIP bands: under 28% affordable · 28–36% stretched · 36%+ severe).

The line holds today's rate fixed and moves only the price: at that rate, the same share was 18.5% in 2004.

Payment share of income
55.1%
Monthly P&I
$2,149

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Lotvox lens

The payment, at each month's rate

$0$1K$2K$3K2005200920132017202120252.68% rate · $7686.67% rate · $1,996
Monthly P&I at that month's 30-year rate
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Take the typical home's price each month, borrow 80% at that month's actual 30-year average rate: in February 2004 (5.64%) the payment was $600.

In December 2020, with rates at 2.68%, it was $768.

By August 2026, at 6.67%, it was $1,996 — +160% since December 2020, while the home's value moved +64%.

Payment change since 2020
+160%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Lotvox lens

Home value after inflation

$0$200K$400K$600K200520092013201720212025
Home value (as reported)Prices in general (CPI-U), scaled to February 2004Home value in August 2026 dollars
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · BLS CPI via FRED · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.

Reported values rose +198% since February 2004.

General prices (CPI-U) rose +79% over the same span.

Divide one by the other: in August 2026 dollars, the 2004 home was worth $233,000. So the real change is +67%, not +198%.

Real change since 2004
+67%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.

Home values

32686 against its neighbors

0100200300400200520092013201720212025
32686 (2004 = 100)Marion County (2004 = 100)Florida (2004 = 100)
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

32686: +198% since February 2004.

Marion County: +135% since February 2004.

Florida: +135% since February 2004 — 32686 ran ahead of it by 63 points.

Change since 2004
+198%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Lotvox lens

Rent or own

Own: payment + 1.2%/yr taxes & insurance
$2,537
principal + interest $2,149 · taxes & insurance est. $388
Rent: typical rent (ZORI)
$762
Price-to-rent ratio
42.4
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Zillow (ZORI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · LotvoxSource: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

Owning the typical home costs about $2,537 a month once taxes and insurance (estimated at 1.2% of price a year) are added. Renting runs about $762 a month.

Price divided by a year's rent: 42.4. Lotvox reads under 15 as favoring buying and 20 or more as favoring renting.

Price-to-rent
42.4

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

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What's moving

Housing pulse

Sales pace vs. normal

0123420252026
Homes sold per monthSame months, 2015–2019
Source: Redfin · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Homes sold: about 2 a month in August 2026 (Redfin).

The 2015–2019 level for the same month was 2 — so sales ran at 100% of it, and below it in 14 of the last 24 months.

Sales vs 2015–19 level
100%

Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

New supply

Homes being permitted

02,0004,0006,0008,00020226,48920235,19720246,72920255,985
1-unit buildings2–4 units5+ units
Source: Census permits · as of 2025Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey · data as of 2025

Across Marion County, builders pulled permits for 5,985 new homes in 2025.

Of those, 91% were in 1-unit buildings (the Census Bureau's category for detached and attached single homes).

Units permitted 2025
5,985

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey · data as of 2025

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Who's holding, who's leaving

Housing pulse

Migration and inventory

Moved in (top-10 origin counties)
5,276
Moved out (top-10 destination counties)
3,496
Net households
+1,780
Top origins
Lake, FL957
Orange, FL655
Miami-Dade, FL587
Top destinations
Lake, FL649
Citrus, FL529
Alachua, FL526
Homes for sale, 2012–2026
Source: IRS SOI · Redfin · as of 2026-06-01Source: IRS Statistics of Income, county-to-county migration data; Redfin Data Center (market tracker data) · data as of 2026-06-01

This ZIP sits in Marion County. IRS tax returns for 2022-2023: among the ten counties sending the most households, 5,276 moved in. Among the ten receiving the most, 3,496 moved out.

Net across those counties: +1,780 households. Beside it, homes for sale in this ZIP: 11 in June 2026.

Most arrivals came from Lake, FL (957 households); most departures went to Lake, FL (649).

Net households (top-10 flows)
+1,780

Source: IRS Statistics of Income, county-to-county migration data; Redfin Data Center (market tracker data) · data as of 2026-06-01

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What to do

Own a home here?What's my home worth?Enter your address for a county-record value range. Buying?Compare 32686 with 32617The same story, side by side. An agent?See where the index is livethe farm territory and this page's sponsor spot.

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Link: https://lotvox.com/story/ocala/zip/32686