Lotvox market story

ZIP 06478

New Haven County, CT

What homes are worth, what they cost to carry, how fast they sell — one step at a time.

Typical home value
$596,110
12-month change
+8.2%
Months of supply
2.6

This week since 2026-10-08: Months of supply 2.6 (was 2.7) · Payment share of income 31.6% (was 31.2%)

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Who's going to sell in 06478 this year?

Lotvox Turnover Index

Ranking every home in 06478 by how likely it is to sell

Lotvox Turnover Index
Not yet live
Source: County assessor and recorder public records; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · accuracy by ZIP · methodology

The Lotvox Turnover Index isn't offered for 06478 yet.

Where

06478 in New Haven County, CT

06478 · $596,11006483 · $422,37106488 · $453,49606762 · $551,73006403 · $426,53706770 · $354,04206401 · $385,55506418 · $343,24906708 · $305,70906525 · $707,48806706 · $287,16906524 · $562,31706702 · no value published06704 · $269,87406710 · $313,73206477 · $634,41106705 · $270,60406712 · $476,27106515 · $386,15006461 · $506,24106514 · $344,42106716 · $394,97506460 · $512,12506516 · $366,48606518 · $401,74706511 · $372,07306519 · $307,16006510 · $398,42606517 · $391,10406410 · $542,93406473 · $476,60106513 · $303,41306512 · $365,04806492 · $430,70206451 · $336,75806450 · $322,07806471 · $461,03706472 · $505,16006405 · $468,67806437 · $641,820 06478
$270K$707K typical home value
Source: Census TIGER/Line · Zillow (ZHVI)Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research

06478 is one of 41 ZIP codes that lie mostly in New Haven County, CT.

Shaded by typical home value, it ranks 4 of the 39 nearby ZIPs shown.

Value rank among nearby ZIPs
4 of 39

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research

Local life

Schools in 06478

4 school locations in 06478: 2 elementary, 1 middle, 1 high.

In alphabetical order: Great Oak Elementary School, Oxford High School, Oxford Middle School, Quaker Farms School. Locations only — no ratings are shown here.

School locations
4

Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics (school locations)

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What it costs

Home values

What homes are worth in 06478

$0$200K$400K$600K$800K200020052010201520202025Peak August 2026 · $596,110Latest · $596,110
Typical home value
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · as of 2026-08-31Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31

In January 2000 the typical home in 06478 was worth $238,361.

Values peaked at $596,110 in August 2026. The latest reading is the peak.

As of August 2026: $596,110, +8.2% over twelve months.

Typical home value
$596,110
12-month change
+8.2%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31

Housing pulse

Monthly cost vs. price

Typical home
$596,110
Loan at 20% down
$476,888
30-year fixed rate
7.40%
Monthly principal + interest
$3,302
Median household income, per month
$10,464
Share of income
31.6%
0%30%60%
At today's rate, by home value, 2000–2026: 12.6% → 31.6%
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · Census ACS · Lotvox · as of 2026-08-31Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Start with the typical home: $596,110. Put 20% down and borrow $476,888 at 7.40%, the 30-year fixed average as of October 8, 2026.

That is $3,302 a month in principal and interest.

The median household here earns $125,563 a year, $10,464 a month. So the payment takes 31.6% of income — rated “stretched” (Lotvox ZIP bands: under 28% affordable · 28–36% stretched · 36%+ severe).

The line holds today's rate fixed and moves only the price: at that rate, the same share was 12.6% in 2000.

Payment share of income
31.6%
Monthly P&I
$3,302

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Lotvox lens

The payment, at each month's rate

$0$1K$2K$3K$4K2000200520102015202020252.68% rate · $1,1726.67% rate · $3,067
Monthly P&I at that month's 30-year rate
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Take the typical home's price each month, borrow 80% at that month's actual 30-year average rate: in January 2000 (8.21%) the payment was $1,427.

In December 2020, with rates at 2.68%, it was $1,172.

By August 2026, at 6.67%, it was $3,067 — +162% since December 2020, while the home's value moved +65%.

Payment change since 2020
+162%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Lotvox lens

Home value after inflation

$0$200K$400K$600K$800K200020052010201520202025
Home value (as reported)Prices in general (CPI-U), scaled to January 2000Home value in August 2026 dollars
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · BLS CPI via FRED · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.

Reported values rose +150% since January 2000.

General prices (CPI-U) rose +97% over the same span.

Divide one by the other: in August 2026 dollars, the 2000 home was worth $470,430. So the real change is +27%, not +150%.

Real change since 2000
+27%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.

Home values

06478 against its neighbors

0100200300200020052010201520202025
06478 (2000 = 100)New Haven County (2000 = 100)Connecticut (2000 = 100)
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

06478: +150% since January 2000.

New Haven County: +180% since January 2000.

Connecticut: +174% since January 2000 — 06478 ran behind it by 24 points.

Change since 2000
+150%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Lotvox lens

Rent or own

Own: payment + 1.2%/yr taxes & insurance
$3,898
principal + interest $3,302 · taxes & insurance est. $596
Rent: typical rent (ZORI)
$1,230
Price-to-rent ratio
40.4
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Zillow (ZORI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · LotvoxSource: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

Owning the typical home costs about $3,898 a month once taxes and insurance (estimated at 1.2% of price a year) are added. Renting runs about $1,230 a month.

Price divided by a year's rent: 40.4. Lotvox reads under 15 as favoring buying and 20 or more as favoring renting.

Price-to-rent
40.4

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

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What's moving

Housing pulse

Listings Flow Ladder

per month / homes for sale2024-092026-08balanced 4–6 mo2.6 mo2.6 months of supplyNet +3 / month · inventory growing
New listings / monthHomes for saleClosed sales / monthBasin water level = months of supply
Source: Redfin · Lotvox · as of 2026-08-31Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Picture the Listings Flow Ladder as a basin: new listings pour in from the faucet, the homes for sale are the water, and closed sales run out the drain. Coming in — new listings: about 20 a month (Redfin, 3-month rolling data through August 2026).

On the shelf — homes for sale at the end of the period: 42.

Going out — closed sales: about 16 a month.

The ladder: homes for sale ÷ monthly sales = 2.6 months of supply — below the 4–6 month range Lotvox treats as balanced. In the basin, that is the water level against the shaded balanced band.

The net reading: about 3 more homes came on than sold each month, so inventory is growing. The basin is filling.

Months of supply
2.6

Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Housing pulse

Sales pace vs. normal

010203020252026
Homes sold per monthSame months, 2015–2019
Source: Redfin · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Homes sold: about 16 a month in August 2026 (Redfin).

The 2015–2019 level for the same month was 19 — so sales ran at 84% of it, and below it in 18 of the last 24 months.

Sales vs 2015–19 level
84%

Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

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Who's holding, who's leaving

County records

On the county rolls

Properties on the assessor roll
3,999
Average assessor market value
$446,300
Typical home value (ZHVI)
$596,110
Assessor vs market
−25.1%
Source: County records · Zillow (ZHVI) · LotvoxSource: County assessor and recorder public records; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

County assessor records list 3,999 properties with a market value here. Their average assessed market value is $446,300; the typical home value is $596,110.

The assessor average sits −25.1% from the market figure — an average against a typical value, so treat it as a check, not a verdict.

Properties on the roll
3,999

Source: County assessor and recorder public records; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

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What to do

Own a home here?What's my home worth?Enter your address for a county-record value range. Buying?Compare 06478 with 06524The same story, side by side. An agent?See where the index is livethe farm territory and this page's sponsor spot.

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Link: https://lotvox.com/story/new-haven/zip/06478