Lotvox market story
ZIP 33849
Polk County, FL
What homes are worth, what they cost to carry, how fast they sell — one step at a time.
- Typical home value
- $395,150
- 12-month change
- +2.2%
- Payment share of income
- 37.6%
This week since 2026-10-08: Payment share of income 37.6% (was 37.1%) · Monthly P&I $2,189 (was $2,163)
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Who's going to sell in 33849 this year?
Lotvox Turnover Index
Ranking every home in 33849 by how likely it is to sell
The Lotvox Turnover Index isn't offered for 33849 yet.
Where
33849 in Polk County, FL
33849 is one of 40 ZIP codes that lie mostly in Polk County, FL — 98% of its own area is in the county.
Shaded by typical home value, it ranks 1 of the 34 with a value.
- Value rank in county
- 1 of 34
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research
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What it costs
Home values
What homes are worth in 33849
In January 2012 the typical home in 33849 was worth $132,481.
Values peaked at $401,967 in February 2025. The latest reading is −1.7% from that peak.
As of August 2026: $395,150, +2.2% over twelve months.
- Typical home value
- $395,150
- 12-month change
- +2.2%
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31
Housing pulse
Monthly cost vs. price
Start with the typical home: $395,150. Put 20% down and borrow $316,120 at 7.40%, the 30-year fixed average as of October 8, 2026.
That is $2,189 a month in principal and interest.
The median household here earns $69,911 a year, $5,826 a month. So the payment takes 37.6% of income — rated “severe” (Lotvox ZIP bands: under 28% affordable · 28–36% stretched · 36%+ severe).
The line holds today's rate fixed and moves only the price: at that rate, the same share was 12.6% in 2012.
- Payment share of income
- 37.6%
- Monthly P&I
- $2,189
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31
Lotvox lens
The payment, at each month's rate
Take the typical home's price each month, borrow 80% at that month's actual 30-year average rate: in January 2012 (3.92%) the payment was $501.
In December 2020, with rates at 2.68%, it was $913.
By August 2026, at 6.67%, it was $2,033 — +123% since December 2020, while the home's value moved +40%.
- Payment change since 2020
- +123%
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Lotvox lens
Home value after inflation
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.
Reported values rose +198% since January 2012.
General prices (CPI-U) rose +47% over the same span.
Divide one by the other: in August 2026 dollars, the 2012 home was worth $194,284. So the real change is +103%, not +198%.
- Real change since 2012
- +103%
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.
Home values
33849 against its neighbors
33849: +198% since January 2012.
Polk County: +209% since January 2012.
Florida: +186% since January 2012 — 33849 ran ahead of it by 12 points.
- Change since 2012
- +198%
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Lotvox lens
Rent or own
Owning the typical home costs about $2,584 a month once taxes and insurance (estimated at 1.2% of price a year) are added. Renting runs about $1,363 a month.
Price divided by a year's rent: 24.2. Lotvox reads under 15 as favoring buying and 20 or more as favoring renting.
- Price-to-rent
- 24.2
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)
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What's moving
Housing pulse
Sales pace vs. normal
Homes sold: about 0 a month in May 2026 (Redfin).
The 2015–2019 level for the same month was 1 — so sales ran at 0% of it, and below it in 10 of the last 24 months.
- Sales vs 2015–19 level
- 0%
Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-05
New supply
Homes being permitted
Across Polk County, builders pulled permits for 8,236 new homes in 2025.
Of those, 82% were in 1-unit buildings (the Census Bureau's category for detached and attached single homes).
- Units permitted 2025
- 8,236
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey · data as of 2025
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Who's holding, who's leaving
Housing pulse
Migration and inventory
This ZIP sits in Polk County. IRS tax returns for 2022-2023: among the ten counties sending the most households, 15,366 moved in. Among the ten receiving the most, 9,213 moved out.
Net across those counties: +6,153 households. Beside it, homes for sale in this ZIP: 1 in April 2026.
Most arrivals came from Orange, FL (4,119 households); most departures went to Orange, FL (2,300).
- Net households (top-10 flows)
- +6,153
Source: IRS Statistics of Income, county-to-county migration data; Redfin Data Center (market tracker data) · data as of 2026-04-01
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What to do
