Lotvox market story
ZIP 80538
Loveland, Larimer County, CO
What homes are worth, what they cost to carry, how fast they sell — one step at a time.
- Typical home value
- $497,625
- 12-month change
- −0.9%
- Months of supply
- 3.1
This week since 2026-10-08: Months of supply 3.1 (was 3.2) · Payment share of income 38.9% (was 38.4%)
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Who's going to sell in 80538 this year?
Lotvox Turnover Index
Ranking every home in 80538 by how likely it is to sell
The Lotvox Turnover Index ranks the 20,072 parcels in 80538, calibrated on this ZIP's own recorded sales.
In a held-out test on 589 arm's-length sales, 27.0% of the parcels that sold were already in its top 20% on the scoring date. Random chance is 20%.
Its top 10% alone held 13.8% of those sales, against 10% by chance.
Where
80538 in Larimer County, CO
80538 is one of 18 ZIP codes that lie mostly in Larimer County, CO.
Shaded by typical home value, it ranks 13 of the 17 with a value.
- Value rank in county
- 13 of 17
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research
Local life
Around 80538
Mapped in and around 80538: 169 places to go — 65 trails, 40 dining, 35 parks & open space.
- Places mapped
- 169
Source: National Park Service, National Register of Historic Places; USGS 3D Elevation Program; USGS Protected Areas Database of the United States (PAD-US); Wikidata (CC0); © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL) · data as of 2026-09-21
Local life
Schools in 80538
16 school locations in 80538: 9 elementary, 4 middle, 2 high, 1 other.
In alphabetical order: Bamford Elementary School, Big Thompson Elementary School, Centennial Elementary School, Conrad Ball Middle School, and more on the ZIP page. Locations only — no ratings are shown here.
- School locations
- 16
Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics (school locations)
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What it costs
Home values
What homes are worth in 80538
In January 2000 the typical home in 80538 was worth $191,955.
Values peaked at $528,556 in July 2022. The latest reading is −5.9% from that peak.
As of August 2026: $497,625, −0.9% over twelve months.
- Typical home value
- $497,625
- 12-month change
- −0.9%
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31
Housing pulse
Monthly cost vs. price
Start with the typical home: $497,625. Put 20% down and borrow $398,100 at 7.40%, the 30-year fixed average as of October 8, 2026.
That is $2,756 a month in principal and interest.
The median household here earns $85,057 a year, $7,088 a month. So the payment takes 38.9% of income — rated “severe” (Lotvox ZIP bands: under 28% affordable · 28–36% stretched · 36%+ severe).
The line holds today's rate fixed and moves only the price: at that rate, the same share was 15.0% in 2000.
- Payment share of income
- 38.9%
- Monthly P&I
- $2,756
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31
Lotvox lens
The payment, at each month's rate
Take the typical home's price each month, borrow 80% at that month's actual 30-year average rate: in January 2000 (8.21%) the payment was $1,149.
In December 2020, with rates at 2.68%, it was $1,340.
By August 2026, at 6.67%, it was $2,560 — +91% since December 2020, while the home's value moved +20%.
- Payment change since 2020
- +91%
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Lotvox lens
Home value after inflation
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.
Reported values rose +159% since January 2000.
General prices (CPI-U) rose +97% over the same span.
Divide one by the other: in August 2026 dollars, the 2000 home was worth $378,843. So the real change is +31%, not +159%.
- Real change since 2000
- +31%
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.
Home values
80538 against its neighbors
80538: +159% since January 2000.
Larimer County: +185% since January 2000.
Colorado: +199% since January 2000 — 80538 ran behind it by 40 points.
- Change since 2000
- +159%
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Lotvox lens
Rent or own
Owning the typical home costs about $3,254 a month once taxes and insurance (estimated at 1.2% of price a year) are added. Renting runs about $2,024 a month.
Price divided by a year's rent: 20.5. Lotvox reads under 15 as favoring buying and 20 or more as favoring renting.
- Price-to-rent
- 20.5
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)
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What's moving
Housing pulse
Listings Flow Ladder
Picture the Listings Flow Ladder as a basin: new listings pour in from the faucet, the homes for sale are the water, and closed sales run out the drain. Coming in — new listings: about 104 a month (Redfin, 3-month rolling data through August 2026). That is 90% of the 2015–2019 level for the same months.
On the shelf — homes for sale at the end of the period: 297. That is 108% of the 2015–2019 level for the same months.
Going out — closed sales: about 96 a month. That is 95% of the 2015–2019 level for the same months. The drain is drawn 16% narrower: the share of homes for sale that sell each month is 84% of its 2015–2019 level.
The ladder: homes for sale ÷ monthly sales = 3.1 months of supply — below the 4–6 month range Lotvox treats as balanced. In the basin, that is the water level against the shaded balanced band.
The net reading: about 8 more homes came on than sold each month, so inventory is growing. The basin is filling.
- Months of supply
- 3.1
Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31
Housing pulse
Sales pace vs. normal
Homes sold: about 96 a month in August 2026 (Redfin).
The 2015–2019 level for the same month was 91 — so sales ran at 105% of it, and below it in 19 of the last 24 months.
- Sales vs 2015–19 level
- 105%
Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
New supply
Homes being permitted
Across Larimer County, builders pulled permits for 2,436 new homes in 2025.
Of those, 40% were in 1-unit buildings (the Census Bureau's category for detached and attached single homes).
- Units permitted 2025
- 2,436
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey · data as of 2025
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Who's holding, who's leaving
Housing pulse
Migration and inventory
This ZIP sits in Larimer County. IRS tax returns for 2022-2023: among the ten counties sending the most households, 6,096 moved in. Among the ten receiving the most, 6,429 moved out.
Net across those counties: −333 households. Beside it, homes for sale in this ZIP: 297 in June 2026.
Most arrivals came from Weld, CO (2,021 households); most departures went to Weld, CO (2,730).
- Net households (top-10 flows)
- −333
Source: IRS Statistics of Income, county-to-county migration data; Redfin Data Center (market tracker data) · data as of 2026-06-01
County records
On the county rolls
County assessor records list 16,814 properties with a market value here. Their average assessed market value is $501,250; the typical home value is $497,625.
The assessor average sits +0.7% from the market figure — an average against a typical value, so treat it as a check, not a verdict.
- Properties on the roll
- 16,814
Source: County assessor and recorder public records; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)
Who's holding
How long owners in 80538 have held
Of 19,529 homes with a recorded purchase date, 26% have had the same owner for 20 years or more, and 29% changed hands in the last five.
22% are owned from a different mailing address, 5% from out of state.
- Held 20+ years
- 26%
- Owned from elsewhere
- 22%
Source: County assessor and recorder public records · data as of 2026-10-11
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