Lotvox market story

ZIP 21612

Talbot County, MD

What homes are worth, what they cost to carry, how fast they sell — one step at a time.

Typical home value
$947,016
12-month change
+5.9%
Payment share of income
55.5%

This week since 2026-10-08: Payment share of income 55.5% (was 54.8%) · Monthly P&I $5,246 (was $5,184)

1 of 5

Who's going to sell in 21612 this year?

Lotvox Turnover Index

Ranking every home in 21612 by how likely it is to sell

Lotvox Turnover Index
Not yet live
Source: County assessor and recorder public records; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · accuracy by ZIP · methodology

The Lotvox Turnover Index isn't offered for 21612 yet.

Where

21612 in Talbot County, MD

21601 · $445,49921612 · $947,01621624 · $479,39121625 · $443,78721647 · $513,83221652 · $592,23321653 · no value published21654 · $911,23821662 · $1,126,06821663 · $729,24821665 · $736,45321671 · $473,42221673 · $414,62121676 · $480,67121679 · $662,994 21612
$415K$1.1M typical home value
Source: Census TIGER/Line · Zillow (ZHVI)Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research

21612 is one of 15 ZIP codes that lie mostly in Talbot County, MD.

Shaded by typical home value, it ranks 2 of the 14 with a value.

Value rank in county
2 of 14

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research

2 of 5

What it costs

Home values

What homes are worth in 21612

$0$250K$500K$750K$1.0M200020052010201520202025Peak August 2026 · $947,016Latest · $947,016
Typical home value
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · as of 2026-08-31Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31

In January 2000 the typical home in 21612 was worth $339,889.

Values peaked at $947,016 in August 2026. The latest reading is the peak.

As of August 2026: $947,016, +5.9% over twelve months.

Typical home value
$947,016
12-month change
+5.9%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31

Housing pulse

Monthly cost vs. price

Typical home
$947,016
Loan at 20% down
$757,613
30-year fixed rate
7.40%
Monthly principal + interest
$5,246
Median household income, per month
$9,453
Share of income
55.5%
0%30%60%
At today's rate, by home value, 2000–2026: 19.9% → 55.5%
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · Census ACS · Lotvox · as of 2026-08-31Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Start with the typical home: $947,016. Put 20% down and borrow $757,613 at 7.40%, the 30-year fixed average as of October 8, 2026.

That is $5,246 a month in principal and interest.

The median household here earns $113,438 a year, $9,453 a month. So the payment takes 55.5% of income — rated “severe” (Lotvox ZIP bands: under 28% affordable · 28–36% stretched · 36%+ severe).

The line holds today's rate fixed and moves only the price: at that rate, the same share was 19.9% in 2000.

Payment share of income
55.5%
Monthly P&I
$5,246

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Lotvox lens

The payment, at each month's rate

$0$2K$4K$6K2000200520102015202020252.68% rate · $1,9226.67% rate · $4,872
Monthly P&I at that month's 30-year rate
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Take the typical home's price each month, borrow 80% at that month's actual 30-year average rate: in January 2000 (8.21%) the payment was $2,035.

In December 2020, with rates at 2.68%, it was $1,922.

By August 2026, at 6.67%, it was $4,872 — +153% since December 2020, while the home's value moved +60%.

Payment change since 2020
+153%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Lotvox lens

Home value after inflation

$0$500K$1.0M$1.5M200020052010201520202025
Home value (as reported)Prices in general (CPI-U), scaled to January 2000Home value in August 2026 dollars
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · BLS CPI via FRED · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.

Reported values rose +179% since January 2000.

General prices (CPI-U) rose +97% over the same span.

Divide one by the other: in August 2026 dollars, the 2000 home was worth $670,806. So the real change is +41%, not +179%.

Real change since 2000
+41%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.

Home values

21612 against its neighbors

0100200300200020052010201520202025
21612 (2000 = 100)Talbot County (2000 = 100)Maryland (2000 = 100)
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

21612: +179% since January 2000.

Talbot County: +153% since January 2000.

Maryland: +180% since January 2000 — 21612 ran behind it by 2 points.

Change since 2000
+179%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Lotvox lens

Rent or own

Own: payment + 1.2%/yr taxes & insurance
$6,193
principal + interest $5,246 · taxes & insurance est. $947
Rent: county median rent (ACS)
$1,256
Price-to-rent ratio
62.8
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Census ACS · Freddie Mac via FRED · LotvoxSource: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

Owning the typical home costs about $6,193 a month once taxes and insurance (estimated at 1.2% of price a year) are added. Renting runs about $1,256 a month.

Price divided by a year's rent: 62.8. Lotvox reads under 15 as favoring buying and 20 or more as favoring renting.

Price-to-rent
62.8

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

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What's moving

Housing pulse

Sales pace vs. normal

012320252026
Homes sold per monthSame months, 2015–2019
Source: Redfin · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Homes sold: about 0 a month in August 2026 (Redfin).

The 2015–2019 level for the same month was 2 — so sales ran at 0% of it, and below it in 8 of the last 24 months.

Sales vs 2015–19 level
0%

Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

New supply

Homes being permitted

01002003002022220202314920241042025198
1-unit buildings2–4 units5+ units
Source: Census permits · as of 2025Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey · data as of 2025

Across Talbot County, builders pulled permits for 198 new homes in 2025.

Of those, 100% were in 1-unit buildings (the Census Bureau's category for detached and attached single homes).

Units permitted 2025
198

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey · data as of 2025

4 of 5

Who's holding, who's leaving

Housing pulse

Migration and inventory

Moved in (top-10 origin counties)
580
Moved out (top-10 destination counties)
525
Net households
+55
Top origins
Caroline, MD117
Dorchester, MD114
Anne Arundel, MD85
Top destinations
Dorchester, MD130
Caroline, MD112
Queen Anne's, MD62
Homes for sale, 2012–2026
Source: IRS SOI · Redfin · as of 2026-06-01Source: IRS Statistics of Income, county-to-county migration data; Redfin Data Center (market tracker data) · data as of 2026-06-01

This ZIP sits in Talbot County. IRS tax returns for 2022-2023: among the ten counties sending the most households, 580 moved in. Among the ten receiving the most, 525 moved out.

Net across those counties: +55 households. Beside it, homes for sale in this ZIP: 2 in June 2026.

Most arrivals came from Caroline, MD (117 households); most departures went to Dorchester, MD (130).

Net households (top-10 flows)
+55

Source: IRS Statistics of Income, county-to-county migration data; Redfin Data Center (market tracker data) · data as of 2026-06-01

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What to do

Own a home here?What's my home worth?Enter your address for a county-record value range. Buying?Compare 21612 with 21654The same story, side by side. An agent?See where the index is livethe farm territory and this page's sponsor spot.

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