Alpine 84004

Provo-Orem, UT · Utah County, UT · 2,933 properties · updated 7/5/2026

Should you buy here?buyer-timing lens

24affordability /100

Buyer leverage is buyer advantage; weigh payment burden and the 3-lens valuation before bidding.

Payment burden
46.2%
severe
Days on market
58
daily
Price cuts
28.0%
of active
Valuation
-10%
vs assessor
Look up an address
46
/100
Mixed
warming · buyer advantage · prices rising year-over-year.
Price trend
75
Affordability
10
Valuation
70
Economic health
24

Verdict grades housing conditions; buyer-timing, investor cash-flow, supply-tightness and county macro scores answer different questions — each in its own section.

Buyer / sellerbuyer-timing lens

81/ 100SellerBalancedBuyer
Strong Buyer's Market
Needs 35.1% correction for affordability
DOM: 102d (rising) · Market Dynamics rolling median · hourly
Score Components
Payment Burden (25%)100
Valuation Gap (25%)25
Supply & Demand (20%)100
Buy vs Rent (15%)100
Cancellation Rate (10%)100
Days on Market (5%)100

Strong buyer leverage in 84004. If you must buy now, offer 10-15% below list price. Payment burden: 46.2% of median income. A 24% price correction needed to reach 30% affordability threshold. Median days on market: 102. Renting is approximately 195% cheaper than buying (price-to-rent ratio: 35.4).

What to Offer

Offer 10-15% below list price. Sellers are under pressure.

Conditions most similar to late 2007 — overvaluation without corresponding income growth. Significant correction potential.
WARMINGBUYER ADVANTAGE

Market is warming with rising prices. Buyers have strong negotiating leverage. Prices up 4.2% YoY.

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Market snapshoteach number, once

Median price
$1,194,219
▴ 4.2% YoY
Days on market
58
daily · zip_data
Median rent
$2,814
ZORI
Investor score
38/100
cash-flow lens
Active listings
45
90-day

Valuation3 lenses, different anchors

vs assessor
-10.0%
Market vs assessed value — a tax-roll lag, not a deal signal.
Avg assessor$1,075,200
county CAMA · properties_v
vs income
—
Fair-value model not available for this market.
fair_value_scores · 10-state coverage
vs county comps
+82.8%
County-wide market — the widest, slowest signal.
Utah+82.8%
Lotvox comps · mv_valuation_gap
Read together: Above county comps but sustainable on local incomes.
Pricing detail
Price / sqft$433
Price-to-income7.6×

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How 84004 ranks in UT
percentile vs all Utah ZIPs · n=240
Market velocity38%
Supply tightness0%
Affordability15%
Investment yield28%
Appreciation81%

Affordability, supply & momentum

21SUPPLY
OversuppliedSupply Tightness

Ample inventory — buyers have time and leverage to negotiate.

Months of Supply21.8 mo
Days on Market58d
Inv vs History+14.2%
Listing Density15.9/1k
Affordability — payment burden
Monthly payment (P&I)$6,032
Payment burden46.2%
Median income · ZIP$156,786
Mortgage rate6.49% · 30yr
Total monthly own$7,227
Monthly rent$2,814
Market dynamics
Price cut %28.0%
Momentumwarming
LeverageBUYER ADVANTAGE
Months of supply21.8
Sales (90d)0
Investment analysis
Median rent$2,814
Price-to-rent35.4
Est. cap rate1.8%
Buy vs rentfavors renting

Livability

Walk score2
Transit score1
Bike score—

Historical trends

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Utah County contextmacro · jobs · debt · migration

ZIP score grades housing; county score adds macro distress (jobs, debt, poverty). They answer different questions.

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