Verdict grades housing conditions; buyer-timing, investor cash-flow, supply-tightness and county macro scores answer different questions — each in its own section.
Buyer / sellerbuyer-timing lens
Seller's Market
DOM: 81d (rising) · Market Dynamics rolling median · hourly
Score Components
Payment Burden (25%)0
Valuation Gap (25%)10
Supply & Demand (20%)100
Buy vs Rent (15%)50
Cancellation Rate (10%)50
Days on Market (5%)75
Seller-favored market in 27527. Expect to pay at or near list price. Payment burden: 21.8% of median income. Median days on market: 81. Renting is approximately 47% cheaper than buying (price-to-rent ratio: 17.6).
Buyer Caution
Seller's market. Be prepared to pay near list price.
Competitive market similar to 2021-2022 — limited inventory driving prices above fundamentals.
STABLEBALANCED
Market is holding steady with balanced conditions. Conditions are balanced between buyers and sellers.
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A single median rises whenever expensive homes become a bigger share of what sells, even if no tier got more expensive. These are the tiers underneath it, computed from recorded arms-length deed transactions in Johnston.
Aggregate median +1.1% YoY in Raleigh, NC (metro), but the under-$500k tier is -0.4% — the rise is mix shift, not appreciation. Over the same year the under-$500k share of sales moved from 55.3% to 54.7% (-0.6pp) and the $1M+ share from 6.6% to 7.7% (+1.1pp).
Current tiers · 12 months to Aug 25floor 10 sales/tier
7 tiers had too few sales in this ZIP and are shown at county or metro level — see the stamp on each row.
Tier
Median
$/sqft
Sales
Share
Source
Under $250k
$210k
$159
471
—
METRO · Raleigh, NC
$250k–$500k
$350k
$230
22
59.5%
COUNTY · Johnston, NC
$500k–$750k
$592k
$234
4,467
—
METRO · Raleigh, NC
$750k–$1M
$835k
$259
1,529
—
METRO · Raleigh, NC
$1M–$1.5M
$1.20M
$304
813
—
METRO · Raleigh, NC
$1.5M–$2M
$1.65M
$377
259
—
METRO · Raleigh, NC
$2M+
$2.43M
$470
156
—
METRO · Raleigh, NC
All sales (the headline median)
$333k
$225
37
100%
COUNTY · Johnston, NC
ZIP-level history was too thin to draw the tiers; served at metro level (Raleigh, NC), by quarter.
Share of sales by tier (quarterly)
If the upper tiers widen over time, the headline median rises on composition alone.
Under $250k
$250k–$500k
$500k–$750k
$750k–$1M
$1M–$1.5M
$1.5M–$2M
$2M+
Median within each tier, against the headline median (quarterly)
The blue line is the single number NAR-style reporting quotes. The gold lines are what each tier actually did. Log scale — the tiers span an order of magnitude, and on a log axis equal slopes mean equal percentage moves, which is the comparison being made.
Under $250k
$250k–$500k
$500k–$750k
$750k–$1M
$1M–$1.5M
$1.5M–$2M
$2M+
All sales (headline)
National context — not local
NAR's aggregate existing-home median for the United States and the South census region. This is the figure the tiers above are a check on. It is national/regional and says nothing about 27527.
United States
South
Copyright, National Association of Realtors. Reprinted with permission. Retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. FRED publishes a rolling 13-month window for these series.
Tiers computed from Lotvox parcel and deed substrate through Aug 25 (10 later months withheld as partially loaded). Sample floor 10 sales per tier; below it a figure is drawn from the county or metro and labelled, or left blank. Multi-parcel bulk deeds and duplicate records are excluded.
Johnston County contextmacro · jobs · debt · migration
ZIP score grades housing; county score adds macro distress (jobs, debt, poverty). They answer different questions.
Johnston County
County-level context for ZIP 27527
Verified — Johnston County
Healthy (28)
ZIP 27527→Johnston County, NC
12-Month Direction
+4Stable
Confidence
100%
DeterioratingStableImproving
Why this score
BuildersLens Market Intelligence
Market Score
40· Weak
Market Score grades housing-market conditions (affordability, valuation, supply). The county Healthy/Moderate/Distressed badge measures economic distress (jobs, debt, poverty) — the two can read differently.