East Moriches 11940

Suffolk County, NY · 3,148 properties · updated 7/26/2026

Should you buy here?buyer-timing lens

36affordability /100

Buyer leverage is balanced; weigh payment burden and the 3-lens valuation before bidding.

Payment burden

40.2%

severe

Days on market

daily

Price cuts

0.0%

of active

Valuation

-25.8%

vs assessor

Look up an address

/100

mixed

hot · balanced · prices rising year-over-year.

Verdict grades housing conditions; buyer-timing, investor cash-flow, supply-tightness and county macro scores answer different questions — each in its own section.

Buyer / sellerbuyer-timing lens

Strong Buyer's Market

Needs 25.4% correction for affordability

DOM: 110d (rising) · Market Dynamics rolling median · hourly

Score Components

Payment Burden (25%)75

Valuation Gap (25%)100

Supply & Demand (20%)40

Buy vs Rent (15%)100

Cancellation Rate (10%)100

Days on Market (5%)100

Strong buyer leverage in 11940. If you must buy now, offer 10-15% below list price. Payment burden: 39.0% of median income. A 10% price correction needed to reach 30% affordability threshold. Median days on market: 110. Renting is approximately 144% cheaper than buying (price-to-rent ratio: 29.3). Market appears 42% overpriced vs. assessed values.

What to Offer

Offer 10-15% below list price. Sellers are under pressure.

Conditions most similar to late 2007 — overvaluation without corresponding income growth. Significant correction potential.

HOTBALANCED

Market is running hot with fast-moving inventory. Conditions are balanced between buyers and sellers. Prices up 5.5% YoY.

Address lookup$99 report path

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<iframe src="https://lotvox.com/embed/zip/11940" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;border-radius:12px;overflow:hidden;max-width:640px" loading="lazy" title="East Moriches 11940 — Lotvox market card"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui;margin:4px 0 0"><a href="https://lotvox.com/new-york/zip/11940?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=backlink">East Moriches 11940 housing market data</a> by <a href="https://lotvox.com/">Lotvox</a></p>

Market snapshoteach number, once

Median price

$786,722

▴ 5.5% YoY

Days on market

daily · zip_data

Median rent

$2,219

ZORI

Investor score

43/100

cash-flow lens

Active listings

90-day

Valuation3 lenses, different anchors

vs assessor

-25.8%

Market vs assessed value — a tax-roll lag, not a deal signal.

Avg assessor$583,962

county CAMA · properties_v

vs income

—

Fair-value model not available for this market.

fair_value_scores · 10-state coverage

vs county comps

+61.2%

County-wide market — the widest, slowest signal.

Suffolk+61.2%

Lotvox comps · mv_valuation_gap

Read together: Above county comps but sustainable on local incomes.

Pricing detail

Price / sqft—

Price-to-income6.4×

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How 11940 ranks in NY

percentile vs all NY ZIPs

Comparative ranking not available for this ZIP.

Affordability, supply & momentum

39SUPPLY

BalancedSupply Tightness

Supply and demand are roughly even — standard negotiation dynamics.

Months of Supply5.1 mo

Days on Market83d

Inv vs History+11.7%

Listing Density--

Market dynamics

Price cut %0.0%

Momentumhot

LeverageBALANCED

Months of supply5.1

Sales (90d)0

Investment analysis

Median rent$2,219

Price-to-rent29.3

Est. cap rate2.2%

Buy vs rentfavors renting

Livability

Walk score3

Transit score8

Bike score—

Historical trends

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Price bandsmix-shift

Price Bands — the median behind the median

A single median rises whenever expensive homes become a bigger share of what sells, even if no tier got more expensive. These are the tiers underneath it, computed from recorded arms-length deed transactions in Suffolk.

Current tiers · 12 months to Aug 25floor 10 sales/tier

1 tier had too few sales in this ZIP and are shown at county or metro level — see the stamp on each row. 6 tiers had too few sales at every level and are left blank rather than estimated.

Tier	Median	$/sqft	Sales	Share	Source
Under $250k	—	—	—	—	fewer than 10 sales at zip, county and metro level
$250k–$500k	$310k	$231	10	90.9%	COUNTY · Suffolk, NY
$500k–$750k	—	—	—	—	fewer than 10 sales at zip, county and metro level
$750k–$1M	—	—	—	—	fewer than 10 sales at zip, county and metro level
$1M–$1.5M	—	—	—	—	fewer than 10 sales at zip, county and metro level
$1.5M–$2M	—	—	—	—	fewer than 10 sales at zip, county and metro level
$2M+	—	—	—	—	fewer than 10 sales at zip, county and metro level
All sales (the headline median)	$302k	$224	11	100%	COUNTY · Suffolk, NY

No mix-shift history for this area. no geography from this ZIP up to metro has 8+ quarters of 10+ recorded arms-length sales across at least 4 price tiers. Trends are drawn only from recorded transactions; the last-sale snapshot above cannot carry a time series, because a property that sold twice keeps only its latest sale — which drags the history upward through the tiers and would invent the very mix shift this section exists to test for.

National context — not local

NAR's aggregate existing-home median for the United States and the Northeast census region. This is the figure the tiers above are a check on. It is national/regional and says nothing about 11940.

United States
Northeast

Copyright, National Association of Realtors. Reprinted with permission. Retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. FRED publishes a rolling 13-month window for these series.

Tiers computed from Lotvox parcel and deed substrate through Aug 25 (10 later months withheld as partially loaded). Sample floor 10 sales per tier; below it a figure is drawn from the county or metro and labelled, or left blank. Multi-parcel bulk deeds and duplicate records are excluded.

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Suffolk County contextmacro · jobs · debt · migration

ZIP score grades housing; county score adds macro distress (jobs, debt, poverty). They answer different questions.

ZIP 11940→Suffolk County, NY

12-Month Direction

+22Moderate Improvement

Confidence

100%

DeterioratingStableImproving

BuildersLens Market Intelligence

Market Score

36· Weak

Market Score grades housing-market conditions (affordability, valuation, supply). The county Healthy/Moderate/Distressed badge measures economic distress (jobs, debt, poverty) — the two can read differently.

Payment Burden42

34.9%

stretched

Source: Lotvox · Updated 2026-05-15

Buy vs Rent29

1.558x

rent advantage

Source: Lotvox · Updated 2026-05-15

Valuation2

+61.2%

overvalued

Source: Lotvox comps · Updated 2026-05-15