Neptune Beach 32266

Duval County, FL · 3,008 properties · updated 7/5/2026

Should you buy here?buyer-timing lens

28affordability /100

Buyer leverage is balanced; weigh payment burden and the 3-lens valuation before bidding.

Payment burden
43.5%
severe
Days on market
41
daily
Price cuts
20.9%
of active
Valuation
-11%
vs assessor
Look up an address
53
/100
Mixed
warming · balanced · prices rising year-over-year.
Price trend
82
Affordability
25
Valuation
70
Economic health
28

Verdict grades housing conditions; buyer-timing, investor cash-flow, supply-tightness and county macro scores answer different questions — each in its own section.

Buyer / sellerbuyer-timing lens

61/ 100SellerBalancedBuyer
Negotiate Hard
Needs 31% correction for affordability
DOM: 48d (falling) · Market Dynamics rolling median · hourly
Score Components
Payment Burden (25%)90
Valuation Gap (25%)40
Supply & Demand (20%)70
Buy vs Rent (15%)75
Cancellation Rate (10%)0
Days on Market (5%)60

Moderate buyer leverage in 32266. Room to negotiate 5-10% below list. Payment burden: 43.5% of median income. A 20% price correction needed to reach 30% affordability threshold. Median days on market: 48. Renting is approximately 100% cheaper than buying (price-to-rent ratio: 24.0).

What to Offer

Offer 5-10% below list. You have room to negotiate.

Conditions resemble 2019 pre-pandemic levels — moderate overvaluation with slowing demand. Negotiation room exists.
WARMINGBALANCED

Market is warming with rising prices. Conditions are balanced between buyers and sellers. Prices up 4.0% YoY.

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Market snapshoteach number, once

Median price
$796,016
▴ 4.0% YoY
Days on market
41
daily · zip_data
Median rent
$2,763
ZORI
Investor score
47/100
cash-flow lens
Active listings
21
90-day

Valuation3 lenses, different anchors

vs assessor
-11.0%
Market vs assessed value — a tax-roll lag, not a deal signal.
Avg assessor$708,200
county CAMA · properties_v
vs income
Fair-value model not available for this market.
fair_value_scores · 10-state coverage
vs county comps
+65.0%
County-wide market — the widest, slowest signal.
Duval+65.0%
Lotvox comps · mv_valuation_gap

Read together: Above county comps but sustainable on local incomes.
Pricing detail
Price / sqft$329
Price-to-income7.2×

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How 32266 ranks in FL
percentile vs all Florida ZIPs · n=1098
Market velocity85%
Supply tightness72%
Affordability10%
Investment yield12%
Appreciation96%

Affordability, supply & momentum

53SUPPLY
Tight MarketSupply Tightness

Supply is below normal — sellers are favored but buyers still have options.

Months of Supply7.8 mo
Days on Market41d
Inv vs History-19.2%
Listing Density7.0/1k
Affordability — payment burden
Monthly payment (P&I)$4,021
Payment burden43.5%
Median income · ZIP$111,025
Mortgage rate6.49% · 30yr
Total monthly own$4,817
Monthly rent$2,763
Market dynamics
Price cut %20.9%
Momentumwarming
LeverageBALANCED
Months of supply7.8
Sales (90d)0
Investment analysis
Median rent$2,763
Price-to-rent24.0
Est. cap rate2.7%
Buy vs rentfavors renting

Livability

Walk score2
Transit score
Bike score

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Duval County contextmacro · jobs · debt · migration

ZIP score grades housing; county score adds macro distress (jobs, debt, poverty). They answer different questions.

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