Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX · Caldwell County, TX · 1,040 properties with county records
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Martindale 78655 is in Caldwell County, TX, part of the Austin Metro. The typical home value in Martindale 78655 is $329,498 (Zillow Home Value Index, September 2026), down 0.6% from a year earlier. Homes that sold went under contract in a median 163 days, and 0% of listings took a price cut (Redfin Data Center, period ending Sep 30, 2026). On Lotvox's market-leverage reading of that data, with 12 months of supply, neither buyers nor sellers hold a clear edge. The Lotvox Turnover Index is not published for 78655 yet: it appears only where a held-out test on the county's recorded sales beats chance. Across Caldwell County's 8 ZIPs with a Zillow value, the middle one is $265,012, so 78655 sits 24% above the county middle. Lotvox holds county assessor records for 1,040 properties in 78655.
Headline value data through September 2026. Each source below carries its own date.
Is 78655 a buyer's or seller's market?
By Lotvox's leverage reading of Redfin data through Sep 30, 2026, 78655 is a balanced market. Homes went under contract in a median 163 days with 12 months of supply.
What do homes in 78655 sell for?
The typical home value in 78655 is $329,498 (Zillow Home Value Index, September 2026), down 0.6% in a year. County records put the median at about $249 per square foot (computed Apr 21, 2026).
Who is likely to sell in 78655?
Lotvox only publishes its Turnover Index where a held-out test on recorded sales beats chance, and 78655 has not passed that test yet. When it does, the score appears here.
How does 78655 compare to Caldwell County?
78655's typical value of $329,498 compares with a middle value of $265,012 across Caldwell County's 8 ZIPs. Both are Zillow Home Value Index figures for September 2026.
Where does this 78655 data come from?
Values and rents come from Zillow's research data, sales pace from the Redfin Data Center, and property counts and turnover from county assessor and deed records. Each number on this page carries its own date, and the method is published at lotvox.com/methodology.
Rent: Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI). Ownership cost: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), 20% down, 30-year loan at the current mortgage rate, plus 1.2% of the price a year.
Rent to price
Not available for this ZIP — no price-to-rent ratio published here.
39
/100
Weak
stable · balanced · prices easing year-over-year.
Price trend
50
Affordability
25
Valuation
50
Economic health
31
Verdict grades housing conditions; buyer-timing, investor cash-flow, supply-tightness and county macro scores answer different questions — each in its own section.
Buyer / seller
buyer-timing lens
Negotiate Hard
Needs 33.2% correction for affordability
DOM: 134d (falling) · Market Dynamics rolling median · hourly
Score Components
Payment Burden (25%)90
Valuation Gap (25%)10
Supply & Demand (20%)100
Days on Market (5%)100
Moderate buyer leverage in 78655. Room to negotiate 5-10% below list. Payment burden: 42.7% of median income. A 18% price correction needed to reach 30% affordability threshold. Median days on market: 134. Renting is approximately 119% cheaper than buying (price-to-rent ratio: 26.3).
What to Offer
Offer 5-10% below list. You have room to negotiate.
Median price: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI). Median rent: Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI). Days on market and active listings: Redfin Data Center, rolling 90 days.
Valuation
3 lenses, different anchors
vs assessor
+29.8%
Market vs assessed value — a tax-roll lag, not a deal signal.
Avg assessor$427,672
county CAMA · properties_v
vs income
—
Fair-value model not available for this market.
fair_value_scores · 10-state coverage
vs county comps
+40.7%
County-wide market — the widest, slowest signal.
Caldwell+40.7%
Guadalupe+24.8%
Lotvox comps · mv_valuation_gap
Read together: Above county comps but sustainable on local incomes.
Housing pulse — Housing pulse could not be loaded (429).
Price bands
mix-shift
Price Bands — the median behind the median
A single median rises whenever expensive homes become a bigger share of what sells, even if no tier got more expensive. These are the tiers underneath it, computed from recorded arms-length deed transactions in Caldwell.
Current tiers · 12 months to Invalid Datefloor 10 sales/tier
7 tiers had too few sales at every level and are left blank rather than estimated.
Tier
Median
$/sqft
Sales
Share
Source
Under $250k
—
—
—
—
fewer than 10 sales at zip, county and metro level
$250k–$500k
—
—
—
—
fewer than 10 sales at zip, county and metro level
$500k–$750k
—
—
—
—
fewer than 10 sales at zip, county and metro level
$750k–$1M
—
—
—
—
fewer than 10 sales at zip, county and metro level
$1M–$1.5M
—
—
—
—
fewer than 10 sales at zip, county and metro level
$1.5M–$2M
—
—
—
—
fewer than 10 sales at zip, county and metro level
$2M+
—
—
—
—
fewer than 10 sales at zip, county and metro level
No mix-shift history for this area. no geography from this ZIP up to metro has 8+ quarters of 10+ recorded arms-length sales across at least 4 price tiers. Trends are drawn only from recorded transactions; the last-sale snapshot above cannot carry a time series, because a property that sold twice keeps only its latest sale — which drags the history upward through the tiers and would invent the very mix shift this section exists to test for.
National context — not local
NAR's aggregate existing-home median for the United States and the South census region. This is the figure the tiers above are a check on. It is national/regional and says nothing about 78655.
United States
South
Copyright, National Association of Realtors. Reprinted with permission. Retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. FRED publishes a rolling 13-month window for these series.
Tiers computed from Lotvox parcel and deed substrate through Aug 25 (10 later months withheld as partially loaded). Sample floor 10 sales per tier; below it a figure is drawn from the county or metro and labelled, or left blank. Multi-parcel bulk deeds and duplicate records are excluded.
ZIP score grades housing; county score adds macro distress (jobs, debt, poverty). They answer different questions.
This ZIP code crosses county lines. Property data shows Caldwell (97.5%) and Guadalupe (2.1%). County metrics below are shown separately for each county.
Caldwell (97.5%)
Guadalupe (2.1%)
ZIP 78655→2 counties
12-Month Direction
-40Strong Deterioration
Confidence
100%
DeterioratingStableImproving
BuildersLens Market Intelligence
Market Score
55· Fair
Market Score grades housing-market conditions (affordability, valuation, supply). The county Healthy/Moderate/Distressed badge measures economic distress (jobs, debt, poverty) — the two can read differently.
Payment Burden
44.9%
severe
Source: Freddie Mac PMMS (FRED MORTGAGE30US) 7.32% · Zillow ZHVI · Census income · Updated 2026-10-22
Valuation17
+40.7%
overvalued
Source: Lotvox comps · Updated 2026-05-15
Supply/Demand
12 mo
buyer's market
Source: Redfin Data Center (ZIP): inventory ÷ monthly homes sold · Updated 2026-09-30
Insurance Risk
45/100
low_risk
Source: FEMA/NFIP · Updated 2026-04
County distress indicators
ECONOMIC INDICATORS
Economic indicators are mixed relative to comparable U.S. counties.
Unemployment Rate
4.1%
TX 4.1%US 4.4%
Near national averages
Source: BLS LAUS · 2026-0857d ago
Poverty Rate
13.7%
TX 13.8%US 12.6%
Near national averages
Median Household Income
$68,503
TX $78,036US $82,006
Near national averages
Cost of Living (RPP)
96.5
TX 96.5US 100.3
Near national averages
Home Value (ZHVI)$287,466
County data: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), BLS, Census ACS, CDC, FBI UCR, Federal Reserve, USDA · Coverage derived from property records · Counties with <2% coverage excluded as likely data errors
