Lotvox market story

ZIP 20904

Montgomery County, MD

What homes are worth, what they cost to carry, how fast they sell — one step at a time.

Typical home value
$582,157
12-month change
−0.9%
Months of supply
2.0

This week since 2026-10-08: Payment share of income 41.5% (was 41.0%) · Monthly P&I $3,225 (was $3,187)

1 of 5

Who's going to sell in 20904 this year?

Lotvox Turnover Index

Ranking every home in 20904 by how likely it is to sell

Lotvox Turnover Index
Not yet live
Source: County assessor and recorder public records; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · accuracy by ZIP · methodology

The Lotvox Turnover Index isn't offered for 20904 yet.

Where

20904 in Montgomery County, MD

20904 · $582,15720905 · $672,74620903 · $514,74720866 · $457,72620901 · $586,62420868 · $755,33520902 · $535,53820906 · $441,92920861 · $956,24220912 · $676,76120910 · $640,85620860 · $809,89320895 · $798,18020833 · $804,75320862 · $903,73220896 · $1,046,68520853 · $628,77420832 · $657,02520889 · no value published20814 · $742,69120815 · $1,147,96120851 · $536,92420892 · no value published20894 · no value published20852 · $528,12420855 · $679,78220816 · $1,261,29020817 · $1,277,87320812 · $1,306,56320818 · $1,236,12120880 · $622,65320850 · $676,57320877 · $471,99620879 · $437,84020886 · $383,34120882 · $791,41820899 · no value published20854 · $1,266,15020878 · $686,19320876 · $477,812 20904
$383K$1.3M typical home value
Source: Census TIGER/Line · Zillow (ZHVI)Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research

20904 is one of 48 ZIP codes that lie mostly in Montgomery County, MD — 98% of its own area is in the county.

Shaded by typical home value, it ranks 26 of the 36 nearby ZIPs shown.

Value rank among nearby ZIPs
26 of 36

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research

Local life

Schools in 20904

9 school locations in 20904: 7 elementary, 1 middle, 1 high.

In alphabetical order: Burnt Mills Elementary, Cannon Road Elementary, Galway Elementary, Greencastle Elementary, and more on the ZIP page. Locations only — no ratings are shown here.

School locations
9

Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics (school locations)

2 of 5

What it costs

Home values

What homes are worth in 20904

$0$200K$400K$600K$800K200020052010201520202025Peak March 2025 · $592,407Latest · $582,157
Typical home value
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · as of 2026-08-31Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31

In January 2000 the typical home in 20904 was worth $206,553.

Values peaked at $592,407 in March 2025. The latest reading is −1.7% from that peak.

As of August 2026: $582,157, −0.9% over twelve months.

Typical home value
$582,157
12-month change
−0.9%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31

Housing pulse

Monthly cost vs. price

Typical home
$582,157
Loan at 20% down
$465,726
30-year fixed rate
7.40%
Monthly principal + interest
$3,225
Median household income, per month
$7,777
Share of income
41.5%
0%30%60%
At today's rate, by home value, 2000–2026: 14.7% → 41.5%
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · Census ACS · Lotvox · as of 2026-08-31Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Start with the typical home: $582,157. Put 20% down and borrow $465,726 at 7.40%, the 30-year fixed average as of October 8, 2026.

That is $3,225 a month in principal and interest.

The median household here earns $93,322 a year, $7,777 a month. So the payment takes 41.5% of income — rated “severe” (Lotvox ZIP bands: under 28% affordable · 28–36% stretched · 36%+ severe).

The line holds today's rate fixed and moves only the price: at that rate, the same share was 14.7% in 2000.

Payment share of income
41.5%
Monthly P&I
$3,225

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Lotvox lens

The payment, at each month's rate

$0$1K$2K$3K$4K2000200520102015202020252.68% rate · $1,5896.67% rate · $2,995
Monthly P&I at that month's 30-year rate
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Take the typical home's price each month, borrow 80% at that month's actual 30-year average rate: in January 2000 (8.21%) the payment was $1,237.

In December 2020, with rates at 2.68%, it was $1,589.

By August 2026, at 6.67%, it was $2,995 — +89% since December 2020, while the home's value moved +19%.

Payment change since 2020
+89%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Lotvox lens

Home value after inflation

$0$250K$500K$750K$1.0M200020052010201520202025
Home value (as reported)Prices in general (CPI-U), scaled to January 2000Home value in August 2026 dollars
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · BLS CPI via FRED · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.

Reported values rose +182% since January 2000.

General prices (CPI-U) rose +97% over the same span.

Divide one by the other: in August 2026 dollars, the 2000 home was worth $407,654. So the real change is +43%, not +182%.

Real change since 2000
+43%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.

Home values

20904 against its neighbors

0100200300400200020052010201520202025
20904 (2000 = 100)Montgomery County (2000 = 100)Maryland (2000 = 100)
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

20904: +182% since January 2000.

Montgomery County: +182% since January 2000.

Maryland: +180% since January 2000 — 20904 ran ahead of it by 1 points.

Change since 2000
+182%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Lotvox lens

Rent or own

Own: payment + 1.2%/yr taxes & insurance
$3,807
principal + interest $3,225 · taxes & insurance est. $582
Rent: typical rent (ZORI)
$1,930
Price-to-rent ratio
25.1
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Zillow (ZORI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · LotvoxSource: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

Owning the typical home costs about $3,807 a month once taxes and insurance (estimated at 1.2% of price a year) are added. Renting runs about $1,930 a month.

Price divided by a year's rent: 25.1. Lotvox reads under 15 as favoring buying and 20 or more as favoring renting.

Price-to-rent
25.1

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

3 of 5

What's moving

Housing pulse

Listings Flow Ladder

per month / homes for sale2024-092026-08balanced 4–6 mo2.0 mo2.0 months of supplyNet −0 / month · inventory shrinking
New listings / monthHomes for saleClosed sales / monthBasin water level = months of supply
Source: Redfin · Lotvox · as of 2026-08-31Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Picture the Listings Flow Ladder as a basin: new listings pour in from the faucet, the homes for sale are the water, and closed sales run out the drain. Coming in — new listings: about 34 a month (Redfin, 3-month rolling data through August 2026). That is 68% of the 2015–2019 level for the same months.

On the shelf — homes for sale at the end of the period: 68.

Going out — closed sales: about 34 a month. That is 70% of the 2015–2019 level for the same months. The drain is drawn 3% narrower: the share of homes for sale that sell each month is 97% of its 2015–2019 level.

The ladder: homes for sale ÷ monthly sales = 2.0 months of supply — below the 4–6 month range Lotvox treats as balanced. In the basin, that is the water level against the shaded balanced band.

The net reading: about 0 more homes sold than came on each month, so inventory is shrinking. The basin is draining.

Months of supply
2.0

Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Housing pulse

Sales pace vs. normal

020406020252026
Homes sold per monthSame months, 2015–2019
Source: Redfin · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Homes sold: about 34 a month in August 2026 (Redfin).

The 2015–2019 level for the same month was 37 — so sales ran at 92% of it, and below it in 24 of the last 24 months.

Sales vs 2015–19 level
92%

Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

New supply

Homes being permitted

02,0004,0006,00020224,23720232,86020243,65620251,411
1-unit buildings2–4 units5+ units
Source: Census permits · as of 2025Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey · data as of 2025

Across Montgomery County, builders pulled permits for 1,411 new homes in 2025.

Of those, 57% were in 1-unit buildings (the Census Bureau's category for detached and attached single homes).

Units permitted 2025
1,411

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey · data as of 2025

4 of 5

Who's holding, who's leaving

Housing pulse

Migration and inventory

Moved in (top-10 origin counties)
12,327
Moved out (top-10 destination counties)
15,047
Net households
−2,720
Top origins
Prince George's, MD3,735
District of Columbia, DC3,120
Fairfax, VA1,040
Top destinations
Prince George's, MD3,823
District of Columbia, DC2,420
Frederick, MD2,352
Homes for sale, 2012–2026
Source: IRS SOI · Redfin · as of 2026-06-01Source: IRS Statistics of Income, county-to-county migration data; Redfin Data Center (market tracker data) · data as of 2026-06-01

This ZIP sits in Montgomery County. IRS tax returns for 2022-2023: among the ten counties sending the most households, 12,327 moved in. Among the ten receiving the most, 15,047 moved out.

Net across those counties: −2,720 households. Beside it, homes for sale in this ZIP: 68 in June 2026.

Most arrivals came from Prince George's, MD (3,735 households); most departures went to Prince George's, MD (3,823).

Net households (top-10 flows)
−2,720

Source: IRS Statistics of Income, county-to-county migration data; Redfin Data Center (market tracker data) · data as of 2026-06-01

5 of 5

What to do

Own a home here?What's my home worth?Enter your address for a county-record value range. Buying?Compare 20904 with 20851The same story, side by side. An agent?See where the index is livethe farm territory and this page's sponsor spot.

Back to the full ZIP 20904 page

Lotvox V6D HydroClose

Share this story

Link: https://lotvox.com/story/washington-dc/zip/20904