Lotvox market story

ZIP 20874

Montgomery County, MD

What homes are worth, what they cost to carry, how fast they sell — one step at a time.

Typical home value
$411,841
12-month change
−2.3%
Months of supply
2.2

This week since 2026-10-08: Payment share of income 25.0% (was 24.7%) · Monthly P&I $2,281 (was $2,254)

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Who's going to sell in 20874 this year?

Lotvox Turnover Index

Ranking every home in 20874 by how likely it is to sell

Lotvox Turnover Index
Not yet live
Source: County assessor and recorder public records; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · accuracy by ZIP · methodology

The Lotvox Turnover Index isn't offered for 20874 yet.

Where

20874 in Montgomery County, MD

20874 · $411,84120878 · $686,19320841 · $826,27120899 · no value published20876 · $477,81220886 · $383,34120850 · $676,57320854 · $1,266,15020877 · $471,99620837 · $723,75120880 · $622,65320838 · $723,68720839 · $663,91120871 · $625,41920842 · $736,69820879 · $437,84020855 · $679,78220882 · $791,41820872 · $544,72520851 · $536,92420852 · $528,12420817 · $1,277,87320853 · $628,77420818 · $1,236,12120896 · $1,046,68520812 · $1,306,56320832 · $657,02520892 · no value published20814 · $742,69120894 · no value published20816 · $1,261,29020889 · no value published20906 · $441,92920895 · $798,18020815 · $1,147,96120902 · $535,53820860 · $809,89320862 · $903,73220910 · $640,85620833 · $804,753 20874
$383K$1.3M typical home value
Source: Census TIGER/Line · Zillow (ZHVI)Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research

20874 is one of 48 ZIP codes that lie mostly in Montgomery County, MD.

Shaded by typical home value, it ranks 35 of the 36 nearby ZIPs shown.

Value rank among nearby ZIPs
35 of 36

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research

Local life

Schools in 20874

14 school locations in 20874: 8 elementary, 3 middle, 3 high.

In alphabetical order: Clopper Mill Elementary, Dr. Ronald E. McNair Elementary, Germantown Elementary, Great Seneca Creek Elementary, and more on the ZIP page. Locations only — no ratings are shown here.

School locations
14

Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics (school locations)

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What it costs

Home values

What homes are worth in 20874

$0$200K$400K$600K200020052010201520202025Peak February 2025 · $427,439Latest · $411,841
Typical home value
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · as of 2026-08-31Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31

In January 2000 the typical home in 20874 was worth $149,318.

Values peaked at $427,439 in February 2025. The latest reading is −3.6% from that peak.

As of August 2026: $411,841, −2.3% over twelve months.

Typical home value
$411,841
12-month change
−2.3%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31

Housing pulse

Monthly cost vs. price

Typical home
$411,841
Loan at 20% down
$329,473
30-year fixed rate
7.40%
Monthly principal + interest
$2,281
Median household income, per month
$9,137
Share of income
25.0%
0%30%60%
At today's rate, by home value, 2000–2026: 9.1% → 25.0%
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · Census ACS · Lotvox · as of 2026-08-31Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Start with the typical home: $411,841. Put 20% down and borrow $329,473 at 7.40%, the 30-year fixed average as of October 8, 2026.

That is $2,281 a month in principal and interest.

The median household here earns $109,648 a year, $9,137 a month. So the payment takes 25.0% of income — rated “affordable” (Lotvox ZIP bands: under 28% affordable · 28–36% stretched · 36%+ severe).

The line holds today's rate fixed and moves only the price: at that rate, the same share was 9.1% in 2000.

Payment share of income
25.0%
Monthly P&I
$2,281

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Lotvox lens

The payment, at each month's rate

$0$1K$2K$3K2000200520102015202020252.68% rate · $1,1126.67% rate · $2,119
Monthly P&I at that month's 30-year rate
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Take the typical home's price each month, borrow 80% at that month's actual 30-year average rate: in January 2000 (8.21%) the payment was $894.

In December 2020, with rates at 2.68%, it was $1,112.

By August 2026, at 6.67%, it was $2,119 — +90% since December 2020, while the home's value moved +20%.

Payment change since 2020
+90%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Lotvox lens

Home value after inflation

$0$200K$400K$600K$800K200020052010201520202025
Home value (as reported)Prices in general (CPI-U), scaled to January 2000Home value in August 2026 dollars
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · BLS CPI via FRED · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.

Reported values rose +176% since January 2000.

General prices (CPI-U) rose +97% over the same span.

Divide one by the other: in August 2026 dollars, the 2000 home was worth $294,694. So the real change is +40%, not +176%.

Real change since 2000
+40%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.

Home values

20874 against its neighbors

0100200300400200020052010201520202025
20874 (2000 = 100)Montgomery County (2000 = 100)Maryland (2000 = 100)
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

20874: +176% since January 2000.

Montgomery County: +182% since January 2000.

Maryland: +180% since January 2000 — 20874 ran behind it by 5 points.

Change since 2000
+176%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Lotvox lens

Rent or own

Own: payment + 1.2%/yr taxes & insurance
$2,693
principal + interest $2,281 · taxes & insurance est. $412
Rent: typical rent (ZORI)
$2,048
Price-to-rent ratio
16.8
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Zillow (ZORI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · LotvoxSource: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

Owning the typical home costs about $2,693 a month once taxes and insurance (estimated at 1.2% of price a year) are added. Renting runs about $2,048 a month.

Price divided by a year's rent: 16.8. Lotvox reads under 15 as favoring buying and 20 or more as favoring renting.

Price-to-rent
16.8

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

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What's moving

Housing pulse

Listings Flow Ladder

per month / homes for sale2024-092026-08balanced 4–6 mo2.2 mo2.2 months of supplyNet +10 / month · inventory growing
New listings / monthHomes for saleClosed sales / monthBasin water level = months of supply
Source: Redfin · Lotvox · as of 2026-08-31Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Picture the Listings Flow Ladder as a basin: new listings pour in from the faucet, the homes for sale are the water, and closed sales run out the drain. Coming in — new listings: about 74 a month (Redfin, 3-month rolling data through August 2026). That is 71% of the 2015–2019 level for the same months.

On the shelf — homes for sale at the end of the period: 140. That is 74% of the 2015–2019 level for the same months.

Going out — closed sales: about 64 a month. That is 66% of the 2015–2019 level for the same months. The drain is drawn 7% narrower: the share of homes for sale that sell each month is 93% of its 2015–2019 level.

The ladder: homes for sale ÷ monthly sales = 2.2 months of supply — below the 4–6 month range Lotvox treats as balanced. In the basin, that is the water level against the shaded balanced band.

The net reading: about 10 more homes came on than sold each month, so inventory is growing. The basin is filling.

Months of supply
2.2

Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Housing pulse

Sales pace vs. normal

05010015020252026
Homes sold per monthSame months, 2015–2019
Source: Redfin · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Homes sold: about 64 a month in August 2026 (Redfin).

The 2015–2019 level for the same month was 83 — so sales ran at 77% of it, and below it in 24 of the last 24 months.

Sales vs 2015–19 level
77%

Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

New supply

Homes being permitted

02,0004,0006,00020224,23720232,86020243,65620251,411
1-unit buildings2–4 units5+ units
Source: Census permits · as of 2025Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey · data as of 2025

Across Montgomery County, builders pulled permits for 1,411 new homes in 2025.

Of those, 57% were in 1-unit buildings (the Census Bureau's category for detached and attached single homes).

Units permitted 2025
1,411

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey · data as of 2025

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Who's holding, who's leaving

Housing pulse

Migration and inventory

Moved in (top-10 origin counties)
12,327
Moved out (top-10 destination counties)
15,047
Net households
−2,720
Top origins
Prince George's, MD3,735
District of Columbia, DC3,120
Fairfax, VA1,040
Top destinations
Prince George's, MD3,823
District of Columbia, DC2,420
Frederick, MD2,352
Homes for sale, 2012–2026
Source: IRS SOI · Redfin · as of 2026-06-01Source: IRS Statistics of Income, county-to-county migration data; Redfin Data Center (market tracker data) · data as of 2026-06-01

This ZIP sits in Montgomery County. IRS tax returns for 2022-2023: among the ten counties sending the most households, 12,327 moved in. Among the ten receiving the most, 15,047 moved out.

Net across those counties: −2,720 households. Beside it, homes for sale in this ZIP: 140 in June 2026.

Most arrivals came from Prince George's, MD (3,735 households); most departures went to Prince George's, MD (3,823).

Net households (top-10 flows)
−2,720

Source: IRS Statistics of Income, county-to-county migration data; Redfin Data Center (market tracker data) · data as of 2026-06-01

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What to do

Own a home here?What's my home worth?Enter your address for a county-record value range. Buying?Compare 20874 with 20886The same story, side by side. An agent?See where the index is livethe farm territory and this page's sponsor spot.

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Link: https://lotvox.com/story/washington-dc/zip/20874