Lotvox market story

ZIP 34609

Hernando County, FL

What homes are worth, what they cost to carry, how fast they sell — one step at a time.

Typical home value
$321,714
12-month change
−2.2%
Months of supply
3.8

This week since 2026-10-08: Payment share of income 27.0% (was 26.7%) · Monthly P&I $1,782 (was $1,761)

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Who's going to sell in 34609 this year?

Lotvox Turnover Index

Ranking every home in 34609 by how likely it is to sell

Lotvox Turnover Index
Not yet live
Source: County assessor and recorder public records; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · accuracy by ZIP · methodology

The Lotvox Turnover Index isn't offered for 34609 yet.

Where

34609 in Hernando County, FL

34601 · $315,47534602 · $297,72534604 · $327,47034606 · $271,43634607 · $400,62634608 · $293,08234609 · $321,71434613 · $315,05434614 · $357,57334661 · $133,545 34609
$134K$401K typical home value
Source: Census TIGER/Line · Zillow (ZHVI)Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research

34609 is one of 10 ZIP codes that lie mostly in Hernando County, FL.

Shaded by typical home value, it ranks 4 of the 10 with a value.

Value rank in county
4 of 10

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research

Local life

Schools in 34609

7 school locations in 34609: 3 elementary, 2 middle, 2 high.

In alphabetical order: CHALLENGER K-8 SCHOOL OF SCIENCE AND MATH, FRANK W. SPRINGSTEAD HIGH SCHOOL, JOHN D. FLOYD ELEMENTARY SCHOOL, PACE CENTER FOR GIRLS, and more on the ZIP page. Locations only — no ratings are shown here.

School locations
7

Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics (school locations)

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What it costs

Home values

What homes are worth in 34609

$0$100K$200K$300K$400K200020052010201520202025Peak September 2022 · $352,568Latest · $321,714
Typical home value
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · as of 2026-08-31Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31

In January 2000 the typical home in 34609 was worth $110,086.

Values peaked at $352,568 in September 2022. The latest reading is −8.8% from that peak.

As of August 2026: $321,714, −2.2% over twelve months.

Typical home value
$321,714
12-month change
−2.2%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31

Housing pulse

Monthly cost vs. price

Typical home
$321,714
Loan at 20% down
$257,371
30-year fixed rate
7.40%
Monthly principal + interest
$1,782
Median household income, per month
$6,607
Share of income
27.0%
0%30%60%
At today's rate, by home value, 2000–2026: 9.2% → 27.0%
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · Census ACS · Lotvox · as of 2026-08-31Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Start with the typical home: $321,714. Put 20% down and borrow $257,371 at 7.40%, the 30-year fixed average as of October 8, 2026.

That is $1,782 a month in principal and interest.

The median household here earns $79,284 a year, $6,607 a month. So the payment takes 27.0% of income — rated “affordable” (Lotvox ZIP bands: under 28% affordable · 28–36% stretched · 36%+ severe).

The line holds today's rate fixed and moves only the price: at that rate, the same share was 9.2% in 2000.

Payment share of income
27.0%
Monthly P&I
$1,782

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Lotvox lens

The payment, at each month's rate

$0$1K$2K$3K2000200520102015202020252.68% rate · $7226.67% rate · $1,655
Monthly P&I at that month's 30-year rate
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Take the typical home's price each month, borrow 80% at that month's actual 30-year average rate: in January 2000 (8.21%) the payment was $659.

In December 2020, with rates at 2.68%, it was $722.

By August 2026, at 6.67%, it was $1,655 — +129% since December 2020, while the home's value moved +44%.

Payment change since 2020
+129%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Lotvox lens

Home value after inflation

$0$200K$400K$600K200020052010201520202025
Home value (as reported)Prices in general (CPI-U), scaled to January 2000Home value in August 2026 dollars
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · BLS CPI via FRED · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.

Reported values rose +192% since January 2000.

General prices (CPI-U) rose +97% over the same span.

Divide one by the other: in August 2026 dollars, the 2000 home was worth $217,266. So the real change is +48%, not +192%.

Real change since 2000
+48%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.

Home values

34609 against its neighbors

0100200300400200020052010201520202025
34609 (2000 = 100)Hernando County (2000 = 100)Florida (2000 = 100)
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

34609: +192% since January 2000.

Hernando County: +203% since January 2000.

Florida: +245% since January 2000 — 34609 ran behind it by 53 points.

Change since 2000
+192%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Lotvox lens

34609 among Florida ZIPs

Affordability — price vs local income
80th pct
Appreciation — recent value growth
24th pct
Rental yield — rent vs price
68th pct
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Census ACS · LotvoxSource: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

Against 1,098 Florida ZIP codes, 34609 sits at the 80th percentile for affordability (price vs local income).

24th for appreciation (recent value growth); 68th for rental yield (rent vs price).

Affordability percentile
80th

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

Lotvox lens

Rent or own

Own: payment + 1.2%/yr taxes & insurance
$2,104
principal + interest $1,782 · taxes & insurance est. $322
Rent: typical rent (ZORI)
$1,945
Price-to-rent ratio
13.8
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Zillow (ZORI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · LotvoxSource: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

Owning the typical home costs about $2,104 a month once taxes and insurance (estimated at 1.2% of price a year) are added. Renting runs about $1,945 a month.

Price divided by a year's rent: 13.8. Lotvox reads under 15 as favoring buying and 20 or more as favoring renting.

Price-to-rent
13.8

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

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What's moving

Housing pulse

Listings Flow Ladder

per month / homes for sale2024-092026-08balanced 4–6 mo3.8 mo3.8 months of supplyNet +15 / month · inventory growing
New listings / monthHomes for saleClosed sales / monthBasin water level = months of supply
Source: Redfin · Lotvox · as of 2026-08-31Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Picture the Listings Flow Ladder as a basin: new listings pour in from the faucet, the homes for sale are the water, and closed sales run out the drain. Coming in — new listings: about 103 a month (Redfin, 3-month rolling data through August 2026). That is 97% of the 2015–2019 level for the same months.

On the shelf — homes for sale at the end of the period: 329. That is 97% of the 2015–2019 level for the same months.

Going out — closed sales: about 87 a month. That is 83% of the 2015–2019 level for the same months. The drain is drawn 11% narrower: the share of homes for sale that sell each month is 89% of its 2015–2019 level.

The ladder: homes for sale ÷ monthly sales = 3.8 months of supply — below the 4–6 month range Lotvox treats as balanced. In the basin, that is the water level against the shaded balanced band.

The net reading: about 15 more homes came on than sold each month, so inventory is growing. The basin is filling.

Months of supply
3.8

Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Housing pulse

Sales pace vs. normal

05010015020252026
Homes sold per monthSame months, 2015–2019
Source: Redfin · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Homes sold: about 87 a month in August 2026 (Redfin).

The 2015–2019 level for the same month was 96 — so sales ran at 91% of it, and below it in 21 of the last 24 months.

Sales vs 2015–19 level
91%

Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

New supply

Homes being permitted

01,0002,0003,00020221,78620232,03020242,50520251,975
1-unit buildings2–4 units5+ units
Source: Census permits · as of 2025Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey · data as of 2025

Across Hernando County, builders pulled permits for 1,975 new homes in 2025.

Of those, 88% were in 1-unit buildings (the Census Bureau's category for detached and attached single homes).

Units permitted 2025
1,975

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey · data as of 2025

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Who's holding, who's leaving

Housing pulse

Migration and inventory

Moved in (top-10 origin counties)
4,715
Moved out (top-10 destination counties)
3,073
Net households
+1,642
Top origins
Pasco, FL2,001
Hillsborough, FL1,318
Pinellas, FL576
Top destinations
Pasco, FL1,249
Hillsborough, FL590
Citrus, FL426
Homes for sale, 2012–2026
Source: IRS SOI · Redfin · as of 2026-06-01Source: IRS Statistics of Income, county-to-county migration data; Redfin Data Center (market tracker data) · data as of 2026-06-01

This ZIP sits in Hernando County. IRS tax returns for 2022-2023: among the ten counties sending the most households, 4,715 moved in. Among the ten receiving the most, 3,073 moved out.

Net across those counties: +1,642 households. Beside it, homes for sale in this ZIP: 329 in June 2026.

Most arrivals came from Pasco, FL (2,001 households); most departures went to Pasco, FL (1,249).

Net households (top-10 flows)
+1,642

Source: IRS Statistics of Income, county-to-county migration data; Redfin Data Center (market tracker data) · data as of 2026-06-01

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What to do

Own a home here?What's my home worth?Enter your address for a county-record value range. Buying?Compare 34609 with 34601The same story, side by side. An agent?See where the index is livethe farm territory and this page's sponsor spot.

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