Lotvox market story

ZIP 32431

Jackson County, FL

What homes are worth, what they cost to carry, how fast they sell — one step at a time.

Typical home value
$192,943
12-month change
+1.1%
Payment share of income
24.5%

This week since 2026-10-08: Payment share of income 24.5% (was 24.2%) · Monthly P&I $1,069 (was $1,056)

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Who's going to sell in 32431 this year?

Lotvox Turnover Index

Ranking every home in 32431 by how likely it is to sell

Lotvox Turnover Index
Not yet live
Source: County assessor and recorder public records; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · accuracy by ZIP · methodology

The Lotvox Turnover Index isn't offered for 32431 yet.

Where

32431 in Jackson County, FL

32420 · $207,24332423 · $184,39132426 · $137,08832431 · $192,94332432 · no value published32440 · $176,09132442 · $190,68432443 · $163,14332445 · $133,32032446 · $222,66232448 · $170,33132460 · $155,735 32431
$133K$223K typical home value
Source: Census TIGER/Line · Zillow (ZHVI)Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research

32431 is one of 12 ZIP codes that lie mostly in Jackson County, FL — 84% of its own area is in the county.

Shaded by typical home value, it ranks 3 of the 11 with a value.

Value rank in county
3 of 11

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research

Local life

Schools in 32431

2 school locations in 32431: 1 elementary, 1 high.

In alphabetical order: COTTONDALE ELEMENTARY SCHOOL, COTTONDALE HIGH SCHOOL. Locations only — no ratings are shown here.

School locations
2

Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics (school locations)

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What it costs

Home values

What homes are worth in 32431

$0$100K$200K$300K200520092013201720212025Peak August 2024 · $194,833Latest · $192,943
Typical home value
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · as of 2026-08-31Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31

In March 2004 the typical home in 32431 was worth $99,184.

Values peaked at $194,833 in August 2024. The latest reading is −1.0% from that peak.

As of August 2026: $192,943, +1.1% over twelve months.

Typical home value
$192,943
12-month change
+1.1%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31

Housing pulse

Monthly cost vs. price

Typical home
$192,943
Loan at 20% down
$154,354
30-year fixed rate
7.40%
Monthly principal + interest
$1,069
Median household income, per month
$4,356
Share of income
24.5%
0%30%60%
At today's rate, by home value, 2004–2026: 12.6% → 24.5%
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · Census ACS · Lotvox · as of 2026-08-31Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Start with the typical home: $192,943. Put 20% down and borrow $154,354 at 7.40%, the 30-year fixed average as of October 8, 2026.

That is $1,069 a month in principal and interest.

The median household here earns $52,270 a year, $4,356 a month. So the payment takes 24.5% of income — rated “affordable” (Lotvox ZIP bands: under 28% affordable · 28–36% stretched · 36%+ severe).

The line holds today's rate fixed and moves only the price: at that rate, the same share was 12.6% in 2004.

Payment share of income
24.5%
Monthly P&I
$1,069

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Lotvox lens

The payment, at each month's rate

$0$500$1K$2K2005200920132017202120252.68% rate · $4636.67% rate · $993
Monthly P&I at that month's 30-year rate
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Take the typical home's price each month, borrow 80% at that month's actual 30-year average rate: in March 2004 (5.45%) the payment was $448.

In December 2020, with rates at 2.68%, it was $463.

By August 2026, at 6.67%, it was $993 — +114% since December 2020, while the home's value moved +35%.

Payment change since 2020
+114%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Lotvox lens

Home value after inflation

$0$100K$200K$300K200520092013201720212025
Home value (as reported)Prices in general (CPI-U), scaled to March 2004Home value in August 2026 dollars
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · BLS CPI via FRED · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.

Reported values rose +95% since March 2004.

General prices (CPI-U) rose +79% over the same span.

Divide one by the other: in August 2026 dollars, the 2004 home was worth $177,127. So the real change is +9%, not +95%.

Real change since 2004
+9%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.

Home values

32431 against its neighbors

50100150200250300200520092013201720212025
32431 (2004 = 100)Jackson County (2004 = 100)Florida (2004 = 100)
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

32431: +95% since March 2004.

Jackson County: +68% since March 2004.

Florida: +133% since March 2004 — 32431 ran behind it by 38 points.

Change since 2004
+95%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Lotvox lens

Rent or own

Own: payment + 1.2%/yr taxes & insurance
$1,262
principal + interest $1,069 · taxes & insurance est. $193
Rent: typical rent (ZORI)
$759
Price-to-rent ratio
21.2
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Zillow (ZORI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · LotvoxSource: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

Owning the typical home costs about $1,262 a month once taxes and insurance (estimated at 1.2% of price a year) are added. Renting runs about $759 a month.

Price divided by a year's rent: 21.2. Lotvox reads under 15 as favoring buying and 20 or more as favoring renting.

Price-to-rent
21.2

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

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What's moving

Housing pulse

Sales pace vs. normal

0123420252026
Homes sold per monthSame months, 2015–2019
Source: Redfin · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Homes sold: about 1 a month in August 2026 (Redfin).

The 2015–2019 level for the same month was 2 — so sales ran at 50% of it, and below it in 4 of the last 24 months.

Sales vs 2015–19 level
50%

Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

New supply

Homes being permitted

050100150200202212620231432024145202598
1-unit buildings2–4 units5+ units
Source: Census permits · as of 2025Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey · data as of 2025

Across Jackson County, builders pulled permits for 98 new homes in 2025.

Of those, 98% were in 1-unit buildings (the Census Bureau's category for detached and attached single homes).

Units permitted 2025
98

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey · data as of 2025

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Who's holding, who's leaving

Housing pulse

Migration and inventory

Moved in (top-10 origin counties)
532
Moved out (top-10 destination counties)
488
Net households
+44
Top origins
Bay, FL122
Washington, FL93
Calhoun, FL80
Top destinations
Bay, FL106
Washington, FL84
Houston, AL82
Homes for sale, 2012–2026
Source: IRS SOI · Redfin · as of 2026-06-01Source: IRS Statistics of Income, county-to-county migration data; Redfin Data Center (market tracker data) · data as of 2026-06-01

This ZIP sits in Jackson County. IRS tax returns for 2022-2023: among the ten counties sending the most households, 532 moved in. Among the ten receiving the most, 488 moved out.

Net across those counties: +44 households. Beside it, homes for sale in this ZIP: 11 in June 2026.

Most arrivals came from Bay, FL (122 households); most departures went to Bay, FL (106).

Net households (top-10 flows)
+44

Source: IRS Statistics of Income, county-to-county migration data; Redfin Data Center (market tracker data) · data as of 2026-06-01

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What to do

Own a home here?What's my home worth?Enter your address for a county-record value range. Buying?Compare 32431 with 32442The same story, side by side. An agent?See where the index is livethe farm territory and this page's sponsor spot.

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Link: https://lotvox.com/story/panama-city/zip/32431