Lotvox market story

ZIP 34470

Marion County, FL

What homes are worth, what they cost to carry, how fast they sell — one step at a time.

Typical home value
$229,577
12-month change
−2.1%
Months of supply
4.4

This week since 2026-10-08: Months of supply 4.4 (was 4.5) · Payment share of income 30.8% (was 30.4%)

1 of 5

Who's going to sell in 34470 this year?

Lotvox Turnover Index

Ranking every home in 34470 by how likely it is to sell

Lotvox Turnover Index
Not yet live
Source: County assessor and recorder public records; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · accuracy by ZIP · methodology

The Lotvox Turnover Index isn't offered for 34470 yet.

Where

34470 in Marion County, FL

32113 · $306,20432133 · no value published32134 · $154,06732179 · $240,45932182 · no value published32192 · no value published32195 · $428,20432617 · $359,78832634 · no value published32664 · $311,79432681 · no value published32686 · $387,99232784 · $292,87334420 · $242,10034431 · $265,25334432 · $301,09034470 · $229,57734471 · $319,16734472 · $233,14534473 · $264,67634474 · $310,99534475 · $207,35434476 · $293,38834479 · $234,04834480 · $308,79234481 · $275,94334482 · $291,86934488 · $206,29034491 · $281,618 34470
$154K$428K typical home value
Source: Census TIGER/Line · Zillow (ZHVI)Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research

34470 is one of 29 ZIP codes that lie mostly in Marion County, FL.

Shaded by typical home value, it ranks 21 of the 24 with a value.

Value rank in county
21 of 24

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research

Local life

Schools in 34470

5 school locations in 34470: 2 elementary, 1 middle, 2 high.

In alphabetical order: FORT KING MIDDLE SCHOOL, NEW LEAF CENTER, OAKCREST ELEMENTARY SCHOOL, PACE CENTER FOR GIRLS INC., and more on the ZIP page. Locations only — no ratings are shown here.

School locations
5

Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics (school locations)

2 of 5

What it costs

Home values

What homes are worth in 34470

$0$100K$200K$300K200420082012201620202024Peak February 2025 · $241,120Latest · $229,577
Typical home value
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · as of 2026-08-31Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31

In January 2004 the typical home in 34470 was worth $87,303.

Values peaked at $241,120 in February 2025. The latest reading is −4.8% from that peak.

As of August 2026: $229,577, −2.1% over twelve months.

Typical home value
$229,577
12-month change
−2.1%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31

Housing pulse

Monthly cost vs. price

Typical home
$229,577
Loan at 20% down
$183,662
30-year fixed rate
7.40%
Monthly principal + interest
$1,272
Median household income, per month
$4,133
Share of income
30.8%
0%30%60%
At today's rate, by home value, 2004–2026: 11.7% → 30.8%
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · Census ACS · Lotvox · as of 2026-08-31Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Start with the typical home: $229,577. Put 20% down and borrow $183,662 at 7.40%, the 30-year fixed average as of October 8, 2026.

That is $1,272 a month in principal and interest.

The median household here earns $49,592 a year, $4,133 a month. So the payment takes 30.8% of income — rated “stretched” (Lotvox ZIP bands: under 28% affordable · 28–36% stretched · 36%+ severe).

The line holds today's rate fixed and moves only the price: at that rate, the same share was 11.7% in 2004.

Payment share of income
30.8%
Monthly P&I
$1,272

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Lotvox lens

The payment, at each month's rate

$0$500$1K$2K2004200820122016202020242.68% rate · $5006.67% rate · $1,181
Monthly P&I at that month's 30-year rate
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Take the typical home's price each month, borrow 80% at that month's actual 30-year average rate: in January 2004 (5.71%) the payment was $406.

In December 2020, with rates at 2.68%, it was $500.

By August 2026, at 6.67%, it was $1,181 — +136% since December 2020, while the home's value moved +49%.

Payment change since 2020
+136%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Lotvox lens

Home value after inflation

$0$100K$200K$300K200420082012201620202024
Home value (as reported)Prices in general (CPI-U), scaled to January 2004Home value in August 2026 dollars
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · BLS CPI via FRED · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.

Reported values rose +163% since January 2004.

General prices (CPI-U) rose +79% over the same span.

Divide one by the other: in August 2026 dollars, the 2004 home was worth $156,579. So the real change is +47%, not +163%.

Real change since 2004
+47%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.

Home values

34470 against its neighbors

0100200300200420082012201620202024
34470 (2004 = 100)Marion County (2004 = 100)Florida (2004 = 100)
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

34470: +163% since January 2004.

Marion County: +135% since January 2004.

Florida: +137% since January 2004 — 34470 ran ahead of it by 26 points.

Change since 2004
+163%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Lotvox lens

Rent or own

Own: payment + 1.2%/yr taxes & insurance
$1,501
principal + interest $1,272 · taxes & insurance est. $229
Rent: typical rent (ZORI)
$1,413
Price-to-rent ratio
13.5
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Zillow (ZORI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · LotvoxSource: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

Owning the typical home costs about $1,501 a month once taxes and insurance (estimated at 1.2% of price a year) are added. Renting runs about $1,413 a month.

Price divided by a year's rent: 13.5. Lotvox reads under 15 as favoring buying and 20 or more as favoring renting.

Price-to-rent
13.5

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

3 of 5

What's moving

Housing pulse

Listings Flow Ladder

per month / homes for sale2024-092026-08balanced 4–6 mo4.4 mo4.4 months of supplyNet +4 / month · inventory growing
New listings / monthHomes for saleClosed sales / monthBasin water level = months of supply
Source: Redfin · Lotvox · as of 2026-08-31Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Picture the Listings Flow Ladder as a basin: new listings pour in from the faucet, the homes for sale are the water, and closed sales run out the drain. Coming in — new listings: about 40 a month (Redfin, 3-month rolling data through August 2026). That is 118% of the 2015–2019 level for the same months.

On the shelf — homes for sale at the end of the period: 156.

Going out — closed sales: about 35 a month. That is 110% of the 2015–2019 level for the same months.

The ladder: homes for sale ÷ monthly sales = 4.4 months of supply — inside the 4–6 month balanced range. In the basin, that is the water level against the shaded balanced band.

The net reading: about 4 more homes came on than sold each month, so inventory is growing. The basin is filling.

Months of supply
4.4

Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Housing pulse

Sales pace vs. normal

01020304020252026
Homes sold per monthSame months, 2015–2019
Source: Redfin · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Homes sold: about 35 a month in August 2026 (Redfin).

The 2015–2019 level for the same month was 30 — so sales ran at 117% of it, and below it in 16 of the last 24 months.

Sales vs 2015–19 level
117%

Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

New supply

Homes being permitted

02,0004,0006,0008,00020226,48920235,19720246,72920255,985
1-unit buildings2–4 units5+ units
Source: Census permits · as of 2025Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey · data as of 2025

Across Marion County, builders pulled permits for 5,985 new homes in 2025.

Of those, 91% were in 1-unit buildings (the Census Bureau's category for detached and attached single homes).

Units permitted 2025
5,985

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey · data as of 2025

4 of 5

Who's holding, who's leaving

Housing pulse

Migration and inventory

Moved in (top-10 origin counties)
5,276
Moved out (top-10 destination counties)
3,496
Net households
+1,780
Top origins
Lake, FL957
Orange, FL655
Miami-Dade, FL587
Top destinations
Lake, FL649
Citrus, FL529
Alachua, FL526
Homes for sale, 2012–2026
Source: IRS SOI · Redfin · as of 2026-06-01Source: IRS Statistics of Income, county-to-county migration data; Redfin Data Center (market tracker data) · data as of 2026-06-01

This ZIP sits in Marion County. IRS tax returns for 2022-2023: among the ten counties sending the most households, 5,276 moved in. Among the ten receiving the most, 3,496 moved out.

Net across those counties: +1,780 households. Beside it, homes for sale in this ZIP: 156 in June 2026.

Most arrivals came from Lake, FL (957 households); most departures went to Lake, FL (649).

Net households (top-10 flows)
+1,780

Source: IRS Statistics of Income, county-to-county migration data; Redfin Data Center (market tracker data) · data as of 2026-06-01

5 of 5

What to do

Own a home here?What's my home worth?Enter your address for a county-record value range. Buying?Compare 34470 with 34475The same story, side by side. An agent?See where the index is livethe farm territory and this page's sponsor spot.

Back to the full ZIP 34470 page

Lotvox V6D HydroClose

Share this story

ZIP 34470 housing market, step by step — share card

Link: https://lotvox.com/story/ocala/zip/34470