Lotvox market story
ZIP 11971
Suffolk County, NY
What homes are worth, what they cost to carry, how fast they sell — one step at a time.
- Typical home value
- $1,133,594
- 12-month change
- +2.3%
- Months of supply
- 7.4
This week since 2026-10-08: Months of supply 7.4 (was 7.3) · Payment share of income 60.7% (was 60.0%)
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Who's going to sell in 11971 this year?
Lotvox Turnover Index
Ranking every home in 11971 by how likely it is to sell
The Lotvox Turnover Index isn't offered for 11971 yet.
Where
11971 in Suffolk County, NY
11971 is one of 108 ZIP codes that lie mostly in Suffolk County, NY.
Shaded by typical home value, it ranks 21 of the 36 nearby ZIPs shown.
- Value rank among nearby ZIPs
- 21 of 36
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research
Local life
Schools in 11971
2 school locations in 11971: 1 middle, 1 high.
In alphabetical order: SOUTHOLD ELEMENTARY SCHOOL, and more on the ZIP page. Locations only — no ratings are shown here.
- School locations
- 2
Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics (school locations)
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What it costs
Home values
What homes are worth in 11971
In January 2000 the typical home in 11971 was worth $255,411.
Values peaked at $1,141,069 in April 2026. The latest reading is −0.7% from that peak.
As of August 2026: $1,133,594, +2.3% over twelve months.
- Typical home value
- $1,133,594
- 12-month change
- +2.3%
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31
Housing pulse
Monthly cost vs. price
Start with the typical home: $1,133,594. Put 20% down and borrow $906,875 at 7.40%, the 30-year fixed average as of October 8, 2026.
That is $6,279 a month in principal and interest.
The median household here earns $124,097 a year, $10,341 a month. So the payment takes 60.7% of income — rated “severe” (Lotvox ZIP bands: under 28% affordable · 28–36% stretched · 36%+ severe).
The line holds today's rate fixed and moves only the price: at that rate, the same share was 13.7% in 2000.
- Payment share of income
- 60.7%
- Monthly P&I
- $6,279
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31
Lotvox lens
The payment, at each month's rate
Take the typical home's price each month, borrow 80% at that month's actual 30-year average rate: in January 2000 (8.21%) the payment was $1,529.
In December 2020, with rates at 2.68%, it was $2,522.
By August 2026, at 6.67%, it was $5,832 — +131% since December 2020, while the home's value moved +46%.
- Payment change since 2020
- +131%
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Lotvox lens
Home value after inflation
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.
Reported values rose +344% since January 2000.
General prices (CPI-U) rose +97% over the same span.
Divide one by the other: in August 2026 dollars, the 2000 home was worth $504,080. So the real change is +125%, not +344%.
- Real change since 2000
- +125%
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.
Home values
11971 against its neighbors
11971: +344% since January 2000.
Suffolk County: +271% since January 2000.
New York: +244% since January 2000 — 11971 ran ahead of it by 100 points.
- Change since 2000
- +344%
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Lotvox lens
Rent or own
Owning the typical home costs about $7,413 a month once taxes and insurance (estimated at 1.2% of price a year) are added. Renting runs about $4,250 a month.
Price divided by a year's rent: 22.2. Lotvox reads under 15 as favoring buying and 20 or more as favoring renting.
- Price-to-rent
- 22.2
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)
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What's moving
Housing pulse
Listings Flow Ladder
Picture the Listings Flow Ladder as a basin: new listings pour in from the faucet, the homes for sale are the water, and closed sales run out the drain. Coming in — new listings: about 11 a month (Redfin, 3-month rolling data through August 2026).
On the shelf — homes for sale at the end of the period: 54.
Going out — closed sales: about 7 a month. The drain is drawn 9% narrower: the share of homes for sale that sell each month is 91% of its 2015–2019 level.
The ladder: homes for sale ÷ monthly sales = 7.4 months of supply — above the 4–6 month balanced range. In the basin, that is the water level against the shaded balanced band.
The net reading: about 4 more homes came on than sold each month, so inventory is growing. The basin is filling.
- Months of supply
- 7.4
Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31
Housing pulse
Sales pace vs. normal
Homes sold: about 7 a month in August 2026 (Redfin).
The 2015–2019 level for the same month was 13 — so sales ran at 54% of it, and below it in 18 of the last 24 months.
- Sales vs 2015–19 level
- 54%
Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
New supply
Homes being permitted
Across Suffolk County, builders pulled permits for 1,399 new homes in 2025.
Of those, 78% were in 1-unit buildings (the Census Bureau's category for detached and attached single homes).
- Units permitted 2025
- 1,399
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey · data as of 2025
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Who's holding, who's leaving
Housing pulse
Migration and inventory
This ZIP sits in Suffolk County. IRS tax returns for 2022-2023: among the ten counties sending the most households, 15,767 moved in. Among the ten receiving the most, 11,246 moved out.
Net across those counties: +4,521 households. Beside it, homes for sale in this ZIP: 54 in June 2026.
Most arrivals came from Nassau, NY (6,970 households); most departures went to Nassau, NY (4,060).
- Net households (top-10 flows)
- +4,521
Source: IRS Statistics of Income, county-to-county migration data; Redfin Data Center (market tracker data) · data as of 2026-06-01
County records
On the county rolls
County assessor records list 3,694 properties with a market value here. Their average assessed market value is $1,054,545; the typical home value is $1,133,594.
The assessor average sits −7.0% from the market figure — an average against a typical value, so treat it as a check, not a verdict.
- Properties on the roll
- 3,694
Source: County assessor and recorder public records; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)
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