Lotvox market story

ZIP 06516

New Haven County, CT

What homes are worth, what they cost to carry, how fast they sell — one step at a time.

Typical home value
$366,486
12-month change
+7.8%
Months of supply
2.4

This week since 2026-10-08: Payment share of income 33.1% (was 32.7%) · Monthly P&I $2,030 (was $2,006)

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Who's going to sell in 06516 this year?

Lotvox Turnover Index

Ranking every home in 06516 by how likely it is to sell

Lotvox Turnover Index
Not yet live
Source: County assessor and recorder public records; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · accuracy by ZIP · methodology

The Lotvox Turnover Index isn't offered for 06516 yet.

Where

06516 in New Haven County, CT

06516 · $366,48606519 · $307,16006510 · $398,42606511 · $372,07306515 · $386,15006477 · $634,41106512 · $365,04806525 · $707,48806517 · $391,10406514 · $344,42106513 · $303,41306460 · $512,12506518 · $401,74706461 · $506,24106418 · $343,24906401 · $385,55506473 · $476,60106524 · $562,31706483 · $422,37106405 · $468,67806471 · $461,03706403 · $426,53706472 · $505,16006492 · $430,70206712 · $476,27106770 · $354,04206478 · $596,11006410 · $542,93406437 · $641,82006706 · $287,16906705 · $270,60406702 · no value published06704 · $269,87406762 · $551,73006708 · $305,70906451 · $336,75806450 · $322,07806710 · $313,73206716 · $394,97506488 · $453,496 06516
$270K$707K typical home value
Source: Census TIGER/Line · Zillow (ZHVI)Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research

06516 is one of 41 ZIP codes that lie mostly in New Haven County, CT.

Shaded by typical home value, it ranks 26 of the 39 nearby ZIPs shown.

Value rank among nearby ZIPs
26 of 39

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research

Local life

Schools in 06516

10 school locations in 06516: 6 elementary, 2 middle, 2 high.

In alphabetical order: Alma E. Pagels School, Carrigan 5/6 Intermediate School, Edith E. Mackrille School, Engineering - Science University Magnet School, and more on the ZIP page. Locations only — no ratings are shown here.

School locations
10

Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics (school locations)

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What it costs

Home values

What homes are worth in 06516

$0$100K$200K$300K$400K200020052010201520202025Peak August 2026 · $366,486Latest · $366,486
Typical home value
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · as of 2026-08-31Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31

In January 2000 the typical home in 06516 was worth $107,578.

Values peaked at $366,486 in August 2026. The latest reading is the peak.

As of August 2026: $366,486, +7.8% over twelve months.

Typical home value
$366,486
12-month change
+7.8%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31

Housing pulse

Monthly cost vs. price

Typical home
$366,486
Loan at 20% down
$293,189
30-year fixed rate
7.40%
Monthly principal + interest
$2,030
Median household income, per month
$6,131
Share of income
33.1%
0%30%60%
At today's rate, by home value, 2000–2026: 9.7% → 33.1%
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · Census ACS · Lotvox · as of 2026-08-31Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Start with the typical home: $366,486. Put 20% down and borrow $293,189 at 7.40%, the 30-year fixed average as of October 8, 2026.

That is $2,030 a month in principal and interest.

The median household here earns $73,566 a year, $6,131 a month. So the payment takes 33.1% of income — rated “stretched” (Lotvox ZIP bands: under 28% affordable · 28–36% stretched · 36%+ severe).

The line holds today's rate fixed and moves only the price: at that rate, the same share was 9.7% in 2000.

Payment share of income
33.1%
Monthly P&I
$2,030

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Lotvox lens

The payment, at each month's rate

$0$500$1K$2K$2K2000200520102015202020252.68% rate · $7156.67% rate · $1,885
Monthly P&I at that month's 30-year rate
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Take the typical home's price each month, borrow 80% at that month's actual 30-year average rate: in January 2000 (8.21%) the payment was $644.

In December 2020, with rates at 2.68%, it was $715.

By August 2026, at 6.67%, it was $1,885 — +164% since December 2020, while the home's value moved +66%.

Payment change since 2020
+164%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Lotvox lens

Home value after inflation

$0$200K$400K$600K200020052010201520202025
Home value (as reported)Prices in general (CPI-U), scaled to January 2000Home value in August 2026 dollars
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · BLS CPI via FRED · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.

Reported values rose +241% since January 2000.

General prices (CPI-U) rose +97% over the same span.

Divide one by the other: in August 2026 dollars, the 2000 home was worth $212,316. So the real change is +73%, not +241%.

Real change since 2000
+73%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.

Home values

06516 against its neighbors

0100200300400200020052010201520202025
06516 (2000 = 100)New Haven County (2000 = 100)Connecticut (2000 = 100)
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

06516: +241% since January 2000.

New Haven County: +180% since January 2000.

Connecticut: +174% since January 2000 — 06516 ran ahead of it by 67 points.

Change since 2000
+241%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Lotvox lens

Rent or own

Own: payment + 1.2%/yr taxes & insurance
$2,396
principal + interest $2,030 · taxes & insurance est. $366
Rent: typical rent (ZORI)
$1,965
Price-to-rent ratio
15.5
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Zillow (ZORI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · LotvoxSource: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

Owning the typical home costs about $2,396 a month once taxes and insurance (estimated at 1.2% of price a year) are added. Renting runs about $1,965 a month.

Price divided by a year's rent: 15.5. Lotvox reads under 15 as favoring buying and 20 or more as favoring renting.

Price-to-rent
15.5

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

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What's moving

Housing pulse

Listings Flow Ladder

per month / homes for sale2024-092026-08balanced 4–6 mo2.4 mo2.4 months of supplyNet +7 / month · inventory growing
New listings / monthHomes for saleClosed sales / monthBasin water level = months of supply
Source: Redfin · Lotvox · as of 2026-08-31Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Picture the Listings Flow Ladder as a basin: new listings pour in from the faucet, the homes for sale are the water, and closed sales run out the drain. Coming in — new listings: about 54 a month (Redfin, 3-month rolling data through August 2026). That is 67% of the 2015–2019 level for the same months.

On the shelf — homes for sale at the end of the period: 113. That is 46% of the 2015–2019 level for the same months.

Going out — closed sales: about 47 a month. That is 74% of the 2015–2019 level for the same months.

The ladder: homes for sale ÷ monthly sales = 2.4 months of supply — below the 4–6 month range Lotvox treats as balanced. In the basin, that is the water level against the shaded balanced band.

The net reading: about 7 more homes came on than sold each month, so inventory is growing. The basin is filling.

Months of supply
2.4

Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Housing pulse

Sales pace vs. normal

02040608020252026
Homes sold per monthSame months, 2015–2019
Source: Redfin · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Homes sold: about 47 a month in August 2026 (Redfin).

The 2015–2019 level for the same month was 59 — so sales ran at 80% of it, and below it in 22 of the last 24 months.

Sales vs 2015–19 level
80%

Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

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Who's holding, who's leaving

County records

On the county rolls

Properties on the assessor roll
14,946
Average assessor market value
$305,900
Typical home value (ZHVI)
$366,486
Assessor vs market
−16.5%
Source: County records · Zillow (ZHVI) · LotvoxSource: County assessor and recorder public records; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

County assessor records list 14,946 properties with a market value here. Their average assessed market value is $305,900; the typical home value is $366,486.

The assessor average sits −16.5% from the market figure — an average against a typical value, so treat it as a check, not a verdict.

Properties on the roll
14,946

Source: County assessor and recorder public records; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

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What to do

Own a home here?What's my home worth?Enter your address for a county-record value range. Buying?Compare 06516 with 06512The same story, side by side. An agent?See where the index is livethe farm territory and this page's sponsor spot.

Back to the full ZIP 06516 page

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Link: https://lotvox.com/story/new-haven/zip/06516