Lotvox market story

ZIP 28540

Onslow County, NC

What homes are worth, what they cost to carry, how fast they sell — one step at a time.

Typical home value
$260,062
12-month change
+4.0%
Months of supply
2.2

This week since 2026-10-08: Months of supply 2.2 (was 2.3) · Payment share of income 28.1% (was 27.8%)

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Who's going to sell in 28540 this year?

Lotvox Turnover Index

Ranking every home in 28540 by how likely it is to sell

Lotvox Turnover Index
Not yet live
Source: County assessor and recorder public records; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · accuracy by ZIP · methodology

The Lotvox Turnover Index isn't offered for 28540 yet.

Where

28540 in Onslow County, NC

28445 · $528,30628454 · $279,31128460 · $403,01828539 · $284,93928540 · $260,06228542 · no value published28543 · no value published28544 · $202,57528546 · $268,63028547 · no value published28555 · $235,45928574 · $277,20528582 · $381,097 28540
$203K$528K typical home value
Source: Census TIGER/Line · Zillow (ZHVI)Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research

28540 is one of 13 ZIP codes that lie mostly in Onslow County, NC.

Shaded by typical home value, it ranks 8 of the 10 with a value.

Value rank in county
8 of 10

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research

Local life

Schools in 28540

17 school locations in 28540: 10 elementary, 4 middle, 3 high.

In alphabetical order: Bell Fork Elementary, Blue Creek Elementary, Clear View Elementary, Clyde Erwin Elementary, and more on the ZIP page. Locations only — no ratings are shown here.

School locations
17

Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics (school locations)

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What it costs

Home values

What homes are worth in 28540

$0$100K$200K$300K200620102014201820222026Peak August 2026 · $260,062Latest · $260,062
Typical home value
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · as of 2026-08-31Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31

In August 2005 the typical home in 28540 was worth $113,882.

Values peaked at $260,062 in August 2026. The latest reading is the peak.

As of August 2026: $260,062, +4.0% over twelve months.

Typical home value
$260,062
12-month change
+4.0%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31

Housing pulse

Monthly cost vs. price

Typical home
$260,062
Loan at 20% down
$208,050
30-year fixed rate
7.40%
Monthly principal + interest
$1,440
Median household income, per month
$5,122
Share of income
28.1%
0%30%60%
At today's rate, by home value, 2005–2026: 12.3% → 28.1%
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · Census ACS · Lotvox · as of 2026-08-31Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Start with the typical home: $260,062. Put 20% down and borrow $208,050 at 7.40%, the 30-year fixed average as of October 8, 2026.

That is $1,440 a month in principal and interest.

The median household here earns $61,462 a year, $5,122 a month. So the payment takes 28.1% of income — rated “stretched” (Lotvox ZIP bands: under 28% affordable · 28–36% stretched · 36%+ severe).

The line holds today's rate fixed and moves only the price: at that rate, the same share was 12.3% in 2005.

Payment share of income
28.1%
Monthly P&I
$1,440

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Lotvox lens

The payment, at each month's rate

$0$500$1K$2K2006201020142018202220262.68% rate · $5376.67% rate · $1,338
Monthly P&I at that month's 30-year rate
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Take the typical home's price each month, borrow 80% at that month's actual 30-year average rate: in August 2005 (5.82%) the payment was $536.

In December 2020, with rates at 2.68%, it was $537.

By August 2026, at 6.67%, it was $1,338 — +149% since December 2020, while the home's value moved +57%.

Payment change since 2020
+149%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Lotvox lens

Home value after inflation

$0$100K$200K$300K200620102014201820222026
Home value (as reported)Prices in general (CPI-U), scaled to August 2005Home value in August 2026 dollars
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · BLS CPI via FRED · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.

Reported values rose +128% since August 2005.

General prices (CPI-U) rose +70% over the same span.

Divide one by the other: in August 2026 dollars, the 2005 home was worth $194,041. So the real change is +34%, not +128%.

Real change since 2005
+34%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.

Home values

28540 against its neighbors

50100150200250200620102014201820222026
28540 (2005 = 100)Onslow County (2005 = 100)North Carolina (2005 = 100)
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

28540: +128% since August 2005.

Onslow County: +122% since August 2005.

North Carolina: +116% since August 2005 — 28540 ran ahead of it by 13 points.

Change since 2005
+128%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Lotvox lens

Rent or own

Own: payment + 1.2%/yr taxes & insurance
$1,701
principal + interest $1,440 · taxes & insurance est. $261
Rent: typical rent (ZORI)
$1,415
Price-to-rent ratio
15.3
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Zillow (ZORI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · LotvoxSource: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

Owning the typical home costs about $1,701 a month once taxes and insurance (estimated at 1.2% of price a year) are added. Renting runs about $1,415 a month.

Price divided by a year's rent: 15.3. Lotvox reads under 15 as favoring buying and 20 or more as favoring renting.

Price-to-rent
15.3

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

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What's moving

Housing pulse

Listings Flow Ladder

per month / homes for sale2024-092026-08balanced 4–6 mo2.2 mo2.2 months of supplyNet −4 / month · inventory shrinking
New listings / monthHomes for saleClosed sales / monthBasin water level = months of supply
Source: Redfin · Lotvox · as of 2026-08-31Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Picture the Listings Flow Ladder as a basin: new listings pour in from the faucet, the homes for sale are the water, and closed sales run out the drain. Coming in — new listings: about 83 a month (Redfin, 3-month rolling data through August 2026). That is 86% of the 2015–2019 level for the same months.

On the shelf — homes for sale at the end of the period: 191. That is 48% of the 2015–2019 level for the same months.

Going out — closed sales: about 87 a month. That is 100% of the 2015–2019 level for the same months.

The ladder: homes for sale ÷ monthly sales = 2.2 months of supply — below the 4–6 month range Lotvox treats as balanced. In the basin, that is the water level against the shaded balanced band.

The net reading: about 4 more homes sold than came on each month, so inventory is shrinking. The basin is draining.

Months of supply
2.2

Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Housing pulse

Sales pace vs. normal

025507510020252026
Homes sold per monthSame months, 2015–2019
Source: Redfin · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Homes sold: about 87 a month in August 2026 (Redfin).

The 2015–2019 level for the same month was 72 — so sales ran at 121% of it, and below it in 13 of the last 24 months.

Sales vs 2015–19 level
121%

Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

New supply

Homes being permitted

05001,0001,5002,00020221,32220231,41920241,24620251,372
1-unit buildings2–4 units5+ units
Source: Census permits · as of 2025Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey · data as of 2025

Across Onslow County, builders pulled permits for 1,372 new homes in 2025.

Of those, 96% were in 1-unit buildings (the Census Bureau's category for detached and attached single homes).

Units permitted 2025
1,372

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey · data as of 2025

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Who's holding, who's leaving

Housing pulse

Migration and inventory

Moved in (top-10 origin counties)
2,202
Moved out (top-10 destination counties)
2,033
Net households
+169
Top origins
San Diego, CA455
Pender, NC325
New Hanover, NC286
Top destinations
San Diego, CA392
Pender, NC299
New Hanover, NC237
Homes for sale, 2012–2026
Source: IRS SOI · Redfin · as of 2026-06-01Source: IRS Statistics of Income, county-to-county migration data; Redfin Data Center (market tracker data) · data as of 2026-06-01

This ZIP sits in Onslow County. IRS tax returns for 2022-2023: among the ten counties sending the most households, 2,202 moved in. Among the ten receiving the most, 2,033 moved out.

Net across those counties: +169 households. Beside it, homes for sale in this ZIP: 191 in June 2026.

Most arrivals came from San Diego, CA (455 households); most departures went to San Diego, CA (392).

Net households (top-10 flows)
+169

Source: IRS Statistics of Income, county-to-county migration data; Redfin Data Center (market tracker data) · data as of 2026-06-01

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What to do

Own a home here?What's my home worth?Enter your address for a county-record value range. Buying?Compare 28540 with 28555The same story, side by side. An agent?See where the index is livethe farm territory and this page's sponsor spot.

Back to the full ZIP 28540 page

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Link: https://lotvox.com/story/morehead-city/zip/28540